Pacers vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 12th 2024
Pacers
36W-29L
March 12, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 241.5 o/u
Thunder
45W-19L
Alright, hoop-heads, it’s game night! The hard-charging Indiana Pacers, boasting a respectable 36-29 record, are rolling into the Thunderdome, otherwise known as Paycom Center, to face the Western conference’s reigning titans, the Oklahoma City Thunder, sitting pretty at 45-19. As the sun sets at 08:00PM EST, these two Goliaths will clash, with the Pacers playing catch-up in the East, 6 games behind, while the Thunder are holding their ground, unbeaten in the West. The bookies are having a field day with this one, setting the over/under at a whopping 241.5, with the Pacers at a 6.5 underdog and the Thunder at -6.5. Both teams are riding the wave of recent victories, with the Thunder having thunderstruck the Grizzlies 124-93, and the Pacers pacifying the Magic with a 111-97 win. So, fans, get ready for a night of electrifying action where the Thunder will try to strike and the Pacers will attempt to set the pace. It’s not just a storm brewing; it’s a full-fledged hoops hurricane!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 12, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
IND ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +220 | -270 | 238.5 | 6.5/-6.5 |
Recent | +195 | -235 | 241.5 | 6.0/-6.0 |
Difference | -25 | +35 | +3.0 | – |
Team Performance
33.9% Win Probability
66.1% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/31/23 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 32 | 29 | 33 | 23 | 117 | Under | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 36 | 29 | 25 | 31 | 121 | ||||
01/18/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 20 | 24 | 29 | 33 | 106 | Under | ||
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 36 | 22 | 42 | 26 | 126 | ||||
02/25/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 29 | 40 | 23 | 31 | 6 | 129 | Over | |
Indiana Pacers IND | 36 | 25 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 125 | |||
01/28/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 29 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 13 | 113 | Under | |
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 30 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 110 |
Pacers Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Pacers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10 | vs ORL | 111-97W | 46 | 20 | 12 | 81 |
03/07 | @ MIN | 111-113L | 39 | 26 | 15 | 82 |
03/05 | vs DAL | 137-120W | 43 | 34 | 8 | 94 |
03/03 | vs SAS | 105-117L | 42 | 20 | 10 | 93 |
03/01 | vs NOP | 102-129L | 44 | 25 | 16 | 95 |
02/28 | @ NOP | 123-114W | 50 | 34 | 8 | 102 |
02/26 | @ TOR | 122-130L | 43 | 27 | 10 | 100 |
02/25 | @ DAL | 133-111W | 46 | 38 | 12 | 93 |
02/22 | @ DET | 129-115W | 42 | 36 | 13 | 95 |
02/14 | vs TOR | 127-125W | 39 | 32 | 8 | 97 |
Thunder Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10 | @ MEM | 124-93W | 46 | 36 | 10 | 94 |
03/08 | @ MIA | 107-100W | 45 | 28 | 9 | 89 |
03/06 | vs POR | 128-120W | 39 | 23 | 18 | 75 |
03/04 | vs LAL | 104-116L | 38 | 22 | 10 | 94 |
03/03 | vs PHX | 118-0W | 41 | 21 | 5 | 31 |
02/29 | vs SAS | 118-132L | 37 | 20 | 10 | 89 |
02/27 | @ HOU | 112-95W | 55 | 19 | 13 | 93 |
02/25 | vs HOU | 123-110W | 48 | 30 | 9 | 98 |
02/23 | @ WAS | 147-106W | 56 | 30 | 15 | 92 |
02/22 | @ LAC | 129-107W | 44 | 24 | 12 | 91 |
Starting Lineups
Indiana Pacers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
47.6 | 34.5 | 40.5 | 100% | 40.2 | |
20.4 | 17.4 | 20.7 | 80% | 21.3 | |
26.1 | 17.7 | 24.3 | 100% | 23.3 | |
39.8 | 31.6 | 36.8 | 100% | 35.5 | |
34.7 | 29.2 | 30.0 | 100% | 30.0 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22.0 | 22.4 | 19.5 | 100% | 19.9 | |
Josh Giddey
SG
|
29.0 | 31.6 | 26.9 | 100% | 27.3 |
58.2 | 52.1 | 51.7 | 100% | 52.0 | |
42.3 | 28.6 | 36.4 | 100% | 36.7 | |
38.5 | 30.1 | 36.0 | 100% | 36.3 |
Pacers Notable Injuries
- Bennedict Mathurin (SF): Avg: 14.9pts, 4.1reb, 2.0ast, 26.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 4.5
- Doug McDermott (SF): Avg: 5.8pts, 1.0reb, 1.2ast, 14.9 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 1.1
- Oscar Tshiebwe (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.2ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 1.3
- James Johnson (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.7reb, 1.0ast, 5.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 1.2
- Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.4
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.6pts, 5.5reb, 1.5ast, 21.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.3
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.3reb, 1.3ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 2.3
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.8reb, 0.8ast, 13.5 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.3
- Ousmane Dieng (PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.4
- Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.5reb, 0.1ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.1
- Keyontae Johnson (SG/SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 15.5 | 18.9 | +3.4 | 20% | 60% | 53% | 53% | IND | +2.3 | #23 |
Obi Toppin | IND | Pts | 7.5 | 9.2 | +1.7 | 40% | 60% | 47% | 47% | OKL | -2.0 | #8 |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKL | Reb | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 50% | 47% | 47% | IND | +0.6 | #24 |
Luguentz Dort | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | IND | +1.1 | #24 |
Pascal Siakam | IND | Ast | 3.5 | 4.7 | +1.2 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | OKL | +0.7 | #24 |
Myles Turner | IND | Ast | 0.5 | 1.4 | +0.9 | 40% | 60% | 73% | 73% | OKL | +0.4 | #19 |
Josh Giddey | OKL | 3Pt | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | 100% | 80% | 80% | 80% | IND | +0.1 | #17 |
Jalen Smith | IND | 3Pt | 0.5 | 0.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 70% | 67% | 67% | OKL | +0.4 | #25 |
Pacers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #28 | #13 | #25 | 9.0% |
PF | #2 | #2 | #27 | #2 | -14.5% |
PG | #17 | #19 | #1 | #5 | -10.4% |
SF | #21 | #24 | #30 | #26 | 10.2% |
SG | #29 | #24 | #3 | #23 | 5.1% |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #18 | #20 | #19 | #15 | -1.6% |
PF | #26 | #25 | #29 | #28 | 11.4% |
PG | #2 | #25 | #3 | #2 | -23.8% |
SF | #8 | #1 | #24 | #5 | -11.2% |
SG | #20 | #12 | #4 | #13 | -3.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 11.8, 18.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 85.8% to 27.5, 14.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Aaron Nesmith (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.1% to 29.9, 21.6 min average previous 3 games. The Thunder have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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