Pacers vs Kings Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Golden 1 Center tonight as the Indiana Pacers and the Sacramento Kings clash in what’s shaping up to be a pivotal first round playoff battle. Both squads are neck-and-neck with the Pacers and Kings each desperate to claw their way up from the middle of their respective conference packs. With the tipoff set for 07:00 PM EST, and the betting lines buzzing with a tight 2.5 point spread favoring the home court Kings, tonight’s matchup promises to deliver some high-octane hoops action. After a series of playoff blowouts, this game is poised to be a breath of fresh air with both teams coming off dramatically different last games – the Kings licking their wounds and the Pacers riding high. So, let’s see if the Kings can ‘rule’ their court, or if the Pacers will ‘pace’ themselves to a royal victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 22, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Vegas Odds

	IND ML	SAC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+120	-140	235.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+115	-135	237.5	2.0/-2.0
Difference	-5	+5	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

25W-31L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

29W-25L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/02/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	38	33	28	34	133	Over
02/02/24	Indiana Pacers IND	39	25	24	34	122	Over
01/18/24	Indiana Pacers IND	34	36	29	27	126	Over
01/18/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	26	32	32	121	Over
02/03/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	27	21	32	24	104	Under
02/03/23	Indiana Pacers IND	28	32	27	20	107	Under
11/30/22	Indiana Pacers IND	20	28	35	31	114	Over
11/30/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	33	29	44	31	137	Over
03/23/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	37	29	19	25	110	Under
03/23/22	Indiana Pacers IND	34	27	28	20	109	Under
11/07/21	Indiana Pacers IND	27	21	26	20	94	Under
11/07/21	Sacramento Kings SAC	19	24	24	24	91	Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/19	vs PHX	120-111W	47	30	9	89
12/15	@ NOP	119-104W	43	33	17	81
12/13	vs PHI	121-107W	41	35	10	91
12/08	@ CHA	109-113L	29	23	17	82
12/06	vs CHI	132-123W	46	33	12	92
12/04	vs BRO	90-99L	39	20	16	75
12/03	vs TOR	111-122L	34	21	20	84
12/01	vs MEM	121-136L	41	28	15	90
11/29	@ DET	106-130L	32	23	16	85
11/25	@ NOP	114-110W	41	30	13	91

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	@ LAL	99-103L	46	25	13	90
12/19	@ LAL	100-113L	43	27	15	82
12/12	vs NOP	111-109W	50	24	11	92
12/08	@ UTA	141-97W	43	39	8	100
12/06	vs SAS	140-113W	44	33	11	90
12/05	vs MEM	110-115L	46	19	13	98
12/03	@ HOU	120-111W	34	33	10	91
12/01	@ SAS	125-127L	51	32	10	101
11/29	vs POR	106-115L	41	29	20	78
11/25	@ OKL	109-130L	31	24	12	87

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	43.0	44.1	38.6	100%	38.9
Bennedict Mathurin SF	29.0	24.5	27.6	73%	29.7
Andrew Nembhard SG	25.0	24.4	24.9	100%	25.2
Pascal Siakam PF	36.0	39.8	36.2	100%	36.6
Myles Turner C	32.0	28.9	30.2	100%	30.5

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
DeMar DeRozan SF	35.0	30.8	38.2	100%	38.6
De’Aaron Fox PG	44.0	43.0	45.1	100%	45.6
Malik Monk SG	34.0	29.4	27.9	27%	33.1
Keegan Murray PF	25.0	24.8	28.4	100%	28.8
Domantas Sabonis C	49.0	52.6	47.6	100%	47.9

Pacers Notable Injuries

Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 5.8pts, 1.6reb, 1.5ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 2.0
Johnny Furphy (SG/SF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 1.5
Enrique Freeman (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.4ast, 7.1 minutes. Last game: 12/13/24. Impact: 0.5

Kings Notable Injuries

Jordan McLaughlin (PG): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.2reb, 1.7ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 1.0
Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.5 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.8
Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.2reb, 0.5ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.7
Isaiah Crawford (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	13.5	16.0	+2.5	60%	50%	47%	47%	SAC	-1.7	#9
Obi Toppin	IND	Pts	10.5	11.7	+1.2	100%	80%	67%	67%	SAC	+1.8	#25
Andrew Nembhard	IND	Reb	2.5	2.6	+0.1	60%	40%	40%	40%	SAC	-0.5	#11
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Ast	5.5	7.3	+1.8	40%	50%	47%	47%	IND	-0.5	#6
Pascal Siakam	IND	Ast	2.5	3.7	+1.2	60%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	+0.2	#23
Keegan Murray	SAC	3Pt	1.5	1.9	+0.4	80%	60%	53%	53%	IND	0.0	#17
DeMar DeRozan	SAC	3Pt	0.5	0.8	+0.3	60%	40%	40%	40%	IND	-0.2	#10

View All Player Prop Projections

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#27	#2	#7	-6.1%
PF	#28	#21	#6	#23	4.1%
PG	#12	#12	#21	#15	0.2%
SF	#26	#19	#30	#28	9.2%
SG	#20	#4	#8	#12	-3.4%

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#20	#16	#11	-4.0%
PF	#25	#13	#23	#17	1.6%
PG	#1	#11	#16	#2	-12.7%
SF	#2	#11	#2	#4	-12.4%
SG	#29	#11	#14	#19	2.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.7

114.6

Rebounds per Game

39.7

43.3

Assists per Game

27.6

26.0

Steals per Game

8.6

8.2

Blocks per Game

5.2

4.8

Shots per Game

86.6

88.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.7

12.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.4

56.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.4

34.7

Turnovers per Game

14.3

13.0

Fouls per Game

20.8

20.1

Recent Trends

Keon Ellis (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.2% to 18.3, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 54.4% to 13.8, 30.3 min average previous 3 games.
Andrew Nembhard (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.0% to 31.3, 23.7 min average previous 3 games.