Warriors vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024

Tonight’s NBA showdown is nothing short of a high-stakes thriller as the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings lock horns at the Golden 1 Center, each looking to keep their playoff dreams alive in this nail-biting 9/10 play-in game. With both teams standing on the precipice of elimination, the air is electric and the stakes could not be higher. Scheduled for a 10:00 PM EST tipoff, the arena will be buzzing as fans anticipate a closely contested battle, underscored by a tight betting line with the Warriors favored slightly. Despite recent setbacks against New Orleans and Phoenix, both squads are itching to bounce back and secure a shot at postseason glory. As the clock ticks down to game time, expect a royal clash where only the true warriors will emerge victorious.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 16, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Vegas Odds

	GSW ML	SAC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-140	+120	223.5	-2.5/2.5
Recent	-140	+120	223.0	-2.5/2.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

25W-16L

58.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

23W-16L

41.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/25/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	40	35	29	30	134	Over
01/25/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	40	29	32	133.0	Over
11/28/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	35	32	19	123	Over
11/28/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	26	40	29	124.0	Over
11/01/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	24	24	22	101	Under
11/01/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	28	18	28	102.0	Under
10/27/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	36	39	23	122	Over
10/27/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	28	27	30	114.0	Over
04/07/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	21	33	33	119	Under
04/07/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	32	25	24	97.0	Under
11/13/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	23	29	24	115	Over
11/13/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	26	38	34	24	122.0	Over
11/07/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	36	21	25	113	Over
11/07/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	26	24	37	116.0	Over
10/23/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	36	35	23	31	125	Over
10/23/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	39	50	24	17	130.0	Over
04/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	34	19	28	109	Under
04/03/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	14	28	25	23	90.0	Under
02/03/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	23	31	29	31	114	Over
02/03/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	34	39	21	32	126.0	Over
12/20/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	16	30	33	19	98	Under
12/20/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	32	26	29	113.0	Under
10/24/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	31	30	29	119	Over
10/24/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	31	26	19	107.0	Over

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ NOP	109-114L	53	27	16	86
04/11	vs POR	100-92W	46	24	16	77
04/09	vs LAL	134-120W	42	37	15	80
04/07	@ UTA	118-110W	47	32	13	92
04/05	vs DAL	106-108L	44	27	15	93
04/04	vs HOU	133-110W	43	29	18	80
04/02	@ DAL	104-100W	52	29	17	90
03/31	vs SAS	117-113W	41	34	15	92
03/29	vs CHA	115-97W	50	35	12	89
03/27	vs ORL	101-93W	52	26	12	90

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ PHX	107-108L	35	26	7	91
04/11	@ NOP	123-135L	32	26	14	84
04/09	vs OKL	105-112L	56	23	17	97
04/07	vs BRO	107-77W	54	31	9	94
04/05	vs BOS	100-101L	54	21	7	99
04/04	vs NYK	109-120L	35	26	16	86
04/02	@ LAC	109-95W	56	29	10	92
03/31	@ UTA	127-106W	44	34	15	84
03/29	@ DAL	103-107L	45	24	10	92
03/26	@ DAL	96-132L	42	27	13	90

Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	47.8	48.3	40.4	100%	40.8
Draymond Green PF	34.1	28.0	30.2	100%	30.6
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	27.0	27.9	23.5	40%	28.5
Klay Thompson SG	34.5	38.0	28.8	53%	28.3
Andrew Wiggins SF	27.8	26.9	25.8	100%	25.2

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes SF	25.0	21.1	19.2	100%	19.5
Keon Ellis SG	23.9	21.5	15.6	57%	21.9
De’Aaron Fox PG	51.4	49.1	46.9	100%	47.4
Keegan Murray PF	34.6	36.2	29.3	100%	29.6
Domantas Sabonis C	60.2	47.2	51.0	100%	51.4

Warriors Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 7.8pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 0.8
Gary Payton II (SG/SF): Avg: 5.5pts, 2.6reb, 1.1ast, 15.5 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 2.2
Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.9
Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.4
Usman Garuba (C): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.4pts, 0.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.2

Kings Notable Injuries

JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.6reb, 0.3ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.8
Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 1.2
Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 0.8
Jalen Slawson (SF/PF): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Pts	18.5	22.4	+3.9	20%	20%	27%	27%	GSW	+1.3	#20
Trayce Jackson-Davis	GSW	Pts	8.5	11.1	+2.6	60%	50%	60%	60%	SAC	-7.5	#1
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	7.5	8.0	+0.5	40%	50%	67%	67%	SAC	+0.6	#19
Brandin Podziemski	GSW	Ast	1.5	2.5	+1.0	80%	80%	73%	73%	SAC	-0.8	#5
Chris Paul	GSW	Ast	5.5	6.4	+0.9	80%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	-0.8	#5
Harrison Barnes	SAC	3Pt	1.5	2.3	+0.8	40%	40%	33%	33%	GSW	-1.3	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#13	#12	#15	1.2%
PF	#25	#13	#7	#18	2.1%
PG	#12	#25	#17	#14	-4.0%
SF	#4	#6	#16	#1	-59.8%
SG	#3	#8	#25	#5	-6.5%

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#16	#13	#2	-17.2%
PF	#23	#6	#8	#9	-4.6%
PG	#26	#28	#16	#25	15.1%
SF	#19	#19	#8	#12	-6.0%
SG	#17	#19	#5	#13	-2.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.7

109.9

Rebounds per Game

47.0

45.6

Assists per Game

30.0

26.7

Steals per Game

7.5

8.3

Blocks per Game

5.7

5.0

Shots per Game

88.9

90.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.7

14.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.4

51.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

40.1

35.5

Turnovers per Game

13.6

11.9

Fouls per Game

18.1

19.6

Recent Trends

Harrison Barnes (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.7% to 33.5, 18.1 min average previous 3 games.
Keon Ellis (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.3% to 30.6, 22.4 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 17.1, 25.0 min average previous 3 games.
Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.0% to 14.0, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.