Rockets vs Wizards Game Breakdown

Get ready for some NBA Playoff magic as the Houston Rockets, blazing through the season with a solid 23-12 record, are set to light up the court at the Capital One Arena against the Washington Wizards, who are desperately waving their wands for a turnaround from their 6-27 spell. It’s game time at 08:00 PM EST, and with most of the early playoff games turning into blowouts, we’re all itching for a nail-biter tonight. The Rockets, soaring at the top of the Western Conference, face a Wizards team that’s been stuck in a bit of a quagmire at the bottom of the Eastern Conference. With the Rockets favored heavily and an over/under that promises plenty of hoop action, tonight’s clash has all the makings of an epic showdown. So, as the Rockets aim to launch and the Wizards hope to conjure a surprise, let’s see whose magic runs out first in this high-flying, spell-casting duel!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 07, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

	HOU ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-650	+450	226.5	-11.5/11.5
Recent	-340	+270	224.5	-12.0/12.0
Difference	+310	-180	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

20W-33L

77.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

12W-44L

22.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/11/24	Washington Wizards WAS	28	21	20	23	92	Under
11/11/24	Houston Rockets HOU	30	27	25	25	107	Under
03/19/24	Houston Rockets HOU	39	21	41	36	137	Over
03/19/24	Washington Wizards WAS	36	21	25	32	114	Over
03/14/24	Washington Wizards WAS	31	25	39	24	119	Over
03/14/24	Houston Rockets HOU	33	42	35	25	135	Over
04/09/23	Houston Rockets HOU	31	24	32	27	114	Under
04/09/23	Washington Wizards WAS	39	28	18	24	109	Under
01/25/23	Washington Wizards WAS	25	18	28	37	108	Under
01/25/23	Houston Rockets HOU	30	28	23	22	103	Under
03/21/22	Washington Wizards WAS	39	24	20	14	97	Under
03/21/22	Houston Rockets HOU	26	25	29	35	115	Under
01/05/22	Houston Rockets HOU	29	25	32	28	114	Over
01/05/22	Washington Wizards WAS	26	29	28	28	111	Over

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/03	@ BOS	86-109L	37	9	11	88
01/01	@ DAL	110-99W	35	16	12	89
12/29	@ MIA	100-104L	52	24	12	97
12/27	@ MIN	112-113L	48	19	14	92
12/26	vs NOP	128-111W	54	19	15	97
12/22	vs TOR	114-110W	53	18	21	89
12/19	@ NOP	133-113W	42	34	11	87
12/14	vs OKL	96-111L	49	17	16	96
12/11	@ GSW	91-90W	36	23	16	83
12/08	vs LAC	117-106W	50	23	15	82

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/03	vs NOP	120-132L	48	28	21	84
01/01	@ CHI	125-107W	42	36	15	99
12/30	@ NYK	106-126L	46	25	13	92
12/28	@ NYK	132-136L	44	32	15	99
12/26	@ CHA	113-110W	43	25	11	91
12/21	vs MIL	101-112L	46	20	19	80
12/19	@ CHA	123-114W	52	33	18	83
12/15	@ BOS	98-112L	51	22	16	99
12/13	vs CLE	105-115L	44	24	17	86
12/08	@ MEM	112-140L	52	20	21	100

Starting Lineups

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks PF	23.0	32.4	23.9	100%	24.2
Jalen Green SF	35.0	32.4	31.5	100%	31.9
Alperen Sengun C	50.0	42.8	42.6	100%	42.9
Amen Thompson SG	39.0	26.6	26.5	20%	39.2
Fred VanVleet PG	34.0	34.5	35.8	100%	36.1

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Carlton Carrington SG	16.0	23.3	21.5	71%	23.8
Bilal Coulibaly SF	34.0	30.8	28.5	100%	28.9
Kyle Kuzma PF	35.0	23.2	33.1	93%	34.5
Jordan Poole PG	37.0	43.0	38.2	100%	38.5
Alexandre Sarr C	32.0	30.1	27.1	100%	27.5

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 12.9pts, 7.6reb, 1.4ast, 31.5 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 4.0
Reed Sheppard (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.2reb, 1.2ast, 11.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.1

Wizards Notable Injuries

Malcolm Brogdon (PG/SG): Avg: 15.2pts, 3.8reb, 4.8ast, 27.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 4.8
Tristan Vukcevic (C): Avg: 7.2pts, 3.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 2.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jonas Valanciunas	WAS	Pts	10.5	12.8	+2.3	60%	40%	47%	47%	HOU	-5.4	#1
Alperen Sengun	HOU	Pts	21.5	23.0	+1.5	40%	40%	47%	47%	WAS	+8.3	#30
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Reb	5.5	6.6	+1.1	60%	60%	53%	53%	HOU	+1.1	#29
Jalen Green	HOU	Reb	4.5	5.1	+0.6	20%	30%	27%	27%	WAS	+0.9	#28
Alexandre Sarr	WAS	Ast	2.5	2.7	+0.2	60%	50%	47%	47%	HOU	-1.1	#1

View All Player Prop Projections

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#17	#4	#5	-11.4%
PF	#7	#1	#9	#3	-11.2%
PG	#25	#29	#1	#23	3.7%
SF	#1	#29	#1	#4	-10.1%
SG	#11	#12	#8	#10	-4.9%

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#24	#11	#30	12.6%
PF	#26	#29	#22	#27	8.2%
PG	#28	#23	#24	#30	10.6%
SF	#12	#12	#26	#16	0.7%
SG	#23	#28	#24	#26	7.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.0

108.9

Rebounds per Game

49.0

44.3

Assists per Game

21.6

25.0

Steals per Game

9.0

7.8

Blocks per Game

5.4

5.3

Shots per Game

92.9

90.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.6

12.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.5

52.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

32.6

33.7

Turnovers per Game

13.3

16.1

Fouls per Game

19.9

21.5

Recent Trends

Aaron Holiday (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 48.8% to 14.9, 10.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.8% to 16.3, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.
Amen Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.1% to 33.8, 25.6 min average previous 3 games.
Cam Whitmore (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.5% to 23.1, 17.7 min average previous 3 games.