Warriors vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown & Projections – Thu, Apr 11th 2024
Warriors
44W-35L
April 11, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 222.0 o/u
Trail Blazers
21W-58L
Hold on to your jerseys, hoop-heads, because tonight we’re heading to the heart of Rip City, where the Golden State Warriors are set to clash with the Portland Trail Blazers at the Moda Center. Now, the Warriors, posting a 44-35 record, have been blazing their own trail this season, sitting just 6.5 games back in the Wild West conference. On the flip side, the Trail Blazers, with a 21-58 record, might be feeling a bit roasted, trailing a whopping 34.5 games in the same conference. As the clock strikes 10:00 PM EST, the hardwood will heat up with an over/under set at a scorching 222.0. The Warriors are favored by 14 points, while the Trail Blazers are the underdogs with the same line. Fresh off a victorious duel against the Lakers, the Warriors are looking to keep the momentum, while the Trail Blazers are seeking redemption after a stumble against the Pelicans. As the Warriors aim to blaze through the competition and the Trail Blazers look to go to war, we’re all set for a game that’s guaranteed to be hotter than a Steph Curry three-pointer.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 11, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Moda Center, Portland
Vegas Odds
GSW ML | POR ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -1100 | +650 | 222.5 | -14.0/14.0 |
Recent | -275 | +200 | 222.0 | -13.5/13.5 |
Difference | +825 | -450 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
73.3% Win Probability
26.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/06/23 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 26 | 29 | 31 | 20 | 106 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 22 | 26 | 34 | 28 | 110 | ||||
12/23/23 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 30 | 16 | 31 | 29 | 106 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 34 | 32 | 37 | 126 | ||||
12/17/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 38 | 24 | 29 | 118 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 23 | 26 | 35 | 30 | 114 | ||||
02/28/23 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 105 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 21 | 39 | 36 | 123 | ||||
02/08/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 40 | 28 | 27 | 122 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 34 | 29 | 32 | 30 | 125 | ||||
12/30/22 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 25 | 31 | 40 | 16 | 112 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 41 | 19 | 28 | 30 | 118 | ||||
04/09/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 55 | 29 | 34 | 39 | 157 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 27 | 26 | 20 | 28 | 101 | ||||
02/24/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 31 | 39 | 30 | 32 | 132 | Over | ||
Portland Trail Blazers POR | 32 | 25 | 16 | 22 | 95 | ||||
12/08/21 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 23 | 22 | 21 | 28 | 94 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 21 | 29 | 28 | 104 | ||||
11/26/21 | Portland Trail Blazers POR | 26 | 18 | 26 | 33 | 103 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 31 | 33 | 27 | 118 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/09 | vs LAL | 134-120W | 42 | 37 | 15 | 80 |
04/07 | @ UTA | 118-110W | 47 | 32 | 13 | 92 |
04/05 | vs DAL | 106-108L | 44 | 27 | 15 | 93 |
04/04 | vs HOU | 133-110W | 43 | 29 | 18 | 80 |
04/02 | @ DAL | 104-100W | 52 | 29 | 17 | 90 |
03/31 | vs SAS | 117-113W | 41 | 34 | 15 | 92 |
03/29 | vs CHA | 115-97W | 50 | 35 | 12 | 89 |
03/27 | vs ORL | 101-93W | 52 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
03/26 | vs MIA | 113-92W | 43 | 31 | 10 | 85 |
03/24 | vs MIN | 110-114L | 41 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
Trail Blazers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/09 | @ NOP | 100-110L | 47 | 28 | 21 | 85 |
04/07 | vs BOS | 107-124L | 53 | 26 | 14 | 102 |
04/05 | vs WAS | 108-102W | 55 | 29 | 12 | 95 |
04/03 | vs CHA | 89-86W | 55 | 19 | 15 | 93 |
04/01 | vs ORL | 103-104L | 44 | 28 | 9 | 90 |
03/29 | vs MIA | 82-145L | 43 | 20 | 23 | 89 |
03/27 | vs ATL | 106-120L | 33 | 35 | 18 | 85 |
03/25 | vs HOU | 92-110L | 44 | 14 | 16 | 87 |
03/23 | @ DEN | 111-114L | 45 | 27 | 15 | 94 |
03/22 | @ LAC | 117-125L | 41 | 29 | 10 | 96 |
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
44.8 | 45.9 | 41.1 | 100% | 41.5 | |
34.0 | 28.8 | 30.0 | 100% | 30.4 | |
29.7 | 25.6 | 21.9 | 33% | 27.8 | |
32.7 | 35.6 | 28.6 | 53% | 27.9 | |
27.1 | 28.3 | 26.8 | 100% | 26.3 |
Portland Trail Blazers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
48.9 | 48.6 | 39.1 | 100% | 39.5 | |
41.1 | 36.8 | 27.4 | 50% | 33.7 | |
Kris Murray
SF
|
20.1 | 20.9 | 19.5 | 87% | 21.1 |
Rayan Rupert
SG
|
22.2 | 18.1 | 10.9 | 30% | 17.5 |
30.0 | 33.9 | 21.6 | 50% | 23.8 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.4
- Usman Garuba (C): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.4pts, 0.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.2
Trail Blazers Notable Injuries
- Toumani Camara (PF): Avg: 7.5pts, 4.9reb, 1.2ast, 24.8 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 3.7
- Matisse Thybulle (SF/PF): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.1reb, 1.3ast, 22.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 2.8
- Ashton Hagans (PG): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.4reb, 2.8ast, 16.8 minutes. Last game: 04/03/24. Impact: 2.4
- Ibou Badji (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 2.4reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Trayce Jackson-Davis | GSW | Pts | 10.5 | 12.3 | +1.8 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | POR | +0.8 | #17 |
Scoot Henderson | POR | Pts | 18.5 | 20.2 | +1.7 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 40% | GSW | -1.6 | #7 |
Deandre Ayton | POR | Reb | 11.5 | 15.0 | +3.5 | 100% | 70% | 73% | 73% | GSW | -0.8 | #10 |
Rayan Rupert | POR | Reb | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | GSW | -0.9 | #3 |
Draymond Green | GSW | Ast | 6.5 | 6.6 | +0.1 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | POR | -0.2 | #13 |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #14 | #10 | #14 | #14 | 0.3% |
PF | #25 | #9 | #13 | #17 | 2.0% |
PG | #21 | #28 | #19 | #25 | 9.8% |
SF | #6 | #4 | #19 | #2 | -63.4% |
SG | #7 | #3 | #28 | #7 | -5.2% |
Trail Blazers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #17 | #27 | #19 | #29 | 10.8% |
PF | #24 | #20 | #14 | #28 | 7.1% |
PG | #9 | #3 | #10 | #3 | -41.0% |
SF | #17 | #19 | #13 | #15 | 1.4% |
SG | #22 | #1 | #16 | #19 | 1.5% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Toumani Camara (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.5% to 35.0, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Ashton Hagans (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.9% to 13.9, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Chris Paul (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.3% to 30.5, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Shaedon Sharpe (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 27.8, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Matisse Thybulle (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.
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