Pacers vs Warriors Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 22nd 2024

Brace yourselves, hoop-heads! The hard-charging Indiana Pacers, boasting a 39W-31L record, are descending upon the heart of the Bay Area to duke it out with our 36W-32L Golden State Warriors at the illustrious Chase Center. The clock strikes 10:00 PM EST, and it’s game on! While the Pacers are trailing by a mere 6 games in the Eastern conference, our Warriors are hot on their heels, just a 7-game lag in the Western conference. The betting lines are buzzing, with an over/under set at a whopping 239.0, and the Pacers and Warriors lines at 4.0 and -4.0 respectively. Fresh from their victories, the Warriors having tamed the Grizzlies 137-116 and the Pacers having pacified the Pistons 122-103, both teams are raring to go. So, as the Pacers try to chase victory and the Warriors aim to guard their golden home turf, we’re set for a night where the only thing that’s certain is that it’s going to be a game of ‘Pace’ and ‘War’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 22, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	IND ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+150	-175	236.5	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+120	-160	239.0	5.0/-5.0
Difference	-30	+15	+2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

18W-16L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

17W-18L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
02/08/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	45	25	25	36		131	Over
02/08/24	Indiana Pacers IND	34	24	18	33		109	Over
12/14/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	26	28	33	32		119	Over
12/14/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	47	19	32		125	Over
12/05/22	Indiana Pacers IND	34	25	30	23		112	Under
12/05/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	21	29	31	23		104	Under
01/20/22	Indiana Pacers IND	23	32	28	27	11	121	Under
01/20/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	33	20	27	7	117	Under
12/13/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	22	33	22		102	Under
12/13/21	Indiana Pacers IND	29	26	29	16		100	Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/20	vs DET	122-103W	40	38	12	88
03/18	@ CLE	103-108L	45	28	11	91
03/16	@ BRO	121-100W	50	21	10	105
03/13	@ CHI	129-132L	47	30	8	99
03/12	vs OKL	108-111L	40	32	8	89
03/10	vs ORL	111-97W	46	20	12	81
03/07	@ MIN	111-113L	39	26	15	82
03/05	vs DAL	137-120W	43	34	8	94
03/03	vs SAS	105-117L	42	20	10	93
03/01	vs NOP	102-129L	44	25	16	95

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/20	@ MEM	137-116W	48	43	6	100
03/18	@ NYK	112-119L	39	29	13	88
03/16	vs LAL	128-127W	45	38	7	97
03/13	vs DAL	99-109L	42	19	15	92
03/11	vs SAS	112-102W	45	28	13	93
03/09	@ SAS	113-126L	39	26	12	90
03/07	@ CHI	122-125L	48	31	11	97
03/06	@ MIL	125-90W	50	37	14	93
03/03	vs BOS	88-140L	46	24	17	92
03/01	vs TOR	120-105W	56	26	14	98

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	48.8	41.2	39.5	100%	39.2
Andrew Nembhard SG	20.1	17.0	20.7	83%	20.9
Aaron Nesmith SF	26.4	23.4	24.2	100%	23.1
Pascal Siakam PF	41.1	42.5	37.7	100%	36.4
Myles Turner C	33.9	29.4	29.4	100%	29.4

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	46.9	37.2	41.9	100%	42.3
Draymond Green C	34.5	28.9	30.1	90%	30.7
Jonathan Kuminga PF	36.0	32.8	33.5	87%	32.9
Brandin Podziemski SG	25.8	21.9	25.5	57%	24.1
Andrew Wiggins SF	29.5	28.1	24.3	87%	26.2

Pacers Notable Injuries

Jarace Walker (SF/PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.9reb, 1.0ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.4
James Johnson (PF): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.6reb, 0.9ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.0
Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.3reb, 0.4ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4
Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 2.1

Warriors Notable Injuries

Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.4reb, 2.3ast, 17.3 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.9
Kevon Looney (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 5.7reb, 1.9ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.3
Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.5pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.3
Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.4pts, 2.6reb, 0.7ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 1.3
Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.0reb, 0.7ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Tyrese Haliburton	IND	Pts	18.5	21.0	+2.5	20%	40%	40%	40%	GSW	-2.9	#2
Andrew Wiggins	GSW	Pts	13.5	15.9	+2.4	80%	60%	60%	60%	IND	-1.0	#12
Trayce Jackson-Davis	GSW	Reb	6.5	7.2	+0.7	60%	40%	33%	33%	IND	+2.5	#29
Myles Turner	IND	Reb	6.5	7.2	+0.7	40%	50%	60%	60%	GSW	+0.6	#22
Chris Paul	GSW	Ast	5.5	7.1	+1.6	40%	50%	53%	53%	IND	-0.9	#3
Pascal Siakam	IND	Ast	3.5	4.7	+1.2	40%	30%	40%	40%	GSW	-0.3	#14
Brandin Podziemski	GSW	3Pt	0.5	1.3	+0.8	60%	70%	73%	73%	IND	-0.3	#11
Stephen Curry	GSW	3Pt	4.5	5.2	+0.7	20%	30%	40%	40%	IND	-0.3	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#29	#7	#19	1.8%
PF	#8	#3	#19	#4	-10.3%
PG	#20	#16	#1	#8	-7.6%
SF	#12	#8	#27	#12	-2.5%
SG	#27	#27	#3	#21	3.5%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#22	#26	#24	7.0%
PF	#30	#25	#23	#29	11.0%
PG	#17	#17	#16	#18	1.4%
SF	#8	#21	#14	#18	1.0%
SG	#2	#7	#26	#6	-7.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

118.3

114.5

Rebounds per Game

44.1

46.5

Assists per Game

29.2

30.2

Steals per Game

8.0

7.3

Blocks per Game

5.7

5.1

Shots per Game

93.4

94.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.0

13.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

58.1

54.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.2

36.6

Turnovers per Game

10.9

13.2

Fouls per Game

19.4

17.3

Recent Trends

Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.6% to 10.3, 20.4 min average previous 3 games.
Chris Paul (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.1% to 21.1, 31.1 min average previous 3 games.
Ben Sheppard (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.7% to 22.0, 16.5 min average previous 3 games.