Rockets vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 2nd 2024

Get ready for an explosive NBA showdown tonight, as the Houston Rockets, with a decent 38-36 record, are blasting off towards the Target Center to lock horns with the high-flying Minnesota Timberwolves, who are howling loud at 51-23! With the clock set to tip-off at 08:00 PM EST, both teams are prowling in the Western conference, the Rockets trailing by 7 games and the Timberwolves just a whisker away at 1 game back. The betting lines are buzzing, the over/under is pegged at a tantalizing 214.5, and the Rockets are looking to defy the 8-point spread against the Timberwolves. Both packs are licking their wounds from recent losses; the Wolves fell short against CHI 101-109, while the Rockets fizzled against DAL 107-125. But tonight, it’s a whole new ball game. So buckle up, folks, because when Rockets fly and Timberwolves howl, you know it’s going to be a blast in the woods!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 02, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+275	-350	217.0	8.0/-8.0
Recent	+235	-285	214.5	7.5/-7.5
Difference	-40	+65	-2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

11W-24L

29.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

25W-10L

70.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/04/24	Houston Rockets HOU	23	21	20	26	90	Under
02/04/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	17	32	31	111	Under
01/05/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	24	28	38	122	Over
01/05/24	Houston Rockets HOU	24	22	26	23	95	Over
01/23/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	30	25	33	114	Over
01/23/23	Houston Rockets HOU	31	25	34	29	119	Over
01/21/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	26	32	20	104	Over
01/21/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	24	37	26	113	Over
01/08/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	34	19	27	104	Under
01/08/23	Houston Rockets HOU	33	29	19	15	96	Under
11/05/22	Houston Rockets HOU	34	15	34	34	117	Over
11/05/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	28	35	26	129	Over
04/03/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	42	38	36	23	139	Over
04/03/22	Houston Rockets HOU	32	36	24	40	132	Over
01/09/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	36	39	36	30	141	Over
01/09/22	Houston Rockets HOU	26	28	34	35	123	Over
10/20/21	Houston Rockets HOU	21	24	26	35	106	Over
10/20/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	40	27	25	124	Over

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/31	@ DAL	107-125L	43	22	10	92
03/29	vs UTA	101-100W	45	19	10	91
03/27	vs OKL	132-126W	50	25	16	104
03/25	@ POR	110-92W	45	19	8	93
03/23	@ UTA	147-119W	44	31	9	97
03/21	@ CHI	127-117W	49	27	14	93
03/19	vs WAS	137-114W	47	25	7	91
03/16	@ CLE	117-103W	48	28	9	98
03/14	@ WAS	135-119W	47	24	17	87
03/12	vs SAS	103-103L	36	21	12	80

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/31	@ CHI	101-109L	37	28	13	81
03/29	vs DEN	111-98W	39	28	7	75
03/27	@ DET	106-91W	40	28	12	82
03/24	@ GSW	114-110W	44	30	15	84
03/22	@ CLE	104-89W	45	27	11	84
03/19	@ DEN	112-115L	37	25	7	88
03/18	vs UTA	114-104W	35	27	9	91
03/16	vs UTA	119-100W	44	31	8	93
03/12	vs LAC	118-100W	48	26	9	94
03/10	vs LAL	109-120L	38	27	11	97

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks PF	19.6	18.6	20.2	100%	20.0
Jalen Green SG	40.4	51.4	38.9	100%	38.3
Jock Landale C	17.4	18.6	13.1	3%	34.2
Amen Thompson SF	32.4	35.4	28.7	50%	34.5
Fred VanVleet PG	38.2	38.5	36.7	93%	37.4

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	28.5	35.2	27.1	100%	27.6
Anthony Edwards SG	49.0	37.9	45.1	93%	45.6
Rudy Gobert C	43.6	37.2	37.9	100%	37.2
Jaden McDaniels SF	24.9	23.9	20.0	100%	19.6
Naz Reid PF	36.8	32.2	27.1	27%	35.6

Rockets Notable Injuries

Boban Marjanovic (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.9
Nate Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 5.6 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 1.3
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.5
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.1ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	13.5	16.1	+2.6	60%	50%	40%	40%	HOU	-1.3	#8
Naz Reid	MIN	Pts	16.5	18.9	+2.4	60%	70%	60%	60%	HOU	+1.4	#21
Jabari Smith Jr.	HOU	Reb	7.5	8.2	+0.7	0%	20%	27%	27%	MIN	+1.3	#27
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Ast	7.5	7.9	+0.4	0%	40%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.2	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#15	#6	#12	-2.3%
PF	#3	#21	#3	#4	-9.7%
PG	#6	#21	#29	#13	-1.4%
SF	#21	#29	#23	#27	14.1%
SG	#27	#22	#1	#17	-0.5%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#27	#5	#23	5.6%
PF	#4	#11	#8	#3	-12.3%
PG	#2	#30	#22	#12	-4.4%
SF	#28	#6	#1	#16	2.8%
SG	#4	#13	#11	#1	-11.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

120.1

109.4

Rebounds per Game

45.1

42.4

Assists per Game

25.2

26.9

Steals per Game

8.8

8.3

Blocks per Game

5.0

5.9

Shots per Game

93.3

87.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.1

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.9

53.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.1

36.7

Turnovers per Game

10.3

10.6

Fouls per Game

18.9

17.0

Recent Trends

Jeff Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.9% to 13.0, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
Naz Reid (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.9% to 31.4, 24.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 67.0% to 34.6, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.