Rockets vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 27th 2024

Rockets
36W-35L

March 27, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 231.0 o/u
Thunder
50W-21L


Alright, hoop-heads, buckle up! We’ve got the Houston Rockets, sitting pretty at 36-35, ready to blast off into the Paycom Center, going head-to-head with the thunderous, 50-21, Oklahoma City Thunder. The ball drops at 8 PM EST sharp, so don’t be late! Now, the Rockets are trailing a bit in the Western conference, 7.5 games back to be exact, while the Thunder are hot on the leaders’ heels, just 0.5 games back. The bookies are buzzing with an over/under of 231.0, and the Rockets are getting 6 points while the Thunder are giving ’em away. The Thunder are still riding high from their 119-112 victory over the Pelicans last night, and the Rockets are feeling pretty good too after their 110-92 win against the Trail Blazers. So, will the Rockets launch into a winning streak, or will the Thunder clap back with a victory? It’s not rocket science, folks, but it’s sure to be a thunderous showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 27, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
HOU ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +200 | -240 | 230.5 | 6.0/-6.0 |
Recent | +215 | -260 | 231.0 | 6.5/-6.5 |
Difference | +15 | -20 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance

31.7% Win Probability

68.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/06/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 28 | 24 | 27 | 101 | Under | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 32 | 23 | 25 | 30 | 110 | ||||
02/27/24 | Houston Rockets HOU | 29 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 95 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 32 | 24 | 28 | 112 | ||||
02/25/24 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 31 | 26 | 30 | 36 | 123 | Over | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 34 | 28 | 21 | 27 | 110 | ||||
02/15/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 21 | 33 | 24 | 18 | 96 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 38 | 38 | 40 | 17 | 133 | ||||
02/04/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 19 | 34 | 28 | 40 | 121 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 38 | 41 | 44 | 30 | 153 | ||||
02/01/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 33 | 28 | 20 | 106 | Under | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 34 | 33 | 17 | 28 | 112 | ||||
11/26/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 22 | 29 | 32 | 105 | Under | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 42 | 30 | 23 | 118 | ||||
12/01/21 | Houston Rockets HOU | 24 | 29 | 20 | 41 | 114 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 26 | 34 | 21 | 29 | 110 | ||||
11/29/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 23 | 14 | 23 | 29 | 89 | Under | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 28 | 18 | 26 | 30 | 102 | ||||
11/17/21 | Houston Rockets HOU | 19 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 89 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 22 | 31 | 27 | 21 | 101 | ||||
10/22/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 21 | 26 | 26 | 18 | 91 | Under | ![]() |
|
Houston Rockets HOU | 34 | 35 | 31 | 24 | 124 |
Rockets Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Rockets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | @ POR | 110-92W | 45 | 19 | 8 | 93 |
03/23 | @ UTA | 147-119W | 44 | 31 | 9 | 97 |
03/21 | @ CHI | 127-117W | 49 | 27 | 14 | 93 |
03/19 | vs WAS | 137-114W | 47 | 25 | 7 | 91 |
03/16 | @ CLE | 117-103W | 48 | 28 | 9 | 98 |
03/14 | @ WAS | 135-119W | 47 | 24 | 17 | 87 |
03/12 | vs SAS | 103-103L | 36 | 21 | 12 | 80 |
03/10 | vs SAC | 112-104W | 42 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
03/08 | vs POR | 123-107W | 47 | 33 | 7 | 94 |
03/06 | @ LAC | 116-122L | 38 | 33 | 8 | 94 |
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/26 | vs NOP | 119-112W | 45 | 28 | 12 | 86 |
03/24 | vs MIL | 93-118L | 37 | 20 | 12 | 89 |
03/22 | vs TOR | 123-105W | 46 | 27 | 15 | 96 |
03/20 | @ UTA | 119-107W | 45 | 29 | 10 | 88 |
03/16 | vs MEM | 118-112W | 45 | 25 | 11 | 87 |
03/14 | @ DAL | 126-119W | 34 | 28 | 13 | 86 |
03/12 | @ IND | 99-121L | 47 | 22 | 12 | 96 |
03/10 | @ MEM | 124-93W | 46 | 36 | 10 | 94 |
03/08 | @ MIA | 107-100W | 45 | 28 | 9 | 89 |
03/06 | vs POR | 128-120W | 39 | 23 | 18 | 75 |
Starting Lineups
Houston Rockets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.0 | 19.8 | 21.3 | 93% | 22.0 | |
Jalen Green
SF
|
41.8 | 52.6 | 37.6 | 93% | 38.0 |
32.0 | 25.1 | 27.9 | 100% | 27.8 | |
34.3 | 31.6 | 27.8 | 43% | 33.7 | |
42.5 | 41.0 | 37.2 | 93% | 38.0 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20.6 | 16.4 | 18.8 | 100% | 19.3 | |
Josh Giddey
SG
|
30.9 | 33.0 | 27.0 | 100% | 27.4 |
56.9 | 41.8 | 50.9 | 100% | 51.3 | |
41.8 | 39.5 | 36.8 | 100% | 37.1 | |
37.2 | 35.8 | 35.5 | 100% | 35.8 |
Rockets Notable Injuries
- Boban Marjanovic (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.9
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 5.4reb, 1.5ast, 21.0 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 3.2reb, 1.3ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 1.7
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.3pts, 2.5reb, 0.8ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.6
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.2
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Pts | 29.5 | 32.2 | +2.7 | 20% | 40% | 53% | 53% | HOU | +0.4 | #21 |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 16.5 | 18.8 | +2.3 | 60% | 40% | 47% | 47% | HOU | -0.2 | #13 |
Jalen Williams | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 4.2 | +0.7 | 20% | 40% | 53% | 53% | HOU | +2.2 | #26 |
Jalen Green | HOU | Reb | 5.5 | 6.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 40% | 47% | 47% | OKL | -0.6 | #7 |
Fred VanVleet | HOU | Ast | 7.5 | 8.8 | +1.3 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% | OKL | +0.3 | #19 |
Amen Thompson | HOU | Ast | 2.5 | 3.4 | +0.9 | 40% | 40% | 33% | 33% | OKL | +1.1 | #23 |
Luguentz Dort | OKL | 3Pt | 1.5 | 1.9 | +0.4 | 20% | 50% | 53% | 53% | HOU | -0.5 | #11 |
Rockets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #22 | #12 | #23 | 2.4% |
PF | #2 | #19 | #1 | #3 | -12.6% |
PG | #13 | #26 | #26 | #16 | 1.1% |
SF | #25 | #26 | #20 | #27 | 16.6% |
SG | #21 | #15 | #1 | #6 | -7.4% |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #7 | #28 | #22 | 2.1% |
PF | #21 | #26 | #28 | #24 | 6.5% |
PG | #5 | #28 | #6 | #8 | -9.6% |
SF | #10 | #3 | #23 | #12 | -6.3% |
SG | #19 | #7 | #19 | #14 | -1.9% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Jeff Green (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.4% to 25.4, 18.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Aaron Holiday (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.1% to 20.7, 14.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Aaron Wiggins (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 48.9% to 16.2, 10.9 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 9-game winning streak.
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