Warriors vs Spurs Game Analysis & Predictions – Mon, Mar 11th 2024
Warriors
33W-30L
March 11, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 225.5 o/u
Spurs
14W-50L
Well, well, well, look who’s back for another round of NBA Daily Fantasy Sports action! Tonight, we’re headed down to the ol’ AT&T Center where the 33W-30L Golden State Warriors are set to square off against the 14W-50L San Antonio Spurs. Yeah, you read that right. The Warriors, trailing 8.0 games behind in the Western conference, are looking to get back on their feet after a bit of a stumble against the Spurs. On the other hand, the Spurs, even though they’re a whopping 25.0 games back, are riding high after their recent 126-115 victory over GSW. The tipoff is at 08:00PM EST, so grab your popcorn and get ready for some action! Betting lines are drawn with the Warriors at -5.0 and the Spurs at 5.0, with an over/under of 225.5. Let’s see if the Warriors can turn the tables this time, or if the Spurs will keep their winning streak alive. Buckle up, folks – it’s going to be a wild ride!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 11, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio
Vegas Odds
GSW ML | SAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -220 | +180 | 229.0 | -5.0/5.0 |
Recent | -195 | +165 | 225.5 | -5.0/5.0 |
Difference | +25 | -15 | -3.5 | – |
Team Performance
66.1% Win Probability
33.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/09/24 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 32 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 126 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 113 | ||||
11/24/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 35 | 20 | 26 | 31 | 112 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 32 | 27 | 27 | 32 | 118 | ||||
03/31/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 26 | 25 | 37 | 27 | 115 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 31 | 33 | 43 | 130 | ||||
01/13/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 33 | 41 | 40 | 30 | 144 | Over | ||
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 28 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 113 | ||||
11/14/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 26 | 19 | 23 | 27 | 95 | Over | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 33 | 28 | 38 | 33 | 132 | ||||
04/09/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 31 | 24 | 22 | 100 | Under | ||
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 21 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 94 | ||||
03/20/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 36 | 27 | 20 | 27 | 110 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 22 | 35 | 27 | 24 | 108 | ||||
02/01/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 31 | 28 | 35 | 124 | Over | ||
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 36 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 120 | ||||
12/04/21 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 36 | 31 | 32 | 13 | 112 | Under | ||
Golden State Warriors GSW | 21 | 37 | 30 | 19 | 107 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Spurs Vs Over/Under
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
31.7 | 30.1 | 30.4 | 90% | 31.0 | |
29.9 | 22.9 | 17.5 | 13% | 29.1 | |
37.9 | 30.8 | 32.4 | 83% | 31.4 | |
Chris Paul
PG
|
35.9 | 27.9 | 27.3 | 30% | 33.8 |
28.0 | 23.0 | 26.2 | 47% | 26.3 |
San Antonio Spurs | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14.5 | 14.8 | 14.6 | 100% | 14.7 | |
Tre Jones
PG
|
26.7 | 25.1 | 28.2 | 100% | 27.5 |
27.9 | 29.9 | 27.2 | 100% | 26.8 | |
41.3 | 45.6 | 36.4 | 100% | 35.4 | |
52.0 | 55.8 | 50.1 | 100% | 48.7 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Stephen Curry (PG): Avg: 27.1pts, 4.4reb, 5.0ast, 32.9 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 6.1
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.2reb, 0.3ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.5
- Usman Garuba (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.9
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.5ast, 1.7 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.2
Spurs Notable Injuries
- Cedi Osman (SF/PF): Avg: 6.8pts, 2.6reb, 1.7ast, 17.5 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 1.7
- Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.6reb, 0.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Devin Vassell | SAS | Pts | 20.5 | 23.4 | +2.9 | 80% | 70% | 67% | 67% | GSW | -0.8 | #10 |
Tre Jones | SAS | Pts | 8.5 | 10.0 | +1.5 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | GSW | -0.8 | #10 |
Chris Paul | GSW | Reb | 4.5 | 4.9 | +0.4 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% | SAS | -0.5 | #7 |
Draymond Green | GSW | Ast | 5.5 | 6.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | SAS | +0.9 | #27 |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #14 | #20 | #30 | #18 | 3.0% |
PF | #28 | #29 | #7 | #27 | 8.6% |
PG | #20 | #12 | #16 | #19 | 2.2% |
SF | #7 | #24 | #19 | #22 | 5.1% |
SG | #10 | #9 | #23 | #15 | -1.6% |
Spurs Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #26 | #22 | #19 | #28 | 12.4% |
PF | #20 | #13 | #1 | #10 | -5.1% |
PG | #27 | #19 | #15 | #28 | 15.2% |
SF | #3 | #27 | #27 | #13 | -0.9% |
SG | #21 | #7 | #25 | #20 | 2.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Zach Collins (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.9% to 23.3, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.
- David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Cedi Osman (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 11.9, 17.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Blake Wesley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.0% to 16.5, 11.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Andrew Wiggins (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.4% to 18.4, 28.9 min average previous 3 games. The Warriors have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 2-game losing streak. The Spurs have a 2-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 1-game winning streak.
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