Pacers vs Pistons Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 20th 2024
Pacers
38W-31L
March 20, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 235.0 o/u
Pistons
13W-55L
Alright hoop heads, get ready to rumble! Tonight, we’ve got the Indiana Pacers, who’ve been punching above their weight with a 38-31 record, rolling into the Motor City to face off against the Pistons, who, let’s face it, have been firing more blanks than a cap gun with a dismal 13-55 record. The Pacers, who are just 6.5 games shy of the Eastern conference lead, are looking to rev up their engines against the Pistons, who are stuck in the garage a whopping 31 games back. We’re looking at a 7PM EST tip-off at the Little Caesars Arena, where the Pistons will try to avoid another meltdown after their 94-119 loss to the Celtics. Meanwhile, the Pacers, fresh off a close 103-108 loss against the Cavs, are hoping to get back on track. The bookies have set the over/under at a hefty 235.0, with the Pacers favored by 9.0. So, whether you’re a Pacers fan or a Pistons supporter, buckle up because it’s going to be a night where we find out if the Pistons can really fire or if the Pacers will continue to set the pace!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 20, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Vegas Odds
IND ML | DET ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -380 | +290 | 232.5 | -9.0/9.0 |
Recent | -460 | +340 | 235.0 | -9.5/9.5 |
Difference | -80 | +50 | +2.5 | – |
Team Performance
82.1% Win Probability
17.9% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/22/24 | Detroit Pistons DET | 25 | 18 | 45 | 27 | 115 | Over | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 42 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 129 | ||||
12/11/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 131 | Over | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 36 | 25 | 32 | 30 | 123 | ||||
11/24/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 26 | 37 | 33 | 17 | 113 | Over | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 28 | 36 | 39 | 136 | ||||
04/07/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 35 | 38 | 23 | 26 | 122 | Over | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 115 | ||||
03/13/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 20 | 29 | 19 | 29 | 97 | Under | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 38 | 29 | 24 | 26 | 117 | ||||
03/11/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 35 | 34 | 21 | 31 | 121 | Over | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 30 | 27 | 33 | 25 | 115 | ||||
10/22/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 35 | 21 | 23 | 36 | 115 | Over | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 25 | 27 | 36 | 36 | 124 | ||||
04/03/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 38 | 24 | 36 | 23 | 121 | Over | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 34 | 32 | 25 | 26 | 117 | ||||
03/04/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 32 | 30 | 26 | 18 | 106 | Under | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 39 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 111 | ||||
12/16/21 | Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 35 | 27 | 22 | 113 | Push | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 32 | 38 | 33 | 19 | 122 | ||||
11/17/21 | Indiana Pacers IND | 21 | 20 | 32 | 16 | 89 | Under | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 97 |
Pacers Vs Over/Under
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Pacers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/18 | @ CLE | 103-108L | 45 | 28 | 11 | 91 |
03/16 | @ BRO | 121-100W | 50 | 21 | 10 | 105 |
03/13 | @ CHI | 129-132L | 47 | 30 | 8 | 99 |
03/12 | vs OKL | 108-111L | 40 | 32 | 8 | 89 |
03/10 | vs ORL | 111-97W | 46 | 20 | 12 | 81 |
03/07 | @ MIN | 111-113L | 39 | 26 | 15 | 82 |
03/05 | vs DAL | 137-120W | 43 | 34 | 8 | 94 |
03/03 | vs SAS | 105-117L | 42 | 20 | 10 | 93 |
03/01 | vs NOP | 102-129L | 44 | 25 | 16 | 95 |
02/28 | @ NOP | 123-114W | 50 | 34 | 8 | 102 |
Pistons Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/18 | vs BOS | 94-119L | 43 | 21 | 12 | 84 |
03/17 | @ MIA | 101-104L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 83 |
03/15 | @ MIA | 95-110L | 48 | 27 | 17 | 85 |
03/13 | @ TOR | 113-104W | 58 | 27 | 21 | 88 |
03/11 | @ CHA | 114-97W | 51 | 26 | 12 | 87 |
03/09 | @ DAL | 124-142L | 56 | 27 | 19 | 101 |
03/07 | @ BRO | 118-112W | 50 | 24 | 22 | 83 |
03/05 | vs MIA | 110-118L | 42 | 26 | 10 | 90 |
03/03 | vs ORL | 91-113L | 28 | 25 | 12 | 87 |
03/01 | @ CLE | 100-110L | 42 | 24 | 8 | 89 |
Starting Lineups
Indiana Pacers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
49.8 | 40.1 | 40.1 | 100% | 39.8 | |
21.9 | 15.6 | 21.2 | 83% | 21.5 | |
28.4 | 26.1 | 24.4 | 100% | 23.3 | |
42.3 | 40.1 | 37.3 | 100% | 36.1 | |
37.7 | 31.8 | 30.1 | 100% | 30.1 |
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
45.3 | 40.8 | 42.5 | 93% | 43.2 | |
39.6 | 35.8 | 34.1 | 93% | 34.5 | |
29.4 | 32.3 | 22.4 | 73% | 21.5 | |
Jaden Ivey
SG
|
31.9 | 28.1 | 29.9 | 93% | 30.2 |
23.9 | 12.7 | 9.8 | 4% | 19.0 |
Pacers Notable Injuries
- Bennedict Mathurin (SF): Avg: 14.9pts, 4.1reb, 2.0ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 4.5
- Isaiah Jackson (C): Avg: 7.0pts, 4.1reb, 0.8ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 2.5
- Jarace Walker (SF/PF): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.9reb, 1.0ast, 10.2 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 1.5
- Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.2reb, 0.3ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 0.4
- Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 2.1
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Isaiah Stewart (PF/C): Avg: 10.7pts, 6.6reb, 1.5ast, 30.9 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 3.7
- Ausar Thompson (SF/PF): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.4reb, 1.9ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 4.3
- Quentin Grimes (SG): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5
- Taj Gibson (C): Avg: 1.1pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Myles Turner | IND | Pts | 16.5 | 19.5 | +3.0 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | DET | +0.9 | #19 |
Jalen Duren | DET | Pts | 13.5 | 15.6 | +2.1 | 60% | 50% | 53% | 53% | IND | -0.6 | #11 |
Simone Fontecchio | DET | Reb | 4.5 | 5.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 40% | 27% | 27% | IND | -0.8 | #9 |
Cade Cunningham | DET | Ast | 7.5 | 8.1 | +0.6 | 80% | 70% | 67% | 67% | IND | -1.1 | #3 |
Pacers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #11 | #29 | #9 | #18 | 1.9% |
PF | #9 | #6 | #26 | #7 | -7.3% |
PG | #21 | #13 | #1 | #8 | -7.9% |
SF | #13 | #9 | #27 | #14 | -0.3% |
SG | #27 | #28 | #3 | #22 | 2.8% |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #19 | #20 | #18 | #24 | 6.9% |
PF | #11 | #5 | #17 | #11 | -2.7% |
PG | #14 | #21 | #13 | #19 | 3.1% |
SF | #2 | #7 | #17 | #3 | -22.6% |
SG | #28 | #10 | #20 | #27 | 6.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Ben Sheppard (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.8% to 21.6, 15.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Stanley Umude (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 98.4% to 21.1, 10.6 min average previous 3 games. The Pacers have a 2-game winning streak on the road. The Pistons have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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