Rockets vs Mavericks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024
Rockets
38W-39L
April 07, 2024
03:30PM EST
Odds: 225.5 o/u
Mavericks
47W-30L
Get ready for a Texas-sized showdown this afternoon, folks! The scrappy Houston Rockets, boasting a 38-39 record, are saddling up to ride into the American Airlines Center, the lair of the high-flying Dallas Mavericks who are sitting pretty at 47-30. Set your clocks for a 03:30 PM EST tipoff, ’cause you won’t want to miss a second of this Western conference rumble. The Rockets are trailing by 9 games, while the Mavs are sitting on top of the world with no games back. The bookies have crunched the numbers and set the over/under at 225.5, with the Rockets at 7.0 and the Mavs at a formidable -7.0. The Mavs are still riding high from their recent 108-106 victory over the Golden State Warriors, while the Rockets are looking to bounce back from a 104-109 defeat against Miami. Buckle up, basketball lovers, because when these two teams clash, it’s not just a game, it’s a rocket-fueled maverick showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 07, 2024 03:30PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vegas Odds
HOU ML | DAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +240 | -290 | 227.0 | 7.0/-7.0 |
Recent | +275 | -350 | 225.5 | 8.5/-8.5 |
Difference | +35 | -60 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance
26.7% Win Probability
73.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/31/24 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 30 | 25 | 34 | 125 | Over | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 24 | 21 | 28 | 34 | 107 | ||||
12/22/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 17 | 22 | 21 | 36 | 96 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 122 | ||||
11/28/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 22 | 28 | 38 | 27 | 115 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 29 | 25 | 30 | 37 | 121 | ||||
01/02/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 18 | 26 | 39 | 28 | 111 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 26 | 29 | 32 | 19 | 106 | ||||
12/29/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 30 | 21 | 28 | 35 | 114 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 36 | 29 | 34 | 30 | 129 | ||||
12/23/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 31 | 20 | 31 | 112 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 24 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 106 | ||||
11/16/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 31 | 26 | 19 | 25 | 101 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 28 | 23 | 23 | 18 | 92 | ||||
03/23/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 21 | 32 | 19 | 19 | 91 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 25 | 27 | 30 | 28 | 110 | ||||
03/11/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 31 | 36 | 29 | 17 | 113 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 21 | 28 | 28 | 100 | ||||
01/07/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 43 | 37 | 30 | 20 | 130 | Over | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 37 | 26 | 20 | 106 | ||||
10/26/21 | Houston Rockets HOU | 31 | 29 | 28 | 18 | 106 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 27 | 30 | 34 | 25 | 116 |
Rockets Vs Over/Under
Mavericks Vs Over/Under
Rockets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05 | @ MIA | 104-109L | 45 | 25 | 9 | 81 |
04/04 | @ GSW | 110-133L | 29 | 23 | 12 | 86 |
04/02 | vs MIN | 106-113L | 37 | 23 | 14 | 92 |
03/31 | @ DAL | 107-125L | 43 | 22 | 10 | 92 |
03/29 | vs UTA | 101-100W | 45 | 19 | 10 | 91 |
03/27 | vs OKL | 132-126W | 50 | 25 | 16 | 104 |
03/25 | @ POR | 110-92W | 45 | 19 | 8 | 93 |
03/23 | @ UTA | 147-119W | 44 | 31 | 9 | 97 |
03/21 | @ CHI | 127-117W | 49 | 27 | 14 | 93 |
03/19 | vs WAS | 137-114W | 47 | 25 | 7 | 91 |
Mavericks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05 | @ GSW | 108-106W | 41 | 30 | 17 | 84 |
04/04 | @ ATL | 109-95W | 53 | 20 | 14 | 94 |
04/02 | vs GSW | 100-104L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 89 |
03/31 | vs HOU | 125-107W | 47 | 24 | 13 | 93 |
03/29 | vs SAC | 107-103W | 42 | 24 | 10 | 76 |
03/26 | vs SAC | 132-96W | 49 | 34 | 9 | 92 |
03/25 | vs UTA | 115-105W | 47 | 31 | 6 | 92 |
03/21 | @ UTA | 113-98W | 43 | 33 | 13 | 87 |
03/19 | vs SAS | 113-107W | 40 | 31 | 9 | 91 |
03/17 | @ DEN | 107-105W | 60 | 22 | 11 | 100 |
Starting Lineups
Houston Rockets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17.7 | 13.4 | 19.5 | 100% | 19.3 | |
Jalen Green
SG
|
40.4 | 39.5 | 37.5 | 100% | 37.0 |
32.0 | 35.5 | 28.0 | 100% | 27.8 | |
30.1 | 33.6 | 29.2 | 57% | 33.2 | |
39.4 | 38.0 | 36.8 | 93% | 37.6 |
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
65.7 | 62.5 | 65.9 | 100% | 66.2 |
35.3 | 26.6 | 28.6 | 73% | 32.8 | |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
45.3 | 40.9 | 41.9 | 100% | 42.3 |
18.2 | 14.8 | 12.6 | 70% | 14.6 | |
30.8 | 36.8 | 26.5 | 80% | 26.7 |
Rockets Notable Injuries
- Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): Avg: 4.1pts, 2.9reb, 1.0ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 1.2
- Nate Hinton (SG): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.2reb, 0.5ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 1.0
- Boban Marjanovic (C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.9
- Nate Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.7
- Jermaine Samuels (PF): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.6
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Dereck Lively II (C): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.8reb, 1.1ast, 23.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.2
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.4
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
- Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.9ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 04/04/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 30.5 | 33.7 | +3.2 | 20% | 30% | 47% | 47% | HOU | +3.5 | #29 |
Daniel Gafford | DAL | Pts | 10.5 | 13.3 | +2.8 | 0% | 30% | 47% | 47% | HOU | -0.4 | #13 |
Jabari Smith Jr. | HOU | Reb | 8.5 | 8.8 | +0.3 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 20% | DAL | +1.3 | #26 |
Fred VanVleet | HOU | Ast | 7.5 | 8.1 | +0.6 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | DAL | -0.4 | #10 |
Rockets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #10 | #13 | #13 | -1.0% |
PF | #3 | #19 | #2 | #5 | -9.7% |
PG | #20 | #24 | #29 | #21 | 8.3% |
SF | #1 | #30 | #6 | #5 | -20.3% |
SG | #29 | #21 | #1 | #23 | 4.1% |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #3 | #26 | #25 | #10 | -3.6% |
PF | #10 | #9 | #4 | #11 | -4.7% |
PG | #18 | #10 | #2 | #12 | -7.6% |
SF | #25 | #6 | #24 | #16 | 3.4% |
SG | #12 | #28 | #10 | #17 | -1.2% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Jeff Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.9% to 20.1, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 19.3, 13.8 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak. The Mavericks have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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