Pacers vs Bucks Game Breakdown
Pacers
3W-1L
April 30, 2024
09:30PM EST
Odds: 215.5 o/u
Bucks
1W-3L
Get ready to rumble at Fiserv Forum tonight as the Indiana Pacers, fresh off a nail-biter, roll into Milwaukee to challenge the Bucks in what promises to be a pivotal first-round playoff clash. With the Pacers looking to solidify their lead and the Bucks hungry to claw back from their early setbacks, this 09:30 PM EST showdown is more than just a game—it’s a battle for Eastern Conference supremacy. Both teams are itching to rebound from tough losses, setting the stage for a showdown where every dribble and dunk counts. As the over/under teeters at 215.5, bettors and fans alike are bracing for an electrifying evening. So, as the Pacers aim to gallop past the competition and the Bucks look to buck their losing trend, tonight’s matchup is sure to be nothing short of legendary!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 30, 2024 09:30PM EST
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee
Vegas Odds
| IND ML | MIL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | -140 | +120 | 217.0 | -3.5/3.5 |
| Recent | -150 | +130 | 215.5 | -4.0/4.0 |
| Difference | -10 | +10 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance
60.0% Win Probability
40.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/28/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 33 | 31 | 21 | 28 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 04/26/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 22 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 70 | 118 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 39 | 28 | 23 | 21 | 100 | 121 | |||
| 04/23/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 00 | 108 | |||
| 04/21/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 21 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 94 | Under | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 30 | 39 | 14 | 26 | 00 | 109 | |||
| 12/07/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 27 | 36 | 28 | 37 | 00 | 128 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 29 | 22 | 43 | 25 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 01/03/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 31 | 37 | 29 | 33 | 00 | 130 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 33 | 47 | 29 | 00 | 142 | |||
| 01/01/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 25 | 31 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 122 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 30 | 26 | 25 | 00 | 113 | |||
| 12/13/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 36 | 34 | 31 | 39 | 00 | 140 | |||
| 11/09/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 24 | 36 | 34 | 30 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 38 | 28 | 27 | 33 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 03/29/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 39 | 46 | 30 | 00 | 149 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 39 | 38 | 29 | 00 | 136 | |||
| 03/16/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 25 | 49 | 35 | 00 | 139 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 40 | 24 | 37 | 22 | 00 | 123 | |||
| 01/27/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 45 | 40 | 29 | 27 | 00 | 141 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 26 | 43 | 32 | 00 | 131 | |||
| 01/16/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 38 | 38 | 22 | 21 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 33 | 28 | 39 | 00 | 132 | |||
| 02/15/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 27 | 36 | 31 | 25 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 35 | 30 | 29 | 00 | 128 | |||
| 12/15/21 | Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 20 | 34 | 12 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 33 | 25 | 29 | 27 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 11/28/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 26 | 39 | 27 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 26 | 21 | 27 | 26 | 00 | 100 | |||
| 10/25/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 32 | 35 | 18 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 27 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 109 |
Pacers Vs Over/Under
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Pacers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs CLE | 120-129L | 39 | 37 | 13 | 89 |
| 04/09 | vs TOR | 140-123W | 44 | 33 | 13 | 99 |
| 04/07 | @ MIA | 117-115W | 37 | 27 | 6 | 86 |
| 04/05 | @ OKL | 126-112W | 39 | 30 | 13 | 88 |
| 04/03 | vs BRO | 111-115L | 45 | 27 | 9 | 103 |
| 04/01 | @ BRO | 133-111W | 47 | 35 | 9 | 103 |
| 03/29 | @ LAL | 109-90W | 46 | 27 | 8 | 91 |
| 03/27 | vs CHI | 99-125L | 40 | 25 | 13 | 85 |
| 03/25 | vs LAC | 133-116W | 34 | 28 | 8 | 86 |
| 03/24 | vs LAL | 145-150L | 40 | 39 | 11 | 107 |
Bucks Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs OKL | 107-125L | 42 | 27 | 17 | 85 |
| 04/10 | @ ORL | 117-99W | 43 | 27 | 12 | 84 |
| 04/09 | @ BOS | 104-91W | 49 | 29 | 16 | 81 |
| 04/07 | @ NYK | 109-122L | 38 | 27 | 14 | 75 |
| 04/05 | @ TOR | 111-97W | 45 | 21 | 13 | 88 |
| 04/03 | @ MEM | 101-111L | 44 | 26 | 11 | 95 |
| 04/02 | vs WAS | 113-117L | 57 | 31 | 12 | 103 |
| 03/30 | vs ATL | 122-113W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 78 |
| 03/28 | vs NOP | 100-107L | 46 | 21 | 14 | 82 |
| 03/26 | @ LAL | 124-128L | 61 | 37 | 14 | 119 |
Starting Lineups
| Indiana Pacers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 | 42.2 | 40.9 | 100% | 41.2 | |
| 24.5 | 24.6 | 20.5 | 100% | 20.8 | |
| 26.7 | 26.0 | 22.5 | 100% | 22.8 | |
| 47.5 | 46.1 | 39.4 | 100% | 39.8 | |
| 40.7 | 43.5 | 33.4 | 100% | 33.8 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.1 | 14.8 | 18.8 | 87% | 20.8 | |
| 25.3 | 21.4 | 17.7 | 37% | 26.1 | |
| 36.1 | 30.2 | 25.3 | 100% | 25.8 | |
| 53.5 | 43.8 | 34.4 | 100% | 33.5 | |
|
Bobby Portis
PF
|
50.8 | 26.2 | 30.9 | 20% | 31.0 |
Pacers Notable Injuries
- Jarace Walker (SF/PF): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 04/28/24. Impact: 1.0
- Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.2
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Damian Lillard (PG): Avg: 24.8pts, 4.3reb, 7.0ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 7.5
- Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.7ast, 12.4 minutes. Last game: 04/28/24. Impact: 0.7
- Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.4
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 04/28/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Bobby Portis | MIL | Pts | 20.5 | 24.9 | +4.4 | 0% | 20% | 13% | 13% | IND | +5.2 | #22 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | Pts | 23.5 | 25.8 | +2.3 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIL | +4.5 | #21 |
| Brook Lopez | MIL | Reb | 5.5 | 6.6 | +1.1 | 20% | 30% | 27% | 27% | IND | -0.8 | #6 |
| Khris Middleton | MIL | Reb | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | 60% | 40% | 40% | 40% | IND | -3.8 | #3 |
Pacers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #23 | #6 | #3 | #11 | -5.3% |
| PF | #22 | #16 | #17 | #18 | -0.9% |
| SF | #22 | #3 | #5 | #9 | -16.9% |
| SG | #12 | #17 | #5 | #7 | -6.3% |
Bucks Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #15 | #4 | #2 | #7 | -10.7% |
| PF | #18 | #18 | #26 | #23 | 3.0% |
| PG | #27 | #23 | #17 | #27 | 34.4% |
| SF | #21 | #5 | #22 | #18 | -0.2% |
| SG | #14 | #26 | #24 | #20 | 2.8% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Malik Beasley (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 17.2, 27.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Quenton Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 50.5% to 12.0, 24.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Myles Turner (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.6% to 37.8, 27.3 min average previous 3 games. The Bucks have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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