Pacers vs Cavaliers Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse where the underdog Indiana Pacers, fresh off a solid victory, are set to clash with the high-flying Cleveland Cavaliers in a tantalizing first-round NBA Playoff matchup tonight at 7 PM EST. With the majority of the opening games turning into blowouts, this face-off promises a much-needed dose of nail-biting basketball action. The Cavs, riding high atop the Eastern Conference, look to cement their dominance, while the Pacers aim to disrupt the pecking order and add a twist to the playoff narrative. As both teams come off recent wins, the stage is set for a showdown that could redefine the early playoff landscape. So, as the Pacers try to ‘pace’ themselves against the ‘cavalier’ approach of Cleveland, expect every dribble and dunk to keep you on the edge of your seat!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 12, 2025 07:00PM EST

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland

Vegas Odds

	IND ML	CLE ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+335	-450	239.5	9.5/-9.5
Recent	+300	-400	239.0	9.0/-9.0
Difference	-35	+50	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

29W-32L

25.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

43W-13L

75.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/12/24	Indiana Pacers IND	26	33	35	26	120	Over
04/12/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	35	35	27	32	129	Over
03/18/24	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	25	29	36	18	108	Under
03/18/24	Indiana Pacers IND	34	20	29	20	103	Under
11/03/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	26	27	34	29	116	Under
11/03/23	Indiana Pacers IND	36	34	18	33	121	Under
10/28/23	Indiana Pacers IND	31	29	31	34	125	Under
10/28/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	37	9	38	26	110	Under
04/02/23	Indiana Pacers IND	28	33	26	18	105	Under
04/02/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	31	27	29	115	Under
02/05/23	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	27	35	36	24	122	Under
02/05/23	Indiana Pacers IND	25	21	38	19	103	Under
12/29/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	34	34	28	30	126	Over
12/29/22	Indiana Pacers IND	29	35	35	36	135	Over
12/16/22	Indiana Pacers IND	31	30	33	18	112	Under
12/16/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	29	25	29	35	118	Under
03/08/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	32	31	27	37	127	Over
03/08/22	Indiana Pacers IND	24	39	35	26	124	Over
02/11/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	28	35	25	32	120	Under
02/11/22	Indiana Pacers IND	47	27	22	17	113	Under
02/06/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	20	21	17	85	Under
02/06/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	12	24	25	37	98	Under
01/02/22	Indiana Pacers IND	30	26	28	20	104	Under
01/02/22	Cleveland Cavaliers CLE	30	28	30	20	108	Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Cavaliers Vs Over/Under

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/10	@ GSW	108-96W	48	27	15	82
01/08	@ CHI	129-113W	46	37	8	100
01/06	vs BRO	113-99W	35	22	10	79
01/04	@ PHX	126-108W	47	35	6	96
01/02	vs MIA	128-115W	39	35	6	96
12/31	@ MIL	112-120L	50	26	16	90
12/29	vs BOS	123-114W	50	27	9	87
12/27	vs BOS	105-142L	39	27	12	91
12/26	@ OKL	114-120L	51	28	11	89
12/22	vs SAC	122-95W	50	36	10	86

Cavaliers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/09	@ TOR	132-126W	42	31	11	89
01/08	@ OKL	129-122W	40	36	15	90
01/03	vs DAL	134-122W	46	38	7	98
12/31	vs LAL	122-110W	48	32	11	93
12/30	vs GSW	113-95W	54	25	16	96
12/27	vs DEN	149-135W	38	40	10	96
12/21	@ PHI	126-99W	49	31	13	90
12/20	@ MIL	124-101W	48	30	15	91
12/13	@ WAS	115-105W	50	27	11	91
12/08	vs MIA	113-122L	36	25	9	86

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	43.0	51.5	40.6	100%	41.0
Bennedict Mathurin SF	26.0	26.1	28.8	100%	29.1
Andrew Nembhard SG	26.0	24.5	25.9	100%	26.2
Pascal Siakam PF	36.0	35.4	35.2	100%	35.5
Myles Turner C	30.0	34.2	30.2	100%	30.6

Cleveland Cavaliers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jarrett Allen C	37.0	42.2	32.9	100%	33.3
Darius Garland PG	37.0	43.3	37.1	100%	37.4
Donovan Mitchell SG	36.0	35.6	39.7	100%	40.1
Evan Mobley PF	38.0	40.9	39.0	100%	39.3
Dean Wade SF	17.0	20.8	17.0	67%	19.3

Pacers Notable Injuries

Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 5.0pts, 1.3reb, 1.4ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 1.4
Johnny Furphy (SG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.2reb, 0.4ast, 8.5 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: 0.6
RayJ Dennis (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 01/10/25. Impact: -0.1

Cavaliers Notable Injuries

Ty Jerome (PG): Avg: 10.4pts, 2.2reb, 3.2ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 3.0
Tristan Thompson (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 3.1reb, 0.9ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jarrett Allen	CLE	Pts	13.5	16.1	+2.6	60%	50%	33%	33%	IND	+1.7	#25
Georges Niang	CLE	Pts	6.5	7.8	+1.3	60%	60%	53%	53%	IND	+1.4	#21
Donovan Mitchell	CLE	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	60%	70%	73%	73%	IND	-0.7	#2
Andrew Nembhard	IND	Ast	4.5	5.2	+0.7	80%	60%	53%	53%	CLE	-1.1	#3
Tyrese Haliburton	IND	Ast	9.5	9.6	+0.1	60%	30%	40%	40%	CLE	-1.1	#3

View All Player Prop Projections

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#23	#10	#18	1.7%
PF	#26	#30	#5	#25	6.6%
PG	#13	#15	#20	#15	-0.2%
SF	#21	#23	#30	#28	8.8%
SG	#12	#2	#12	#5	-6.7%

Cavaliers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#29	#27	#25	7.6%
PF	#18	#26	#23	#23	2.9%
PG	#19	#5	#3	#7	-7.2%
SF	#18	#25	#22	#19	3.0%
SG	#11	#6	#18	#10	-4.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.1

123.1

Rebounds per Game

41.9

45.2

Assists per Game

28.3

29.5

Steals per Game

8.3

7.9

Blocks per Game

5.3

4.1

Shots per Game

87.8

90.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.8

16.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.2

57.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.4

40.6

Turnovers per Game

13.1

12.4

Fouls per Game

18.7

17.8

Recent Trends

Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Isaac Okoro (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 15.1, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.