Warriors vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 11th 2024

Hold on to your jerseys, hoop-heads, because tonight we’re heading to the heart of Rip City, where the Golden State Warriors are set to clash with the Portland Trail Blazers at the Moda Center. Now, the Warriors, posting a 44-35 record, have been blazing their own trail this season, sitting just 6.5 games back in the Wild West conference. On the flip side, the Trail Blazers, with a 21-58 record, might be feeling a bit roasted, trailing a whopping 34.5 games in the same conference. As the clock strikes 10:00 PM EST, the hardwood will heat up with an over/under set at a scorching 222.0. The Warriors are favored by 14 points, while the Trail Blazers are the underdogs with the same line. Fresh off a victorious duel against the Lakers, the Warriors are looking to keep the momentum, while the Trail Blazers are seeking redemption after a stumble against the Pelicans. As the Warriors aim to blaze through the competition and the Trail Blazers look to go to war, we’re all set for a game that’s guaranteed to be hotter than a Steph Curry three-pointer.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 11, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Moda Center, Portland

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	POR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-1100	+650	222.5	-14.0/14.0
Recent	-275	+200	222.0	-13.5/13.5
Difference	+825	-450	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-16L

73.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

10W-28L

26.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/06/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	26	29	31	20	106	Under
12/06/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	26	34	28	110	Under
12/23/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	30	16	31	29	106	Over
12/23/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	34	32	37	126	Over
12/17/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	38	24	29	118	Over
12/17/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	23	26	35	30	114	Over
02/28/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	41	24	17	23	105	Over
02/28/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	21	39	36	123	Over
02/08/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	40	28	27	122	Over
02/08/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	34	29	32	30	125	Over
12/30/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	25	31	40	16	112	Over
12/30/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	41	19	28	30	118	Over
04/09/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	55	29	34	39	157	Over
04/09/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	27	26	20	28	101	Over
02/24/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	39	30	32	132	Over
02/24/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	25	16	22	95	Over
12/08/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	23	22	21	28	94	Under
12/08/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	21	29	28	104	Under
11/26/21	Portland Trail Blazers POR	26	18	26	33	103	Under
11/26/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	31	33	27	118	Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/09	vs LAL	134-120W	42	37	15	80
04/07	@ UTA	118-110W	47	32	13	92
04/05	vs DAL	106-108L	44	27	15	93
04/04	vs HOU	133-110W	43	29	18	80
04/02	@ DAL	104-100W	52	29	17	90
03/31	vs SAS	117-113W	41	34	15	92
03/29	vs CHA	115-97W	50	35	12	89
03/27	vs ORL	101-93W	52	26	12	90
03/26	vs MIA	113-92W	43	31	10	85
03/24	vs MIN	110-114L	41	23	12	85

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/09	@ NOP	100-110L	47	28	21	85
04/07	vs BOS	107-124L	53	26	14	102
04/05	vs WAS	108-102W	55	29	12	95
04/03	vs CHA	89-86W	55	19	15	93
04/01	vs ORL	103-104L	44	28	9	90
03/29	vs MIA	82-145L	43	20	23	89
03/27	vs ATL	106-120L	33	35	18	85
03/25	vs HOU	92-110L	44	14	16	87
03/23	@ DEN	111-114L	45	27	15	94
03/22	@ LAC	117-125L	41	29	10	96

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	44.8	45.9	41.1	100%	41.5
Draymond Green PF	34.0	28.8	30.0	100%	30.4
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	29.7	25.6	21.9	33%	27.8
Klay Thompson SG	32.7	35.6	28.6	53%	27.9
Andrew Wiggins SF	27.1	28.3	26.8	100%	26.3

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deandre Ayton C	48.9	48.6	39.1	100%	39.5
Scoot Henderson PG	41.1	36.8	27.4	50%	33.7
Kris Murray SF	20.1	20.9	19.5	87%	21.1
Rayan Rupert SG	22.2	18.1	10.9	30%	17.5
Jabari Walker PF	30.0	33.9	21.6	50%	23.8

Warriors Notable Injuries

Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.4
Usman Garuba (C): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.4pts, 0.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.2

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Toumani Camara (PF): Avg: 7.5pts, 4.9reb, 1.2ast, 24.8 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 3.7
Matisse Thybulle (SF/PF): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.1reb, 1.3ast, 22.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 2.8
Ashton Hagans (PG): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.4reb, 2.8ast, 16.8 minutes. Last game: 04/03/24. Impact: 2.4
Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 2.4reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Trayce Jackson-Davis	GSW	Pts	10.5	12.3	+1.8	40%	30%	40%	40%	POR	+0.8	#17
Scoot Henderson	POR	Pts	18.5	20.2	+1.7	60%	60%	40%	40%	GSW	-1.6	#7
Deandre Ayton	POR	Reb	11.5	15.0	+3.5	100%	70%	73%	73%	GSW	-0.8	#10
Rayan Rupert	POR	Reb	3.5	5.0	+1.5	60%	60%	47%	47%	GSW	-0.9	#3
Draymond Green	GSW	Ast	6.5	6.6	+0.1	20%	30%	33%	33%	POR	-0.2	#13

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#10	#14	#14	0.3%
PF	#25	#9	#13	#17	2.0%
PG	#21	#28	#19	#25	9.8%
SF	#6	#4	#19	#2	-63.4%
SG	#7	#3	#28	#7	-5.2%

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#27	#19	#29	10.8%
PF	#24	#20	#14	#28	7.1%
PG	#9	#3	#10	#3	-41.0%
SF	#17	#19	#13	#15	1.4%
SG	#22	#1	#16	#19	1.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.9

102.1

Rebounds per Game

46.2

44.7

Assists per Game

30.4

24.2

Steals per Game

7.4

6.7

Blocks per Game

5.0

3.8

Shots per Game

90.6

89.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.5

10.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.8

50.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

40.2

33.3

Turnovers per Game

12.9

15.8

Fouls per Game

18.5

19.9

Recent Trends

Toumani Camara (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.5% to 35.0, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
Ashton Hagans (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.9% to 13.9, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
Chris Paul (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.3% to 30.5, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
Shaedon Sharpe (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.