Pacers vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 21st 2024

Get ready to rumble at Fiserv Forum as the NBA Playoffs kick off with a bang! The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks, both hungry for their first win of the postseason, are about to light up the scoreboard in a showdown that’s got everyone on the edge of their seats. With the tipoff set for 7:00 PM EST, the air is electric in Milwaukee. Both teams are neck and neck in the Eastern conference, each just a half-game shy of taking the lead. The stakes? High. The excitement? Even higher. The betting lines are buzzing, and after both teams licked their wounds from recent defeats, they’re ready to bounce back hard. So, buckle up as the Pacers try to buck the trend and the Bucks look to leap ahead in this heart-pounding playoff opener!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 21, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	IND ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	231.5	3.5/-3.5
Recent	-110	-120	231.5	1.0/-1.0
Difference	-215	+5	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

21W-20L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

31W-11L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/07/23	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	28	37	128	Over
12/07/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	22	43	25	119	Over
01/03/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	37	29	33	130	Over
01/03/24	Indiana Pacers IND	33	33	47	29	142	Over
01/01/24	Indiana Pacers IND	25	31	28	38	122	Over
01/01/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	30	26	25	113	Over
12/13/23	Indiana Pacers IND	33	30	31	32	126	Over
12/13/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	34	31	39	140	Over
11/09/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	36	34	30	124	Over
11/09/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	28	27	33	126	Over
03/29/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	39	46	30	149	Over
03/29/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	39	38	29	136	Over
03/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	25	49	35	139	Over
03/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	40	24	37	22	123	Over
01/27/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	45	40	29	27	141	Over
01/27/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	26	43	32	131	Over
01/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	38	22	21	119	Over
01/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	33	28	39	132	Over
02/15/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	31	25	119	Over
02/15/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	35	30	29	128	Over
12/15/21	Indiana Pacers IND	33	20	34	12	99	Under
12/15/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	25	29	27	114	Under
11/28/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	26	39	27	118	Under
11/28/21	Indiana Pacers IND	26	21	27	26	100	Under
10/25/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	32	35	18	119	Under
10/25/21	Indiana Pacers IND	30	27	29	23	109	Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs CLE	120-129L	39	37	13	89
04/09	vs TOR	140-123W	44	33	13	99
04/07	@ MIA	117-115W	37	27	6	86
04/05	@ OKL	126-112W	39	30	13	88
04/03	vs BRO	111-115L	45	27	9	103
04/01	@ BRO	133-111W	47	35	9	103
03/29	@ LAL	109-90W	46	27	8	91
03/27	vs CHI	99-125L	40	25	13	85
03/25	vs LAC	133-116W	34	28	8	86
03/24	vs LAL	145-150L	40	39	11	107

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs OKL	107-125L	42	27	17	85
04/10	@ ORL	117-99W	43	27	12	84
04/09	@ BOS	104-91W	49	29	16	81
04/07	@ NYK	109-122L	38	27	14	75
04/05	@ TOR	111-97W	45	21	13	88
04/03	@ MEM	101-111L	44	26	11	95
04/02	vs WAS	113-117L	57	31	12	103
03/30	vs ATL	122-113W	40	27	10	78
03/28	vs NOP	100-107L	46	21	14	82
03/26	@ LAL	124-128L	61	37	14	119

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	51.0	41.6	40.3	100%	40.7
Andrew Nembhard SG	18.4	18.6	19.8	100%	20.1
Aaron Nesmith SF	24.3	23.4	23.6	100%	23.9
Pascal Siakam PF	43.7	33.2	37.5	100%	37.9
Myles Turner C	32.5	31.5	30.9	100%	31.3

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Patrick Beverley SG	24.5	29.9	17.8	27%	28.8
Damian Lillard PG	55.4	41.4	42.4	100%	42.8
Brook Lopez C	33.2	27.1	24.3	100%	24.8
Khris Middleton SF	46.7	34.5	33.7	100%	32.9
Bobby Portis PF	43.8	35.3	30.9	7%	37.1

Pacers Notable Injuries

Jarace Walker (SF/PF): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.8reb, 1.2ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 1.2
Quenton Jackson (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.0ast, 1.9 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 1.8
Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.3

Bucks Notable Injuries

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 30.6pts, 11.6reb, 6.5ast, 35.2 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 9.8
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.8
Ryan Rollins (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 0.9reb, 1.0ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.2
Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.8
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.3pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.4
TyTy Washington Jr. (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	17.5	21.6	+4.1	60%	50%	47%	47%	IND	+7.9	#27
Tyrese Haliburton	IND	Pts	19.5	22.0	+2.5	40%	50%	47%	47%	MIL	+0.9	#23
Damian Lillard	MIL	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	60%	60%	60%	60%	IND	+1.7	#29
Malik Beasley	MIL	Reb	2.5	3.0	+0.5	40%	40%	53%	53%	IND	+1.7	#29
Jae Crowder	MIL	Ast	0.5	1.6	+1.1	80%	70%	67%	67%	IND	-1.8	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#29	#30	#8	#27	9.7%
PF	#23	#1	#17	#10	-4.1%
PG	#1	#6	#1	#1	-512.1%
SF	#27	#1	#7	#10	-11.2%
SG	#18	#29	#6	#19	0.5%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#10	#1	#2	-17.5%
PF	#4	#8	#18	#5	-7.6%
PG	#29	#21	#11	#28	28.0%
SF	#23	#8	#24	#20	4.1%
SG	#23	#30	#14	#24	6.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

123.3

111.5

Rebounds per Game

41.9

47.5

Assists per Game

30.9

27.8

Steals per Game

6.7

6.4

Blocks per Game

6.0

5.5

Shots per Game

94.5

89.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

13.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

58.0

57.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.6

33.8

Turnovers per Game

10.4

13.5

Fouls per Game

21.4

18.3

Recent Trends

Pat Connaughton (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.0% to 20.2, 33.1 min average previous 3 games.
Quenton Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 50.5% to 12.0, 24.3 min average previous 3 games.
Khris Middleton (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.0% to 23.1, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
Jalen Smith (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.6% to 11.5, 16.8 min average previous 3 games.
Myles Turner (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.0% to 28.9, 20.1 min average previous 3 games.