Rockets vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rocket into a thrilling NBA Playoff showdown as the high-flying Houston Rockets blast off to the chilly confines of Target Center, aiming to ignite the scoreboard against the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight at 9 PM EST. After a slew of first-round blowouts, we’re all itching for a nail-biter, and with the Rockets soaring near the top of the Western Conference and the Timberwolves clawing to find their mid-season form, this matchup promises some serious fireworks. Both teams are hungry to bounce back from recent stumbles, setting the stage for a clash that’s as unpredictable as it is unmissable. So, as the Rockets prepare to launch and the Timberwolves sharpen their fangs, let’s see who truly has the fuel to reach the stars and who’s just howling at the moon!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 26, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-165	222.0	3.5/-3.5
Recent	+125	-145	220.5	3.5/-3.5
Difference	-15	+20	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

16W-30L

44.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

33W-12L

55.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/02/24	Houston Rockets HOU	23	22	27	34	106	Under
04/02/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	16	38	27	32	113	Under
02/04/24	Houston Rockets HOU	23	21	20	26	90	Under
02/04/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	17	32	31	111	Under
01/05/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	24	28	38	122	Under
01/05/24	Houston Rockets HOU	24	22	26	23	95	Under
01/23/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	30	25	33	114	Over
01/23/23	Houston Rockets HOU	31	25	34	29	119	Over
01/21/23	Houston Rockets HOU	26	26	32	20	104	Under
01/21/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	24	37	26	113	Under
01/08/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	34	19	27	104	Under
01/08/23	Houston Rockets HOU	33	29	19	15	96	Under
11/05/22	Houston Rockets HOU	34	15	34	34	117	Over
11/05/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	28	35	26	129	Over
04/03/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	42	38	36	23	139	Over
04/03/22	Houston Rockets HOU	32	36	24	40	132	Over
01/09/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	36	39	36	30	141	Over
01/09/22	Houston Rockets HOU	26	28	34	35	123	Over
10/20/21	Houston Rockets HOU	21	24	26	35	106	Over
10/20/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	40	27	25	124	Over

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/23	@ POR	98-104L	43	17	9	90
11/22	@ POR	116-88W	51	27	17	93
11/20	@ IND	130-113W	47	25	13	102
11/18	vs MIL	100-101L	53	19	12	100
11/17	vs CHI	143-107W	66	34	10	105
11/15	@ LAC	125-104W	48	31	12	95
11/13	@ LAC	111-103W	59	28	13	97
11/11	@ WAS	107-92W	58	13	19	87
11/10	vs DET	101-99W	53	19	11	93
11/08	vs OKL	107-126L	48	19	17	90

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/24	vs BOS	105-107L	49	19	8	88
11/21	vs TOR	105-110L	40	16	17	80
11/17	@ PHX	120-117W	32	27	14	80
11/15	vs SAC	130-126W	41	26	11	101
11/13	vs POR	98-106L	41	16	13	94
11/12	vs POR	108-122L	32	22	21	73
11/10	@ MIA	94-95L	47	22	19	88
11/08	@ POR	127-102W	49	32	17	97
11/07	vs CHI	135-119W	40	29	12	94
11/01	@ DEN	119-116W	38	34	16	83

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	21.0	22.6	20.7	100%	21.0
Jalen Green SG	33.0	27.6	36.7	100%	37.1
Alperen Sengun C	45.0	41.9	41.5	100%	41.8
Jabari Smith Jr. PF	24.0	21.7	25.8	100%	26.2
Fred VanVleet PG	37.0	36.0	38.6	100%	39.0

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	27.0	21.9	25.8	100%	26.2
Anthony Edwards SG	47.0	45.0	46.9	100%	47.3
Rudy Gobert C	39.0	31.9	32.3	100%	32.6
Jaden McDaniels SF	26.0	28.8	23.0	100%	23.4
Julius Randle PF	39.0	40.8	41.8	100%	41.0

Rockets Notable Injuries

Cam Whitmore (SF/PF): Avg: 11.3pts, 3.5reb, 0.6ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 2.1
Steven Adams (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.3reb, 1.1ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 11/22/24. Impact: 2.5
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 0.6
Jack McVeigh (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 11/22/24. Impact: 0.6

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.4 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 0.6
Josh Minott (SF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 11/24/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	10.5	14.3	+3.8	80%	60%	60%	60%	HOU	-0.6	#12
Alperen Sengun	HOU	Pts	18.5	20.9	+2.4	60%	50%	33%	33%	MIN	+1.6	#23
Dillon Brooks	HOU	Reb	2.5	3.2	+0.7	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIN	-1.2	#3
Mike Conley	MIN	Reb	2.5	3.0	+0.5	80%	60%	67%	67%	HOU	-0.1	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#20	#2	#15	1.2%
PF	#3	#22	#1	#5	-9.8%
PG	#10	#16	#27	#19	1.5%
SF	#5	#29	#5	#8	-3.9%
SG	#25	#23	#1	#17	-1.3%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#10	#22	#20	3.5%
PF	#1	#3	#3	#2	-14.8%
PG	#19	#27	#10	#17	1.0%
SF	#17	#3	#2	#7	-3.9%
SG	#7	#7	#6	#2	-8.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

112.2

Rebounds per Game

46.1

42.2

Assists per Game

24.2

26.4

Steals per Game

9.1

8.5

Blocks per Game

4.8

5.4

Shots per Game

93.5

86.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

13.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.6

54.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.1

37.9

Turnovers per Game

11.3

12.9

Fouls per Game

20.3

18.7

Recent Trends

Mike Conley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.8% to 30.4, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
Donte DiVincenzo (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.5% to 28.2, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.