Rockets vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready for an explosive clash at Fiserv Forum tonight as the high-flying Houston Rockets, boasting a stellar 10-4 record, jet into Milwaukee to challenge the struggling Bucks, who are hungry to buck their recent trend of losses. With the majority of the first-round playoff games turning out to be no-contest blowouts, tonight’s game promises to dial up the intensity. Set your watches for a 09:00 PM EST tipoff and keep an eye on those betting lines; the Rockets are looking to launch another big win, while the Bucks are aiming to leap back into contention. After a nail-biter loss to Charlotte and a rocket-fueled win against Chicago, both teams are at a tipping point. Tonight, expect the Rockets to try igniting their engines in enemy territory, while the Bucks look to lock horns and defend their turf. Will the Rockets soar or will the Bucks stop here? Let’s find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 18, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+130	-150	220.0	3.5/-3.5
Recent	+120	-140	224.5	3.0/-3.0
Difference	-10	+10	+4.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

16W-29L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

34W-13L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/06/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	18	25	30	35	108	Under
01/06/24	Houston Rockets HOU	29	34	26	23	112	Under
12/17/23	Houston Rockets HOU	28	32	31	28	119	Over
12/17/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	38	29	28	128	Over
12/11/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	23	31	13	92	Under
12/11/22	Houston Rockets HOU	19	31	24	23	97	Under
10/22/22	Houston Rockets HOU	23	25	31	26	105	Over
10/22/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	41	26	31	27	125	Over
12/22/21	Houston Rockets HOU	24	26	26	30	106	Over
12/22/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	38	34	29	126	Over
12/10/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	32	32	33	123	Over
12/10/21	Houston Rockets HOU	23	42	30	19	114	Over

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/17	vs CHI	143-107W	66	34	10	105
11/15	@ LAC	125-104W	48	31	12	95
11/13	@ LAC	111-103W	59	28	13	97
11/11	@ WAS	107-92W	58	13	19	87
11/10	vs DET	101-99W	53	19	11	93
11/08	vs OKL	107-126L	48	19	17	90
11/06	@ SAS	127-100W	45	28	11	96
10/31	vs DAL	108-102W	50	21	8	97
10/28	vs SAS	106-101W	43	20	12	85
10/26	vs SAS	106-109L	34	21	10	92

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/16	vs CHA	114-115L	40	31	9	92
11/13	@ DET	127-120W	47	26	11	95
11/12	@ TOR	99-85W	47	25	16	94
11/10	@ BOS	107-113L	41	21	12	81
11/08	vs NYK	94-116L	41	20	12	83
11/07	@ UTA	123-100W	41	20	10	84
10/31	vs MEM	99-122L	38	20	10	96
10/28	vs BOS	108-119L	43	18	16	82
10/27	vs BRO	102-115L	43	20	18	74
10/25	@ CHI	122-133L	47	24	14	93

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	20.0	23.2	20.3	100%	20.6
Jalen Green SG	31.0	27.9	38.0	100%	38.4
Alperen Sengun C	44.0	50.5	42.2	100%	40.8
Jabari Smith Jr. PF	24.0	25.1	26.6	100%	27.0
Fred VanVleet PG	39.0	38.0	39.5	100%	39.9

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	65.0	63.7	57.5	100%	57.9
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	16.0	10.6	7.4	13%	14.1
Damian Lillard PG	44.0	40.6	43.0	100%	43.4
Brook Lopez C	29.0	27.6	25.7	100%	26.1
Taurean Prince SF	20.0	26.5	17.3	37%	22.6

Rockets Notable Injuries

Cam Whitmore (SF/PF): Avg: 11.5pts, 3.5reb, 0.6ast, 17.6 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 2.4
Jock Landale (C): Avg: 4.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.1ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 2.4
Jeff Green (PF/C): Avg: 6.5pts, 2.2reb, 0.9ast, 16.4 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 2.0
Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 2.8reb, 0.9ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 1.0
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 0.7
Jack McVeigh (SG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.4reb, 0.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 0.3

Bucks Notable Injuries

Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.8pts, 2.0reb, 0.4ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 1.4
Ryan Rollins (PG): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 6.6 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 1.5
Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 0.5
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 0.8
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.6
Chris Livingston (PF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 0.3
AJ Johnson (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Pts	29.5	33.6	+4.1	40%	60%	47%	47%	HOU	-1.7	#7
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Pts	14.5	16.8	+2.3	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIL	+2.9	#30
Jabari Smith Jr.	HOU	Reb	5.5	6.6	+1.1	80%	70%	60%	60%	MIL	-0.2	#15
Amen Thompson	HOU	Reb	6.5	7.5	+1.0	60%	40%	47%	47%	MIL	-0.0	#17
Taurean Prince	MIL	Ast	1.5	1.7	+0.2	100%	70%	60%	60%	HOU	+0.1	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#19	#4	#18	2.8%
PF	#3	#26	#2	#5	-8.1%
PG	#20	#23	#23	#27	6.5%
SF	#7	#27	#19	#13	-0.6%
SG	#26	#25	#1	#18	0.1%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#9	#2	#5	-9.0%
PF	#6	#15	#20	#6	-4.3%
PG	#30	#17	#10	#23	4.1%
SF	#17	#6	#8	#7	-3.7%
SG	#23	#30	#29	#27	7.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.7

112.6

Rebounds per Game

46.4

44.4

Assists per Game

24.0

25.4

Steals per Game

8.5

6.9

Blocks per Game

5.0

5.1

Shots per Game

93.1

87.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.5

13.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.3

56.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.9

36.1

Turnovers per Game

11.8

12.3

Fouls per Game

20.3

18.1

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 22.0 pts, 15.0 reb, 12.0 ast against CHA
Alperen Sengun (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 20.0 pts, 11.0 reb, 11.0 ast against CHI
Steven Adams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.2% to 12.5, 18.8 min average previous 3 games.
Pat Connaughton (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.9% to 21.5, 15.4 min average previous 3 games.
Delon Wright (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.9% to 28.0, 14.6 min average previous 3 games.