Warriors vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 16th 2024
Warriors
0W-0L
April 16, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 223.0 o/u
Kings
0W-0L
Tonight’s NBA showdown is nothing short of a high-stakes thriller as the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings lock horns at the Golden 1 Center, each looking to keep their playoff dreams alive in this nail-biting 9/10 play-in game. With both teams standing on the precipice of elimination, the air is electric and the stakes could not be higher. Scheduled for a 10:00 PM EST tipoff, the arena will be buzzing as fans anticipate a closely contested battle, underscored by a tight betting line with the Warriors favored slightly. Despite recent setbacks against New Orleans and Phoenix, both squads are itching to bounce back and secure a shot at postseason glory. As the clock ticks down to game time, expect a royal clash where only the true warriors will emerge victorious.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 16, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Vegas Odds
| GSW ML | SAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -140 | +120 | 223.5 | -2.5/2.5 |
| Recent | -140 | +120 | 223.0 | -2.5/2.5 |
| Difference | 0 | 0 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
58.3% Win Probability
41.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/25/24 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 40 | 35 | 29 | 30 | 134 | Over | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 32 | 40 | 29 | 32 | 133.0 | ||||
| 11/28/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 37 | 35 | 32 | 19 | 123 | Over | |
|
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 26 | 40 | 29 | 124.0 | ||||
| 11/01/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 101 | Under | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 28 | 18 | 28 | 102.0 | ||||
| 10/27/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 36 | 39 | 23 | 122 | Over | |
|
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 114.0 | ||||
| 04/07/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 32 | 21 | 33 | 33 | 119 | Under | |
|
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 16 | 32 | 25 | 24 | 97.0 | ||||
| 11/13/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 39 | 23 | 29 | 24 | 115 | Over | |
|
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 26 | 38 | 34 | 24 | 122.0 | ||||
| 11/07/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 36 | 21 | 25 | 113 | Over | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 26 | 24 | 37 | 116.0 | ||||
| 10/23/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 36 | 35 | 23 | 31 | 125 | Over | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 39 | 50 | 24 | 17 | 130.0 | ||||
| 04/03/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 34 | 19 | 28 | 109 | Under | |
|
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 14 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 90.0 | ||||
| 02/03/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 23 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 114 | Over | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 34 | 39 | 21 | 32 | 126.0 | ||||
| 12/20/21 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 16 | 30 | 33 | 19 | 98 | Under | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 26 | 32 | 26 | 29 | 113.0 | ||||
| 10/24/21 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 119 | Over | |
|
| Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 31 | 26 | 19 | 107.0 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Kings Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ NOP | 109-114L | 53 | 27 | 16 | 86 |
| 04/11 | vs POR | 100-92W | 46 | 24 | 16 | 77 |
| 04/09 | vs LAL | 134-120W | 42 | 37 | 15 | 80 |
| 04/07 | @ UTA | 118-110W | 47 | 32 | 13 | 92 |
| 04/05 | vs DAL | 106-108L | 44 | 27 | 15 | 93 |
| 04/04 | vs HOU | 133-110W | 43 | 29 | 18 | 80 |
| 04/02 | @ DAL | 104-100W | 52 | 29 | 17 | 90 |
| 03/31 | vs SAS | 117-113W | 41 | 34 | 15 | 92 |
| 03/29 | vs CHA | 115-97W | 50 | 35 | 12 | 89 |
| 03/27 | vs ORL | 101-93W | 52 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
Kings Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ PHX | 107-108L | 35 | 26 | 7 | 91 |
| 04/11 | @ NOP | 123-135L | 32 | 26 | 14 | 84 |
| 04/09 | vs OKL | 105-112L | 56 | 23 | 17 | 97 |
| 04/07 | vs BRO | 107-77W | 54 | 31 | 9 | 94 |
| 04/05 | vs BOS | 100-101L | 54 | 21 | 7 | 99 |
| 04/04 | vs NYK | 109-120L | 35 | 26 | 16 | 86 |
| 04/02 | @ LAC | 109-95W | 56 | 29 | 10 | 92 |
| 03/31 | @ UTA | 127-106W | 44 | 34 | 15 | 84 |
| 03/29 | @ DAL | 103-107L | 45 | 24 | 10 | 92 |
| 03/26 | @ DAL | 96-132L | 42 | 27 | 13 | 90 |
Starting Lineups
| Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 | 48.3 | 40.4 | 100% | 40.8 | |
| 34.1 | 28.0 | 30.2 | 100% | 30.6 | |
| 27.0 | 27.9 | 23.5 | 40% | 28.5 | |
| 34.5 | 38.0 | 28.8 | 53% | 28.3 | |
| 27.8 | 26.9 | 25.8 | 100% | 25.2 |
| Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.0 | 21.1 | 19.2 | 100% | 19.5 | |
|
Keon Ellis
SG
|
23.9 | 21.5 | 15.6 | 57% | 21.9 |
|
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
51.4 | 49.1 | 46.9 | 100% | 47.4 |
| 34.6 | 36.2 | 29.3 | 100% | 29.6 | |
| 60.2 | 47.2 | 51.0 | 100% | 51.4 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 7.8pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 0.8
- Gary Payton II (SG/SF): Avg: 5.5pts, 2.6reb, 1.1ast, 15.5 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 2.2
- Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
- Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.9
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.4
- Usman Garuba (C): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.4pts, 0.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.2
Kings Notable Injuries
- JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.6reb, 0.3ast, 8.4 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 0.8
- Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 1.2
- Kessler Edwards (SG/SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 0.8
- Jalen Slawson (SF/PF): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 04/11/24. Impact: 0.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Pts | 18.5 | 22.4 | +3.9 | 20% | 20% | 27% | 27% | GSW | +1.3 | #20 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | GSW | Pts | 8.5 | 11.1 | +2.6 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% | SAC | -7.5 | #1 |
| Draymond Green | GSW | Reb | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 50% | 67% | 67% | SAC | +0.6 | #19 |
| Brandin Podziemski | GSW | Ast | 1.5 | 2.5 | +1.0 | 80% | 80% | 73% | 73% | SAC | -0.8 | #5 |
| Chris Paul | GSW | Ast | 5.5 | 6.4 | +0.9 | 80% | 50% | 53% | 53% | SAC | -0.8 | #5 |
| Harrison Barnes | SAC | 3Pt | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.8 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | GSW | -1.3 | #7 |
Warriors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #20 | #13 | #12 | #15 | 1.2% |
| PF | #25 | #13 | #7 | #18 | 2.1% |
| PG | #12 | #25 | #17 | #14 | -4.0% |
| SF | #4 | #6 | #16 | #1 | -59.8% |
| SG | #3 | #8 | #25 | #5 | -6.5% |
Kings Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #1 | #16 | #13 | #2 | -17.2% |
| PF | #23 | #6 | #8 | #9 | -4.6% |
| PG | #26 | #28 | #16 | #25 | 15.1% |
| SF | #19 | #19 | #8 | #12 | -6.0% |
| SG | #17 | #19 | #5 | #13 | -2.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Harrison Barnes (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.7% to 33.5, 18.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Keon Ellis (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.3% to 30.6, 22.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 17.1, 25.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.0% to 14.0, 25.4 min average previous 3 games. The Warriors have a 2-game winning streak on the road. The Kings have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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