Rockets vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready for an explosive showdown at Ball Arena tonight as the high-flying Houston Rockets rocket into Denver to challenge the Nuggets in a clash that’s anything but rocky. With both teams lighting up the scoreboard recently, the Rockets barely edging past Memphis and the Nuggets crushing Dallas, tonight’s 10:00 PM tipoff promises to be a nail-biter. Sitting pretty at the top of the Western Conference, the Rockets are looking to maintain their lead, while the Nuggets, not far behind, aim to chip away at that gap. With the stakes sky-high and the over/under tantalizingly set at 231, fans are gearing up for a game that could very well redefine the playoff landscape. So, as the Rockets prepare to launch and the Nuggets get ready to dig in, brace yourself for a game where the only thing more explosive than the action on the court might just be the final score!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 15, 2025 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	231.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-115	-115	231.0	-1.0/1.0
Difference	0	-10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

22W-33L

53.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

42W-15L

46.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/08/23	Houston Rockets HOU	27	25	40	22	114	Under
12/08/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	22	26	26	32	106	Under
11/29/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	33	38	27	124	Over
11/29/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	41	35	32	26	134	Over
11/24/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	19	24	26	17	86	Under
11/24/23	Houston Rockets HOU	29	31	24	21	105	Under
11/12/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	20	26	28	104	Under
11/12/23	Houston Rockets HOU	23	23	28	33	107	Under
04/04/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	29	26	18	103	Under
04/04/23	Houston Rockets HOU	31	25	30	38	124	Under
02/28/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	41	33	32	27	133	Over
02/28/23	Houston Rockets HOU	30	24	30	28	112	Over
11/30/22	Houston Rockets HOU	24	23	25	28	100	Under
11/30/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	44	30	22	24	120	Under
11/28/22	Houston Rockets HOU	39	29	23	22	113	Over
11/28/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	42	28	36	23	129	Over
03/04/22	Houston Rockets HOU	26	20	24	31	101	Under
03/04/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	26	36	29	116	Under
01/01/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	47	22	25	124	Over
01/01/22	Houston Rockets HOU	31	24	19	37	111	Over
11/06/21	Houston Rockets HOU	27	20	24	23	94	Under
11/06/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	20	26	23	95	Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/13	@ MEM	120-118W	40	28	22	81
01/09	vs MEM	119-115W	44	21	12	96
01/07	vs WAS	135-112W	49	31	10	97
01/03	@ BOS	86-109L	37	9	11	88
01/01	@ DAL	110-99W	35	16	12	89
12/29	@ MIA	100-104L	52	24	12	97
12/27	@ MIN	112-113L	48	19	14	92
12/26	vs NOP	128-111W	54	19	15	97
12/22	vs TOR	114-110W	53	18	21	89
12/19	@ NOP	133-113W	42	34	11	87

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/14	vs DAL	118-99W	51	28	18	83
01/12	vs DAL	112-101W	55	23	13	94
01/10	@ BRO	124-105W	49	34	14	87
01/08	@ LAC	126-103W	45	29	11	89
01/07	@ BOS	106-118L	39	22	16	87
01/04	vs SAS	122-111W	58	32	7	108
01/03	@ SAS	110-113L	46	33	8	97
01/01	@ ATL	139-120W	43	44	12	94
12/30	vs UTA	132-121W	51	38	7	105
12/28	@ DET	134-121W	40	29	13	82

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks PF	24.0	22.1	24.6	100%	24.9
Jalen Green SF	38.0	42.8	32.3	100%	32.7
Alperen Sengun C	47.0	44.1	43.4	100%	43.8
Amen Thompson SG	36.0	38.6	27.6	23%	41.4
Fred VanVleet PG	37.0	32.2	34.2	100%	34.5

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	19.0	19.1	24.9	100%	25.2
Nikola Jokic C	63.0	69.2	67.0	100%	67.4
Jamal Murray SG	33.0	34.6	37.4	100%	37.8
Michael Porter Jr. PF	28.0	30.0	33.6	100%	34.0
Russell Westbrook PG	35.0	43.4	33.9	47%	39.8

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 12.9pts, 7.6reb, 1.4ast, 31.5 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 4.0
Jock Landale (C): Avg: 4.4pts, 3.0reb, 1.1ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 1.0
Reed Sheppard (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.2reb, 1.2ast, 11.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.1
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 0.6

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (C): Avg: 7.1pts, 4.2reb, 2.1ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 2.0
Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.4ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.3
Jalen Pickett (PG/SG): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.9
Hunter Tyson (SF/PF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.4
Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.4ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 01/14/25. Impact: 0.4
Spencer Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Cam Whitmore	HOU	Pts	10.5	11.4	+0.9	80%	60%	40%	40%	DEN	-0.2	#16
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Pts	15.5	15.9	+0.4	40%	50%	40%	40%	DEN	-1.6	#5
Jalen Green	HOU	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	40%	40%	33%	33%	DEN	-0.1	#15
Russell Westbrook	DEN	Reb	5.5	6.1	+0.6	100%	90%	67%	67%	HOU	+0.6	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#14	#2	#2	-16.0%
PF	#7	#1	#10	#3	-10.3%
PG	#21	#24	#1	#14	-0.7%
SF	#3	#29	#2	#5	-8.3%
SG	#19	#6	#9	#14	-2.0%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#19	#23	#27	#24	6.8%
PF	#11	#2	#8	#6	-3.9%
PG	#5	#12	#29	#19	1.7%
SF	#16	#4	#27	#15	-0.0%
SG	#30	#15	#23	#28	8.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.1

120.8

Rebounds per Game

47.4

45.3

Assists per Game

22.2

31.2

Steals per Game

9.5

8.8

Blocks per Game

5.0

4.8

Shots per Game

92.8

90.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.0

11.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.6

57.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.7

37.7

Turnovers per Game

13.2

14.1

Fouls per Game

19.5

18.3

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 10.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 10.0 ast against DAL
Aaron Gordon (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.7% to 18.3, 29.9 min average previous 3 games.
DeAndre Jordan (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.9% to 11.6, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.