Rockets vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready to light the fuse and feel the thunder, as tonight’s NBA Playoff showdown brings the Houston Rockets soaring into the Paycom Center to clash with the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder. With both teams neck and neck in the Western conference and looking to shake off the first-round blowout blues, this game promises to be a spectacle. The Rockets, fresh off a scorching victory, are set to challenge the Thunder, who are eager to bounce back after a narrow defeat. As the clock ticks down to a 9 PM tipoff and the scoreboard prepped for a potential 220-point bonanza, fans are perched on the edge of their seats. So, as the Rockets prepare to launch and the Thunder rolls in, who will strike the winning bolt?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 08, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+285	-370	219.5	8.5/-8.5
Recent	+275	-350	220.5	8.5/-8.5
Difference	-10	+20	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

14W-28L

26.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

33W-7L

73.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/06/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	28	24	27	00	101	Under
12/06/23	Houston Rockets HOU	32	23	25	30	00	110	Under
03/27/24	Houston Rockets HOU	28	21	31	32	200	132	Over
03/27/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	17	33	35	27	140	126	Over
02/27/24	Houston Rockets HOU	29	21	24	21	00	95	Under
02/27/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	32	24	28	00	112	Under
02/25/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	31	26	30	36	00	123	Over
02/25/24	Houston Rockets HOU	34	28	21	27	00	110	Over
02/15/23	Houston Rockets HOU	21	33	24	18	00	96	Over
02/15/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	38	38	40	17	00	133	Over
02/04/23	Houston Rockets HOU	19	34	28	40	00	121	Over
02/04/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	38	41	44	30	00	153	Over
02/01/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	33	28	20	00	106	Under
02/01/23	Houston Rockets HOU	34	33	17	28	00	112	Under
11/26/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	22	29	32	00	105	Over
11/26/22	Houston Rockets HOU	23	42	30	23	00	118	Over
12/01/21	Houston Rockets HOU	24	29	20	41	00	114	Over
12/01/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	34	21	29	00	110	Over
11/29/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	23	14	23	29	00	89	Under
11/29/21	Houston Rockets HOU	28	18	26	30	00	102	Under
11/17/21	Houston Rockets HOU	19	22	23	25	00	89	Under
11/17/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	31	27	21	00	101	Under
10/22/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	21	26	26	18	00	91	Under
10/22/21	Houston Rockets HOU	34	35	31	24	00	124	Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/06	@ SAS	127-100W	45	28	11	96
10/31	vs DAL	108-102W	50	21	8	97
10/28	vs SAS	106-101W	43	20	12	85
10/26	vs SAS	106-109L	34	21	10	92
10/25	@ MEM	128-108W	64	20	17	98
10/23	@ CHA	105-110L	43	19	8	103
04/12	vs POR	116-107W	48	25	8	92
04/11	vs UTA	121-124L	39	22	10	95
04/09	@ ORL	118-106W	37	29	12	86
04/07	vs DAL	136-147L	32	31	10	93

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/06	vs DEN	122-124L	47	29	14	100
11/01	vs POR	137-114W	45	31	13	95
10/30	@ SAS	105-93W	39	28	10	89
10/27	@ ATL	128-104W	45	26	10	89
10/26	vs CHI	114-95W	54	21	10	107
10/24	vs DEN	102-87W	49	23	12	101
04/12	@ MIL	125-107W	38	29	10	89
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	18.0	22.6	19.1	100%	19.4
Jalen Green SG	33.0	42.7	40.4	100%	40.8
Alperen Sengun C	43.0	33.8	42.2	93%	42.6
Jabari Smith Jr. PF	24.0	26.2	28.6	100%	29.0
Fred VanVleet PG	37.0	32.9	39.4	100%	39.7

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SG	20.0	26.6	22.1	100%	22.5
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	49.0	48.2	48.4	100%	48.8
Chet Holmgren C	42.0	37.9	34.3	100%	34.6
Aaron Wiggins PF	16.0	17.4	17.3	17%	27.7
Jalen Williams SF	41.0	47.5	38.1	100%	38.5

Rockets Notable Injuries

Cam Whitmore (SG/SF): Avg: 11.5pts, 3.5reb, 0.6ast, 17.6 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 2.4
Aaron Holiday (PG): Avg: 6.4pts, 1.5reb, 1.8ast, 15.9 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 1.6
Jock Landale (C): Avg: 5.0pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 3.0
Jeff Green (PF/C): Avg: 6.6pts, 2.3reb, 0.9ast, 16.6 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 2.5
Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 2.8reb, 1.0ast, 15.3 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 1.0
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 10/25/24. Impact: 0.6
Jack McVeigh (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 0.0

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.3pts, 3.8reb, 3.4ast, 27.9 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 3.6
Malevy Leons (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 0.6
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.7ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 0.5
Alex Ducas (SF): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Alperen Sengun	HOU	Pts	17.5	20.1	+2.6	0%	40%	47%	47%	OKL	+0.7	#18
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	16.5	18.8	+2.3	60%	60%	53%	53%	HOU	+0.8	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#19	#26	#6	#19	3.8%
PF	#2	#27	#3	#5	-7.2%
PG	#16	#17	#18	#15	0.6%
SF	#9	#29	#25	#22	2.6%
SG	#28	#25	#1	#19	1.6%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#24	#27	#17	2.8%
PF	#14	#23	#11	#14	0.4%
PG	#1	#29	#2	#2	-18.3%
SF	#18	#4	#24	#16	-0.7%
SG	#8	#22	#17	#13	-3.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.3

118.0

Rebounds per Game

45.0

43.5

Assists per Game

23.9

26.4

Steals per Game

8.5

10.1

Blocks per Game

4.5

6.8

Shots per Game

92.8

88.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.7

13.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.8

56.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.2

37.2

Turnovers per Game

11.4

12.1

Fouls per Game

20.3

18.4

Recent Trends

Tari Eason (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.7% to 20.8, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Joe (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.3% to 23.4, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jock Landale (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.8% to 12.8, 23.3 min average previous 3 games.
Ajay Mitchell (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 16.1, 12.3 min average previous 3 games.