Warriors vs Kings Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Golden 1 Center tonight as the evenly matched Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings battle it out in what promises to be a nail-biter of a playoff game. With both teams hovering around the .500 mark and jockeying for position in the Western Conference, this 11:00 PM EST tipoff could be the spark that ignites the playoffs after a series of first-round blowouts. The stakes are sky-high, the betting lines are buzzing, and fans are on the edge of their seats after the Kings’ recent thrashing of Washington and the Warriors’ tough tumble in Boston. So, as the Warriors aim to sharpen their swords and the Kings look to fortify their castle, tonight’s clash is set to be a royal rumble of basketball prowess!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 22, 2025 11:00PM EST

Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	SAC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+235	-285	228.0	7.5/-7.5
Recent	+135	-180	230.0	7.5/-7.5
Difference	-100	+105	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

33W-26L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

35W-27L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/05/25	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	39	30	24	129	Under
01/05/25	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	30	24	24	99	Under
01/25/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	40	35	29	30	134	Over
01/25/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	40	29	32	133	Over
11/28/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	35	32	19	123	Over
11/28/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	26	40	29	124	Over
11/01/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	24	24	22	101	Under
11/01/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	28	18	28	102	Under
10/27/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	36	39	23	122	Over
10/27/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	28	27	30	114	Over
04/07/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	21	33	33	119	Under
04/07/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	32	25	24	97	Under
11/13/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	23	29	24	115	Over
11/13/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	38	34	24	122	Over
11/07/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	36	21	25	113	Under
11/07/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	26	24	37	116	Under
10/23/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	35	23	31	125	Over
10/23/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	50	24	17	130	Over
04/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	34	19	28	109	Under
04/03/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	14	28	25	23	90	Under
02/03/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	31	29	31	114	Over
02/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	34	39	21	32	126	Over
12/20/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	30	33	19	98	Under
12/20/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	32	26	29	113	Under
10/24/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	31	30	29	119	Under
10/24/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	31	26	19	107	Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/20	@ BOS	85-125L	38	28	12	92
01/18	@ WAS	122-114W	55	24	9	96
01/15	vs MIN	116-115W	45	26	12	82
01/13	vs TOR	101-104L	46	23	14	88
01/10	vs IND	96-108L	42	25	13	91
01/09	vs DET	107-104W	49	32	15	89
01/07	@ MIA	98-114L	52	28	10	98
01/04	@ MEM	121-113W	29	32	18	84
01/02	@ PHI	139-105W	43	41	11	87
12/30	@ CLE	95-113L	55	20	14	99

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/19	@ WAS	123-100W	51	28	11	95
01/16	@ HOU	132-127W	44	32	12	98
01/14	vs MIL	115-130L	45	25	9	95
01/12	vs CHI	124-119W	53	33	8	95
01/10	vs BOS	114-97W	56	26	9	102
01/06	@ MIA	123-118W	60	30	15	108
01/03	@ MEM	138-133W	37	32	9	99
01/01	@ PHI	113-107W	45	24	17	84
12/30	@ DAL	110-100W	58	25	15	100
12/28	vs LAL	122-132L	39	38	9	98

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	47.0	43.5	42.4	100%	42.8
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	33.0	23.6	23.1	80%	25.6
Gary Payton II SF	18.0	13.6	12.2	13%	17.4
Dennis Schroder SG	29.0	21.8	26.7	100%	27.0
Andrew Wiggins PF	33.0	31.1	30.2	100%	30.6

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	36.0	40.4	34.6	100%	35.0
De’Aaron Fox PG	43.0	43.2	45.2	100%	45.7
Malik Monk SG	36.0	42.2	30.6	63%	35.1
Keegan Murray PF	25.0	27.9	25.8	100%	26.2
Domantas Sabonis C	47.0	53.4	48.7	100%	49.1

Warriors Notable Injuries

Draymond Green (PF/C): Avg: 8.4pts, 6.6reb, 5.9ast, 27.2 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 4.2
Kyle Anderson (PF): Avg: 5.8pts, 3.3reb, 3.6ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 2.9
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 0.5reb, 1.0ast, 6.6 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.6
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.9reb, 1.2ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.4

Kings Notable Injuries

Jae Crowder (PF/C): Avg: 5.6pts, 3.0reb, 1.2ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 1.3
Devin Carter (PG/SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 3.2reb, 1.5ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 01/16/25. Impact: 1.5
Doug McDermott (SF/PF): Avg: 4.4pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.6
Isaac Jones (PF/C): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.9
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.5
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 01/19/25. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Trayce Jackson-Davis	GSW	Pts	9.5	13.0	+3.5	0%	40%	53%	53%	SAC	+0.4	#21
Buddy Hield	GSW	Pts	10.5	12.2	+1.7	40%	50%	40%	40%	SAC	+2.6	#28
Kevon Looney	GSW	Reb	6.5	8.4	+1.9	80%	60%	53%	53%	SAC	-0.4	#9
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Reb	4.5	5.7	+1.2	60%	50%	40%	40%	SAC	+0.4	#23
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Ast	4.5	5.9	+1.4	0%	40%	47%	47%	SAC	-0.3	#10

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#10	#16	#10	-3.6%
PF	#17	#13	#21	#15	0.1%
PG	#2	#6	#15	#3	-8.0%
SF	#23	#13	#20	#20	4.1%
SG	#25	#21	#25	#26	7.7%

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#4	#14	#16	1.8%
PF	#21	#9	#12	#11	-1.8%
PG	#4	#19	#7	#1	-9.5%
SF	#9	#16	#23	#11	-0.9%
SG	#28	#23	#10	#24	4.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

106.7

116.8

Rebounds per Game

44.8

45.7

Assists per Game

27.5

27.8

Steals per Game

8.5

7.8

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.6

Shots per Game

91.0

93.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.8

13.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.4

53.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

35.7

Turnovers per Game

12.7

12.0

Fouls per Game

18.0

19.8

Recent Trends

Keon Ellis (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.6% to 19.8, 30.4 min average previous 3 games.
Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.8% to 28.6, 17.3 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 56.0% to 16.6, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.