Pacers vs Celtics Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard as the Indiana Pacers roll into Beantown to battle the Boston Celtics in what promises to be a pivotal first round matchup of the 2024 NBA Playoffs! With most of the opening games turning into one-sided affairs, tonight’s clash at the TD Garden, tipping off at 8:30 PM EST, is set to dial up the intensity. The Celtics, sitting pretty at the top of the Eastern Conference, look to rebound from a holiday hiccup against Philly, while the Pacers, trailing in the conference standings, aim to shake off a narrow defeat to OKC. With a hefty over/under of 232.5, we’re expecting baskets aplenty, but will the Celtics’ defense contain the Pacers’ charge or will Indiana orchestrate a surprise symphony in Boston’s hallowed halls? It’s time to see if the Pacers can pace themselves or if the Celtics will weave their usual magic on the court!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 27, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: TD Garden, Boston

Vegas Odds

	IND ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+410	-585	233.5	11.0/-11.0
Recent	+450	-650	232.5	12.0/-12.0
Difference	+40	-65	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

26W-31L

18.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

46W-9L

81.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
10/30/24	Boston Celtics BOS	31	26	29	38	80	132	Over
10/30/24	Indiana Pacers IND	35	32	33	24	110	135	Over
12/04/23	Boston Celtics BOS	24	31	23	34	00	112	Over
12/04/23	Indiana Pacers IND	22	26	37	37	00	122	Over
01/30/24	Indiana Pacers IND	26	40	37	21	00	124	Over
01/30/24	Boston Celtics BOS	36	45	25	23	00	129	Over
01/08/24	Boston Celtics BOS	34	34	33	30	00	131	Over
01/08/24	Indiana Pacers IND	33	26	44	30	00	133	Over
01/06/24	Boston Celtics BOS	29	29	26	34	00	118	Under
01/06/24	Indiana Pacers IND	17	32	32	20	00	101	Under
11/01/23	Indiana Pacers IND	27	27	17	33	00	104	Over
11/01/23	Boston Celtics BOS	44	31	34	46	00	155	Over
03/24/23	Indiana Pacers IND	32	23	21	19	00	95	Under
03/24/23	Boston Celtics BOS	34	26	32	28	00	120	Under
02/23/23	Boston Celtics BOS	34	34	32	25	170	142	Over
02/23/23	Indiana Pacers IND	31	27	39	28	130	138	Over
12/21/22	Indiana Pacers IND	42	29	29	17	00	117	Under
12/21/22	Boston Celtics BOS	22	21	42	27	00	112	Under
04/01/22	Indiana Pacers IND	28	33	30	32	00	123	Over
04/01/22	Boston Celtics BOS	37	31	28	32	00	128	Over
02/27/22	Boston Celtics BOS	30	25	27	25	00	107	Over
02/27/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	39	27	35	00	128	Over
01/12/22	Boston Celtics BOS	35	19	33	32	00	119	Under
01/12/22	Indiana Pacers IND	25	24	22	29	00	100	Under
01/10/22	Indiana Pacers IND	17	22	21	29	90	98	Under
01/10/22	Boston Celtics BOS	23	19	26	21	120	101	Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/26	@ OKL	114-120L	51	28	11	89
12/22	vs SAC	122-95W	50	36	10	86
12/19	vs PHX	120-111W	47	30	9	89
12/15	@ NOP	119-104W	43	33	17	81
12/13	vs PHI	121-107W	41	35	10	91
12/08	@ CHA	109-113L	29	23	17	82
12/06	vs CHI	132-123W	46	33	12	92
12/04	vs BRO	90-99L	39	20	16	75
12/03	vs TOR	111-122L	34	21	20	84
12/01	vs MEM	121-136L	41	28	15	90

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/25	@ PHI	114-118L	51	24	13	95
12/21	vs CHI	123-98W	59	27	12	100
12/19	@ CHI	108-117L	45	21	4	97
12/15	vs WAS	112-98W	56	26	18	93
12/12	@ DET	123-99W	51	34	14	90
12/07	@ MEM	121-127L	51	26	13	105
12/06	@ MIL	111-105W	41	27	6	87
12/04	@ DET	130-120W	43	30	16	94
12/02	@ MIA	108-89W	54	25	14	89
12/01	vs CLE	111-115L	46	17	9	95

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	40.0	39.7	37.4	100%	37.8
Bennedict Mathurin SF	30.0	26.1	28.0	77%	29.7
Andrew Nembhard SG	26.0	29.2	25.9	100%	26.2
Pascal Siakam PF	38.0	42.6	35.9	100%	36.3
Myles Turner C	34.0	32.1	30.2	100%	30.6

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	39.0	34.4	40.5	100%	40.9
Jrue Holiday SG	23.0	24.1	27.7	100%	28.2
Kristaps Porzingis C	37.0	30.4	36.3	100%	36.6
Jayson Tatum PF	52.0	57.7	53.7	100%	54.1
Derrick White PG	30.0	32.7	35.5	100%	35.8

Pacers Notable Injuries

Obi Toppin (PF/C): Avg: 10.5pts, 4.0reb, 1.6ast, 20.6 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 4.2
Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 5.8pts, 1.6reb, 1.5ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 2.0
James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.8ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 12/22/24. Impact: 0.6
Enrique Freeman (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.5

Celtics Notable Injuries

Xavier Tillman (PF/C): Avg: 3.9pts, 3.3reb, 1.1ast, 15.4 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 0.5
Drew Peterson (PF): Avg: 3.5pts, 2.0reb, 0.5ast, 11.6 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 1.5
Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.4reb, 0.8ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 0.6
JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.9ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 0.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	13.5	16.9	+3.4	60%	50%	47%	47%	BOS	+1.0	#22
Kristaps Porzingis	BOS	Pts	17.5	19.2	+1.7	60%	70%	60%	60%	IND	+3.5	#28
Andrew Nembhard	IND	Reb	2.5	2.8	+0.3	40%	40%	33%	33%	BOS	+0.6	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#30	#2	#8	-3.8%
PF	#28	#28	#13	#28	9.0%
PG	#17	#11	#18	#17	1.2%
SF	#24	#17	#30	#26	7.6%
SG	#13	#7	#8	#7	-6.7%

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#14	#4	#6	-6.5%
PF	#7	#12	#11	#4	-9.5%
PG	#11	#24	#19	#14	0.3%
SF	#13	#30	#9	#16	0.7%
SG	#12	#23	#11	#14	-2.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.6

118.7

Rebounds per Game

40.9

45.8

Assists per Game

27.8

26.1

Steals per Game

8.2

7.0

Blocks per Game

5.2

5.7

Shots per Game

87.1

91.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.4

18.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.0

56.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.8

36.2

Turnovers per Game

13.8

11.6

Fouls per Game

20.1

16.5

Recent Trends

Jayson Tatum (SF/PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Sam Hauser (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.3% to 16.9, 30.4 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Ben Sheppard (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 18.5, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
Obi Toppin (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.1% to 15.1, 24.7 min average previous 3 games.