Rockets vs Hawks Game Breakdown

Get ready to launch into an electrifying NBA playoff showdown as the high-flying Houston Rockets zoom into State Farm Arena, aiming to ignite the scoreboard against the Atlanta Hawks tonight at 8:30 PM EST. With the Rockets blasting through the season with a stellar 31-14 record and the Hawks clawing at a chance to even out their 22-24 stance, this game is set to break the first round’s blowout curse. As the odds tilt slightly in favor of the Rockets, the stakes are sky-high with a 226-point over/under, promising a showdown that could go either way. After the Rockets rocketed past Boston and the Hawks took a nosedive against Minnesota, tonight’s matchup is perfectly poised for some high-octane basketball. So, fans, buckle up as the Rockets aim to soar and the Hawks look to swoop in on a victory in a battle that’s anything but for the birds!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 28, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-180	+155	228.0	-4.5/4.5
Recent	-170	+130	226.0	-6.5/6.5
Difference	+10	-25	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

25W-34L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

30W-27L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/10/24	Houston Rockets HOU	31	18	35	29	113	Over
02/10/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	19	38	38	27	122	Over
12/20/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	39	38	21	36	134	Over
12/20/23	Houston Rockets HOU	29	36	35	27	127	Over
11/25/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	39	32	18	122	Over
11/25/22	Houston Rockets HOU	38	31	25	34	128	Over
10/19/22	Houston Rockets HOU	20	30	30	27	107	Under
10/19/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	33	25	33	117	Under
04/10/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	35	38	29	28	130	Over
04/10/22	Houston Rockets HOU	24	35	32	23	114	Over
12/13/21	Houston Rockets HOU	28	30	30	44	132	Over
12/13/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	38	31	32	25	126	Over

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/27	vs BOS	114-112W	39	29	7	92
01/22	@ CLE	109-108W	53	25	22	91
01/20	@ DET	96-107L	39	19	16	94
01/18	vs POR	125-103W	61	25	12	108
01/16	vs SAC	127-132L	46	24	14	93
01/15	vs DEN	128-108W	40	28	8	94
01/13	@ MEM	120-118W	40	28	22	81
01/09	vs MEM	119-115W	44	21	12	96
01/07	vs WAS	135-112W	49	31	10	97
01/03	@ BOS	86-109L	37	9	11	88

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/27	vs MIN	92-100L	51	24	21	86
01/23	@ TOR	119-122L	36	30	14	87
01/22	@ DET	104-114L	47	25	13	103
01/20	vs NYK	110-119L	41	23	23	85
01/18	vs BOS	119-115W	55	27	17	93
01/15	vs CHI	110-94W	51	28	9	100
01/14	@ PHX	122-117W	54	22	12	98
01/09	vs PHX	115-123L	32	32	11	86
01/07	vs UTA	124-121W	44	35	10	98
01/04	vs LAC	105-131L	43	30	22	88

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	22.0	24.5	24.4	100%	24.8
Jalen Green SG	31.0	30.9	32.2	100%	32.6
Alperen Sengun C	43.0	42.0	43.7	100%	44.1
Amen Thompson PF	42.0	43.5	32.1	40%	42.2
Fred VanVleet PG	34.0	33.2	34.2	100%	34.5

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dyson Daniels SG	35.0	37.3	33.0	100%	33.3
Vit Krejci SF	25.0	20.1	14.7	43%	21.8
Onyeka Okongwu C	42.0	34.0	27.2	13%	30.9
Zaccharie Risacher PF	16.0	18.2	19.7	100%	20.1
Trae Young PG	43.0	46.5	46.2	100%	46.5

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jeff Green (PF/C): Avg: 6.4pts, 2.2reb, 0.8ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 01/16/25. Impact: 1.7
Jock Landale (C): Avg: 4.4pts, 3.0reb, 1.0ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.1
Reed Sheppard (PG/SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.2reb, 1.2ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 1.0
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 0.7

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (PF): Avg: 17.2pts, 9.2reb, 4.1ast, 34.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 6.3
Daeqwon Plowden (SG/SF): Avg: 19.0pts, 4.0reb, 0.0ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 4.3
Keaton Wallace (PG): Avg: 6.8pts, 1.7reb, 2.6ast, 18.7 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 3.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Onyeka Okongwu	ATL	Pts	12.5	17.7	+5.2	60%	50%	47%	47%	HOU	-6.3	#1
Vit Krejci	ATL	Pts	9.5	10.0	+0.5	40%	60%	47%	47%	HOU	+1.8	#28
Dyson Daniels	ATL	Reb	5.5	6.1	+0.6	60%	40%	40%	40%	HOU	+0.6	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#4	#13	#1	-18.6%
PF	#4	#4	#16	#3	-7.7%
PG	#28	#25	#1	#21	1.9%
SF	#5	#23	#2	#2	-13.1%
SG	#23	#4	#16	#17	-0.1%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#24	#15	#25	#21	5.0%
PF	#23	#10	#24	#20	1.4%
PG	#8	#13	#19	#13	-1.3%
SF	#30	#25	#24	#30	12.4%
SG	#9	#21	#28	#18	0.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.9

116.0

Rebounds per Game

46.2

46.6

Assists per Game

22.1

29.0

Steals per Game

9.6

10.4

Blocks per Game

4.4

5.0

Shots per Game

92.0

92.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.8

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.5

53.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.6

34.0

Turnovers per Game

13.6

15.0

Fouls per Game

19.4

18.7

Recent Trends

Steven Adams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.8% to 16.5, 11.5 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Holiday (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.5% to 14.8, 10.1 min average previous 3 games.
Keaton Wallace (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 65.5% to 29.6, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.