Rockets vs Spurs Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 12th 2024
Rockets
29W-35L
March 12, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 221.5 o/u
Spurs
14W-51L
Well, well, well, look what we got here! The Houston Rockets, with a record that’s more ‘meh’ than a shrug emoji (29W-35L, if you’re wondering), are gearing up to blast off towards the AT&T Center, hoping to rain down some three-pointers on the San Antonio Spurs, who, let’s be honest, are still trying to find their spurs this season (14W-51L, yikes!). It’s all going down at 08:30PM EST, so clear your schedule, folks. In the wild west of the NBA, the Rockets are trailing by 10 games, while the Spurs, well, they’re a whopping 25.5 games back. The bookies are setting the stage with an over/under of 221.5, tipping the Rockets as the favorites at -3.5, and giving the Spurs a slight edge at 3.5. The Rockets are still buzzing from a 112-104 victory over the Kings, while the Spurs are licking their wounds after a 102-112 loss to the Warriors. So, are we ready to rocket past the Spurs or will San Antonio manage to spur on a surprise? Either way, it’s sure to be a blast!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 12, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio
Vegas Odds
HOU ML | SAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -160 | +135 | 223.5 | -3.5/3.5 |
Recent | -150 | +130 | 221.5 | -3.0/3.0 |
Difference | +10 | -5 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance
60.0% Win Probability
40.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/05/24 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 21 | 32 | 24 | 24 | 101 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 26 | 21 | 33 | 34 | 114 | ||||
12/11/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 21 | 26 | 15 | 20 | 82 | Under | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 19 | 32 | 18 | 24 | 93 | ||||
10/27/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 11 | 122 | Over | |
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 25 | 27 | 24 | 35 | 15 | 126 | |||
03/05/23 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 24 | 39 | 24 | 23 | 110 | Over | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 38 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 142 | ||||
03/04/23 | Houston Rockets HOU | 29 | 41 | 25 | 27 | 122 | Over | ||
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 32 | 36 | 22 | 20 | 110 | ||||
12/19/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 35 | 25 | 32 | 32 | 124 | Over | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 28 | 34 | 14 | 29 | 105 | ||||
12/08/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 29 | 25 | 23 | 32 | 109 | Over | ||
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 24 | 27 | 39 | 28 | 118 | ||||
03/28/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 39 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 123 | Over | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 31 | 24 | 29 | 36 | 120 | ||||
02/04/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 25 | 29 | 23 | 29 | 106 | Over | ||
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 33 | 24 | 40 | 34 | 131 | ||||
01/25/22 | San Antonio Spurs SAS | 34 | 32 | 39 | 29 | 134 | Over | ||
Houston Rockets HOU | 23 | 28 | 23 | 30 | 104 | ||||
01/12/22 | Houston Rockets HOU | 39 | 24 | 28 | 37 | 128 | Over | ||
San Antonio Spurs SAS | 36 | 31 | 23 | 34 | 124 |
Rockets Vs Over/Under
Spurs Vs Over/Under
Rockets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10 | vs SAC | 112-104W | 42 | 23 | 12 | 85 |
03/08 | vs POR | 123-107W | 47 | 33 | 7 | 94 |
03/06 | @ LAC | 116-122L | 38 | 33 | 8 | 94 |
03/05 | @ SAS | 114-101W | 51 | 23 | 5 | 107 |
03/02 | vs PHX | 118-109W | 49 | 27 | 12 | 98 |
