Warriors vs Spurs Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024

Warriors
39W-34L

March 31, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 226.5 o/u
Spurs
18W-56L


Hold on to your basketball shorts, folks, because we’re about to witness a clash of the titans tonight! The Golden State Warriors, with a respectable 39 wins and 34 losses under their belt, are packing their bags and heading to the heart of Texas to face off against the San Antonio Spurs, who, despite a less-than-stellar 18-56 record, have been showing some serious grit lately. The AT&T Center will be buzzing with excitement as the game tips off at 7 PM EST, with the stakes higher than ever. The Warriors, trailing by a mere 7 games in the Western conference, have their eyes set on closing that gap. Meanwhile, the Spurs, lagging by 27 games, are hungry for a comeback. The betting lines are drawn, with an over/under of 226.5, and the Warriors favored to win by 8.5 points. But don’t let the numbers fool you! The Spurs are riding high on a recent 130-126 victory against the Knicks, while the Warriors are still basking in the glory of their 115-97 win over the Hornets. So, buckle up, because when Warriors meet Spurs, it’s not just a game, it’s a battle of wills and wits where the only certainty is that sparks will fly!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 31, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio
Vegas Odds
GSW ML | SAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -380 | +290 | 227.0 | -8.5/8.5 |
Recent | -245 | +205 | 226.5 | -8.5/8.5 |
Difference | +135 | -85 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance

71.0% Win Probability

29.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/11/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 29 | 32 | 22 | 112 | Under | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 37 | 23 | 18 | 24 | 102 | ||||
03/09/24 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 32 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 113 | ||||
11/24/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 35 | 20 | 26 | 31 | 112 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 32 | 27 | 27 | 32 | 118 | ||||
03/31/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 26 | 25 | 37 | 27 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 31 | 33 | 43 | 130 | ||||
01/13/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 33 | 41 | 40 | 30 | 144 | Over | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 28 | 32 | 29 | 24 | 113 | ||||
11/14/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 26 | 19 | 23 | 27 | 95 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 33 | 28 | 38 | 33 | 132 | ||||
04/09/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 31 | 24 | 22 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 21 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 94 | ||||
03/20/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 36 | 27 | 20 | 27 | 110 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 22 | 35 | 27 | 24 | 108 | ||||
02/01/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 30 | 31 | 28 | 35 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
|
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 36 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 120 | ||||
12/04/21 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 36 | 31 | 32 | 13 | 112 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 21 | 37 | 30 | 19 | 107 |
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Spurs Vs Over/Under
Warriors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | vs CHA | 115-97W | 50 | 35 | 12 | 89 |
03/27 | vs ORL | 101-93W | 52 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
03/26 | vs MIA | 113-92W | 43 | 31 | 10 | 85 |
03/24 | vs MIN | 110-114L | 41 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
03/22 | @ IND | 111-125L | 64 | 24 | 14 | 106 |
03/20 | @ MEM | 137-116W | 48 | 43 | 6 | 100 |
03/18 | @ NYK | 112-119L | 39 | 29 | 13 | 88 |
03/16 | vs LAL | 128-127W | 45 | 38 | 7 | 97 |
03/13 | vs DAL | 99-109L | 42 | 19 | 15 | 92 |
03/11 | vs SAS | 112-102W | 45 | 28 | 13 | 93 |
Spurs Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/29 | @ NYK | 130-126W | 46 | 34 | 15 | 83 |
03/27 | vs UTA | 118-111W | 41 | 40 | 21 | 86 |
03/25 | @ PHX | 104-102W | 40 | 23 | 7 | 91 |
03/23 | @ PHX | 106-131L | 34 | 27 | 15 | 85 |
03/22 | @ MEM | 97-99L | 56 | 24 | 16 | 97 |
03/19 | @ DAL | 107-113L | 48 | 31 | 15 | 89 |
03/17 | @ BRO | 122-115W | 50 | 30 | 17 | 99 |
03/15 | @ DEN | 106-117L | 44 | 23 | 16 | 82 |
03/12 | @ HOU | 101-103L | 42 | 30 | 13 | 84 |
03/11 | @ GSW | 102-112L | 50 | 27 | 15 | 93 |
Starting Lineups
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
39.1 | 38.4 | 42.0 | 100% | 42.4 | |
35.7 | 24.6 | 29.9 | 100% | 30.3 | |
33.5 | 29.6 | 32.4 | 100% | 31.3 | |
29.7 | 28.0 | 27.5 | 53% | 25.8 | |
33.0 | 31.4 | 26.8 | 100% | 26.3 |
San Antonio Spurs | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20.9 | 16.4 | 14.2 | 100% | 14.3 | |
Tre Jones
PG
|
29.0 | 22.6 | 26.6 | 100% | 25.9 |
Cedi Osman
PF
|
15.9 | 12.8 | 11.7 | 0% | 0 |
41.6 | 36.9 | 36.6 | 100% | 35.6 | |
56.9 | 52.1 | 50.9 | 100% | 49.5 |
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
- Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.3reb, 0.6ast, 8.1 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4
Spurs Notable Injuries
- Keldon Johnson (SF): Avg: 15.8pts, 5.5reb, 2.8ast, 29.6 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 4.5
- Jeremy Sochan (SF/PF): Avg: 11.3pts, 6.4reb, 3.3ast, 29.5 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 5.0
- Dominick Barlow (PF/C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.5reb, 1.1ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 1.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Andrew Wiggins | GSW | Pts | 14.5 | 17.7 | +3.2 | 80% | 80% | 53% | 53% | SAS | -9.3 | #1 |
Jonathan Kuminga | GSW | Pts | 17.5 | 19.4 | +1.9 | 40% | 70% | 73% | 73% | SAS | -9.3 | #1 |
Devin Vassell | SAS | Reb | 4.5 | 4.7 | +0.2 | 0% | 10% | 33% | 33% | GSW | -1.2 | #1 |
Klay Thompson | GSW | Ast | 1.5 | 2.4 | +0.9 | 100% | 80% | 67% | 67% | SAS | +0.5 | #24 |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #17 | #11 | #13 | #19 | 0.8% |
PF | #30 | #29 | #22 | #29 | 9.1% |
PG | #27 | #29 | #25 | #29 | 23.9% |
SF | #11 | #20 | #19 | #17 | 2.6% |
SG | #3 | #1 | #29 | #4 | -9.0% |
Spurs Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #29 | #13 | #27 | #29 | 9.1% |
PF | #5 | #13 | #3 | #3 | -11.4% |
PG | #20 | #18 | #17 | #24 | 10.8% |
SF | #1 | #13 | #7 | #2 | -32.1% |
SG | #26 | #17 | #24 | #27 | 7.2% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Julian Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.6% to 26.5, 20.3 min average previous 3 games.
- David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Draymond Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.6% to 19.8, 29.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Andrew Wiggins (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.2% to 33.4, 25.3 min average previous 3 games. The Warriors have a 3-game winning streak on the road.
Heat vs Mavericks Game Breakdown
February 13, 2025 at 10:57 am by thefield
Thunder vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
February 13, 2025 at 10:57 am by thefield
Kings vs Pelicans Game Breakdown
February 13, 2025 at 10:57 am by thefield
Warriors vs Rockets Game Breakdown
February 13, 2025 at 10:57 am by thefield
Warriors vs Mavericks Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:27 am by thefield
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:27 am by thefield
Lakers vs Jazz Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:27 am by thefield
Suns vs Rockets Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:27 am by thefield
Pistons vs Bulls Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:27 am by thefield
Kings vs Pelicans Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:27 am by thefield
Heat vs Thunder Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:27 am by thefield
Bucks vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:26 am by thefield
76ers vs Nets Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:26 am by thefield
Hawks vs Knicks Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:26 am by thefield
Cavaliers vs Raptors Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:26 am by thefield
Hornets vs Magic Game Breakdown
February 12, 2025 at 10:26 am by thefield