Pacers vs Bucks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of the titans—or should we say, a battle of the underdogs—as the Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks both look to buck their recent trends tonight at Fiserv Forum. With both squads sitting at a symmetrical 6W-9L, and equally hungry to climb up from their 9-game deficit in the Eastern conference, tonight’s matchup promises to be anything but predictable. The stakes are high and so is the over/under, pegged at a whopping 237.0, setting the stage for what could be a high-scoring thriller. As the Bucks aim to build on their recent victory against Chicago, and the Pacers look to rebound from their stumble in Houston, fans are in for some serious hardwood hustle. So, buckle up as these two teams look to pace themselves in a race that could only be described as a true game of survival of the fittest!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 22, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	IND ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+175	-210	238.5	5.0/-5.0
Recent	+180	-220	237.0	5.5/-5.5
Difference	+5	-10	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

22W-27L

35.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

36W-13L

64.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/07/23	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	28	37	128	Over
12/07/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	22	43	25	119	Over
01/03/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	37	29	33	130	Over
01/03/24	Indiana Pacers IND	33	33	47	29	142	Over
01/01/24	Indiana Pacers IND	25	31	28	38	122	Under
01/01/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	30	26	25	113	Under
12/13/23	Indiana Pacers IND	33	30	31	32	126	Over
12/13/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	34	31	39	140	Over
11/09/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	36	34	30	124	Over
11/09/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	28	27	33	126	Over
03/29/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	39	46	30	149	Over
03/29/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	39	38	29	136	Over
03/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	25	49	35	139	Over
03/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	40	24	37	22	123	Over
01/27/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	45	40	29	27	141	Over
01/27/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	26	43	32	131	Over
01/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	38	22	21	119	Over
01/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	33	28	39	132	Over
02/15/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	31	25	119	Over
02/15/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	35	30	29	128	Over
12/15/21	Indiana Pacers IND	33	20	34	12	99	Under
12/15/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	25	29	27	114	Under
11/28/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	26	39	27	118	Under
11/28/21	Indiana Pacers IND	26	21	27	26	100	Under
10/25/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	32	35	18	119	Under
10/25/21	Indiana Pacers IND	30	27	29	23	109	Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/20	vs HOU	113-130L	36	19	23	83
11/18	vs TOR	119-130L	32	29	10	99
11/17	@ MIA	119-110W	45	30	10	85
11/15	@ MIA	111-124L	39	28	20	86
11/13	vs ORL	90-94L	41	22	16	84
11/10	@ NYK	132-121W	32	27	6	88
11/08	vs CHA	83-103L	37	24	12	83
11/06	@ ORL	118-111W	36	21	11	76
11/01	vs NOP	118-125L	39	35	14	89
10/30	@ BOS	135-132W	57	33	18	104

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/20	@ CHI	122-106W	45	30	11	80
11/18	@ HOU	101-100W	43	21	15	83
11/16	vs CHA	114-115L	40	31	9	92
11/13	@ DET	127-120W	47	26	11	95
11/12	@ TOR	99-85W	47	25	16	94
11/10	@ BOS	107-113L	41	21	12	81
11/08	vs NYK	94-116L	41	20	12	83
11/07	@ UTA	123-100W	41	20	10	84
10/31	vs MEM	99-122L	38	20	10	96
10/28	vs BOS	108-119L	43	18	16	82

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	39.0	33.1	38.5	100%	38.8
Bennedict Mathurin SF	32.0	30.3	28.0	47%	36.9
Ben Sheppard SG	15.0	13.4	11.7	23%	11.9
Pascal Siakam PF	36.0	34.3	36.6	100%	36.9
Myles Turner C	37.0	34.6	32.0	100%	32.4

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	63.0	62.5	57.3	100%	57.7
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	8.0	9.3	7.2	20%	10.5
Damian Lillard PG	46.0	41.0	43.5	100%	43.9
Brook Lopez C	31.0	41.2	27.5	100%	27.9
Taurean Prince SF	20.0	22.1	16.9	43%	20.6

Pacers Notable Injuries

Moses Brown (C): Avg: 3.3pts, 3.8reb, 0.3ast, 8.7 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 1.6
James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 0.6
Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 0.7 minutes. Last game: 11/18/24. Impact: 0.0

Bucks Notable Injuries

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): Avg: 5.6pts, 3.1reb, 2.1ast, 21.6 minutes. Last game: 11/16/24. Impact: 2.1
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.6pts, 1.9reb, 0.4ast, 11.5 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 1.2
Ryan Rollins (PG): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 6.6 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 1.5
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 0.5
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 0.8
Chris Livingston (PF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 0.3
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.8reb, 0.0ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 11/20/24. Impact: 0.4
AJ Johnson (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 11/12/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	15.5	18.8	+3.3	40%	30%	33%	33%	MIL	-0.8	#10
Taurean Prince	MIL	Pts	7.5	9.5	+2.0	60%	40%	47%	47%	IND	+0.2	#16
Brook Lopez	MIL	Reb	5.5	5.6	+0.1	60%	40%	33%	33%	IND	+0.6	#25
Pascal Siakam	IND	Ast	3.5	3.8	+0.3	20%	30%	40%	40%	MIL	+0.2	#20

View All Player Prop Projections

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#25	#3	#8	-6.5%
PF	#22	#22	#21	#21	3.0%
PG	#4	#3	#1	#2	-16.2%
SF	#16	#3	#28	#16	1.0%
SG	#24	#16	#2	#15	-1.3%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#5	#4	#5	-9.2%
PF	#6	#14	#20	#7	-3.7%
PG	#30	#23	#8	#22	4.0%
SF	#17	#8	#5	#7	-4.6%
SG	#22	#30	#29	#27	6.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.0

112.4

Rebounds per Game

41.5

44.2

Assists per Game

28.5

25.3

Steals per Game

7.6

6.9

Blocks per Game

5.7

5.0

Shots per Game

91.2

87.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.9

13.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.8

56.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.5

35.8

Turnovers per Game

12.0

12.2

Fouls per Game

21.2

18.1

Recent Trends

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.9% to 21.5, 15.4 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
T.J. McConnell (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.9% to 23.1, 15.9 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Trent Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.0% to 23.6, 16.0 min average previous 3 games.