02/29 | vs PHX | 105-111L | 58 | 14 | 12 | 99 |
02/27 | vs OKL | 95-112L | 46 | 22 | 15 | 96 |
02/25 | @ OKL | 110-123L | 50 | 18 | 18 | 93 |
02/23 | @ PHX | 114-110W | 54 | 25 | 14 | 93 |
02/22 | vs NOP | 105-127L | 44 | 27 | 22 | 84 |
Spurs Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/11 | @ GSW | 102-112L | 50 | 27 | 15 | 93 |
03/09 | vs GSW | 126-115W | 49 | 34 | 12 | 86 |
03/07 | vs SAC | 129-131L | 37 | 39 | 12 | 91 |
03/05 | vs HOU | 101-114L | 50 | 24 | 18 | 87 |
03/03 | @ IND | 117-105W | 45 | 33 | 14 | 85 |
02/29 | @ OKL | 132-118W | 45 | 39 | 11 | 93 |
02/27 | vs MIN | 105-114L | 41 | 28 | 22 | 82 |
02/25 | vs UTA | 109-125L | 46 | 34 | 20 | 92 |
02/23 | vs LAL | 118-123L | 47 | 33 | 14 | 96 |
02/22 | vs SAC | 122-129L | 42 | 37 | 8 | 99 |
Starting Lineups
Houston Rockets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27.7 | 17.4 | 21.3 | 93% | 22.1 | |
Jalen Green
SG
|
43.4 | 36.5 | 33.0 | 93% | 33.2 |
36.2 | 27.6 | 29.0 | 100% | 28.9 | |
27.5 | 24.4 | 24.8 | 20% | 36.9 | |
47.7 | 44.2 | 36.6 | 93% | 37.4 |
San Antonio Spurs | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19.0 | 14.6 | 15.0 | 100% | 15.1 | |
Tre Jones
PG
|
27.5 | 22.0 | 27.9 | 100% | 27.1 |
27.6 | 29.8 | 27.6 | 100% | 27.2 | |
42.5 | 41.7 | 35.4 | 100% | 34.4 | |
52.7 | 57.1 | 49.9 | 100% | 48.5 |
Rockets Notable Injuries
- Alperen Sengun (C): Avg: 21.0pts, 9.4reb, 5.0ast, 32.4 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 7.4
- Cam Whitmore (SG/SF): Avg: 12.1pts, 3.9reb, 0.5ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 3.5
- Nate Williams (PG): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 6.8 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.0
Spurs Notable Injuries
- Cedi Osman (SF/PF): Avg: 6.8pts, 2.6reb, 1.7ast, 17.5 minutes. Last game: 03/07/24. Impact: 1.7
- Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.6reb, 0.0ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Devin Vassell | SAS | Pts | 20.5 | 24.1 | +3.6 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | HOU | -1.1 | #9 |
Dillon Brooks | HOU | Pts | 12.5 | 15.8 | +3.3 | 0% | 10% | 40% | 40% | SAS | -5.0 | #1 |
Jalen Green | HOU | Reb | 5.5 | 6.5 | +1.0 | 20% | 30% | 27% | 27% | SAS | 0.0 | #17 |
Tre Jones | SAS | Reb | 3.5 | 3.7 | +0.2 | 80% | 60% | 53% | 53% | HOU | +0.5 | #22 |
Fred VanVleet | HOU | Ast | 8.5 | 9.9 | +1.4 | 80% | 40% | 33% | 33% | SAS | +0.3 | #19 |
Jeremy Sochan | SAS | Ast | 2.5 | 3.5 | +1.0 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | HOU | +1.0 | #26 |
Rockets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #29 | #29 | #23 | #29 | 17.8% |
PF | #4 | #29 | #2 | #6 | -7.3% |
PG | #27 | #23 | #16 | #27 | 12.0% |
SF | #19 | #27 | #26 | #27 | 11.2% |
SG | #9 | #22 | #2 | #7 | -5.5% |
Spurs Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #25 | #21 | #21 | #28 | 11.5% |
PF | #19 | #8 | #1 | #5 | -7.5% |
PG | #23 | #16 | #13 | #28 | 12.1% |
SF | #1 | #29 | #28 | #18 | 1.6% |
SG | #22 | #17 | #19 | #20 | 2.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Dominick Barlow (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.9% to 16.8, 10.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Julian Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.7% to 26.0, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Zach Collins (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.1% to 23.0, 16.3 min average previous 3 games.
- David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Cedi Osman (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.7% to 11.9, 17.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Blake Wesley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.4% to 16.6, 12.0 min average previous 3 games. The Rockets have a 2-game winning streak on the road.
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