Rockets vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at FedEx Forum tonight as the Houston Rockets blast off to Memphis, aiming to light up the scoreboard against the Grizzlies in what promises to be one of the more explosive matchups of the NBA’s 2024 Playoff first round. With both teams boasting impressive records and just a whisker apart in the Western conference standings, this 10:30 PM EST tipoff is set to be a high-octane clash. The Rockets are flying high after their latest victory, while the Grizzlies are hungry to bounce back from a recent stumble. With the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing, fans are in for an electrifying night of basketball where the Rockets might just find out if they can bear the heat or if the Grizzlies will claw their way to victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 30, 2025 10:30PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+160	-185	238.0	4.5/-4.5
Recent	+155	-180	237.5	5.0/-5.0
Difference	-5	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

26W-34L

39.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

26W-35L

60.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/13/25	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	30	32	26	118	Over
01/13/25	Houston Rockets HOU	23	34	30	33	120	Over
01/09/25	Houston Rockets HOU	45	23	33	18	119	Under
01/09/25	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	27	29	23	115	Under
10/25/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	27	18	25	108	Under
10/25/24	Houston Rockets HOU	38	21	39	30	128	Under
02/14/24	Houston Rockets HOU	21	28	32	32	113	Under
02/14/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	22	26	37	121	Under
12/15/23	Houston Rockets HOU	14	31	30	28	103	Under
12/15/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	29	26	19	22	96	Under
12/13/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	23	20	38	23	104	Under
12/13/23	Houston Rockets HOU	29	28	25	35	117	Under
11/22/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	18	22	23	91	Under
11/22/23	Houston Rockets HOU	21	24	29	37	111	Under
03/24/23	Houston Rockets HOU	30	22	32	30	114	Over
03/24/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	42	41	36	32	151	Over
03/22/23	Houston Rockets HOU	34	30	32	29	125	Over
03/22/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	37	38	26	29	130	Over
03/01/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	22	38	28	113	Under
03/01/23	Houston Rockets HOU	19	25	24	31	99	Under
10/21/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	36	33	34	129	Over
10/21/22	Houston Rockets HOU	32	38	30	22	122	Over
03/20/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	26	28	38	122	Under
03/20/22	Houston Rockets HOU	21	23	27	27	98	Under
03/06/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	28	30	20	112	Under
03/06/22	Houston Rockets HOU	27	25	40	31	123	Under
12/11/21	Houston Rockets HOU	29	18	30	29	106	Under
12/11/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	40	23	23	27	113	Under
11/15/21	Houston Rockets HOU	20	36	15	31	102	Over
11/15/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	41	31	31	136	Over

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/28	vs ATL	100-96W	44	19	21	79
01/27	vs BOS	114-112W	39	29	7	92
01/22	@ CLE	109-108W	53	25	22	91
01/20	@ DET	96-107L	39	19	16	94
01/18	vs POR	125-103W	61	25	12	108
01/16	vs SAC	127-132L	46	24	14	93
01/15	vs DEN	128-108W	40	28	8	94
01/13	@ MEM	120-118W	40	28	22	81
01/09	vs MEM	119-115W	44	21	12	96
01/07	vs WAS	135-112W	49	31	10	97

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/27	vs NYK	106-143L	47	21	26	91
01/24	@ NOP	139-126W	43	38	12	101
01/22	@ CHA	132-120W	40	36	16	98
01/20	@ MIN	108-106W	47	19	13	86
01/17	vs SAS	140-112W	41	39	7	97
01/15	vs SAS	129-115W	52	28	8	103
01/13	vs HOU	118-120L	31	15	17	85
01/11	vs MIN	127-125W	46	25	13	108
01/09	@ HOU	115-119L	43	20	19	84
01/06	@ DAL	119-104W	55	24	13	88

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	22.0	22.4	24.2	100%	24.6
Jalen Green SG	31.0	29.9	32.1	100%	32.6
Alperen Sengun C	41.0	39.1	43.4	100%	43.8
Amen Thompson PF	44.0	42.6	32.2	43%	41.2
Fred VanVleet PG	34.0	29.9	34.2	100%	34.5

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	37.0	42.0	36.1	100%	35.4
Zach Edey C	21.0	21.1	21.3	76%	19.8
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	42.0	37.1	40.5	100%	40.9
Ja Morant PG	39.0	38.5	39.7	100%	40.0
Jaylen Wells SF	15.0	20.9	20.1	100%	20.4

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jeff Green (PF/C): Avg: 6.4pts, 2.2reb, 0.8ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 01/16/25. Impact: 1.7
Reed Sheppard (PG/SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.2reb, 1.2ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 1.0
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 0.7

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Jay Huff (C): Avg: 5.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 1.6
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.8ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Pts	21.5	23.7	+2.2	60%	50%	60%	60%	HOU	-1.8	#3
Desmond Bane	MEM	Pts	17.5	19.5	+2.0	80%	80%	87%	87%	HOU	+1.2	#22
Amen Thompson	HOU	Reb	10.5	11.1	+0.6	20%	30%	27%	27%	MEM	-0.1	#15
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Ast	5.5	6.6	+1.1	40%	50%	53%	53%	MEM	-0.8	#4
Jalen Green	HOU	Ast	2.5	2.9	+0.4	60%	70%	53%	53%	MEM	+0.2	#19
Luke Kennard	MEM	3Pt	1.5	1.8	+0.3	60%	70%	80%	80%	HOU	+0.1	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#2	#11	#2	-19.7%
PF	#3	#5	#17	#3	-8.0%
PG	#23	#26	#1	#20	0.8%
SF	#3	#23	#1	#2	-13.2%
SG	#22	#5	#13	#16	-0.4%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#19	#8	#13	#17	1.2%
PF	#27	#24	#27	#29	10.1%
PG	#6	#15	#4	#5	-4.4%
SF	#20	#11	#30	#27	8.1%
SG	#27	#7	#19	#23	5.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.3

125.6

Rebounds per Game

46.1

46.8

Assists per Game

22.0

29.1

Steals per Game

9.7

9.9

Blocks per Game

4.4

5.1

Shots per Game

91.4

94.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.6

15.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.8

55.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.2

39.1

Turnovers per Game

13.9

16.0

Fouls per Game

19.5

22.3

Recent Trends

Steven Adams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.8% to 16.5, 11.5 min average previous 3 games.
Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.8% to 19.8, 15.1 min average previous 3 games.
Zach Edey (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.6% to 20.6, 14.2 min average previous 3 games.
Gregory Jackson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 16.3, 28.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.5% to 20.2, 14.7 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.