Pacers vs Wizards Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Capital One Arena where the playoff-bound Indiana Pacers are set to clash with the underdog Washington Wizards in a first round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With most of the early playoff games turning out to be snoozefests, tonight’s showdown, tipping off at 8 PM EST, is a breath of fresh air for hoops fans craving some real action. Both teams are hungry to bounce back after recent stumbles, setting the stage for a battle that could redefine the pecking order in the Eastern conference. The Pacers, looking to solidify their standing, face a Wizards squad eager to conjure a spellbinding upset. So, as the Pacers gallop and the Wizards wave their wands, expect a magical duel that’s more than just smoke and mirrors!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 12, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

	IND ML	WAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-460	+340	240.5	-10.0/10.0
Recent	-420	+315	239.5	-9.5/9.5
Difference	+40	-25	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

33W-34L

80.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

12W-53L

19.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/24/24	Washington Wizards WAS	28	31	28	16	00	103	Under
11/24/24	Indiana Pacers IND	31	26	35	23	00	115	Under
01/10/24	Washington Wizards WAS	21	34	25	24	00	104	Under
01/10/24	Indiana Pacers IND	23	31	35	23	00	112	Under
12/15/23	Indiana Pacers IND	37	18	32	36	00	123	Over
12/15/23	Washington Wizards WAS	30	39	39	29	00	137	Over
10/25/23	Washington Wizards WAS	39	29	28	24	00	120	Over
10/25/23	Indiana Pacers IND	34	39	37	33	00	143	Over
02/11/23	Indiana Pacers IND	29	28	31	25	00	113	Over
02/11/23	Washington Wizards WAS	37	43	24	23	00	127	Over
12/09/22	Washington Wizards WAS	33	32	24	22	00	111	Under
12/09/22	Indiana Pacers IND	31	38	26	26	00	121	Under
10/28/22	Indiana Pacers IND	36	39	26	26	00	127	Over
10/28/22	Washington Wizards WAS	28	32	30	27	00	117	Over
10/19/22	Washington Wizards WAS	36	24	27	27	00	114	Under
10/19/22	Indiana Pacers IND	25	27	25	30	00	107	Under
03/06/22	Indiana Pacers IND	26	35	26	36	00	123	Over
03/06/22	Washington Wizards WAS	30	27	39	37	00	133	Over
02/16/22	Washington Wizards WAS	25	26	25	32	00	108	Under
02/16/22	Indiana Pacers IND	25	31	28	29	00	113	Under
12/06/21	Washington Wizards WAS	18	29	31	32	00	110	Under
12/06/21	Indiana Pacers IND	28	30	30	28	00	116	Under
10/22/21	Indiana Pacers IND	36	37	23	27	110	134	Over
10/22/21	Washington Wizards WAS	32	41	33	17	120	135	Over

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/11	@ NYK	115-128L	36	32	10	89
02/08	vs LAL	117-124L	38	27	10	87
02/06	vs LAC	119-112W	46	31	7	95
02/04	vs POR	89-112L	39	25	19	81
02/03	vs UTA	112-111W	37	32	9	91
02/01	@ ATL	132-127W	41	35	11	90
01/29	@ DET	133-119W	36	28	13	81
01/23	@ SAS	110-140L	31	31	11	97
01/18	@ PHI	115-102W	50	30	17	83
01/16	vs DET	111-100W	40	28	9	89

Wizards Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	@ SAS	121-131L	42	26	14	93
02/08	@ ATL	111-125L	53	26	17	93
02/07	@ CLE	124-134L	40	25	13	94
02/05	vs BRO	119-102W	40	40	14	81
02/03	vs CHA	124-114W	54	29	10	99
02/01	vs MIN	105-103W	44	26	16	83
01/30	@ LAL	96-134L	38	18	13	91
01/29	@ TOR	82-106L	43	17	25	72
01/27	vs DAL	108-130L	45	23	11	101
01/23	vs LAC	93-110L	49	24	15	94

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Thomas Bryant C	30.0	27.8	15.7	13%	32.2
Tyrese Haliburton PG	40.0	34.6	38.7	100%	39.0
Bennedict Mathurin SF	25.0	25.6	25.6	100%	25.0
Andrew Nembhard SG	26.0	20.1	24.1	100%	24.4
Pascal Siakam PF	41.0	40.5	38.0	100%	38.4

Washington Wizards	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Carlton Carrington SG	25.0	26.4	20.0	80%	23.2
Bilal Coulibaly SF	33.0	34.6	28.0	100%	28.4
Kyshawn George PF	23.0	27.2	18.3	40%	21.7
Jordan Poole PG	38.0	37.6	35.2	100%	35.5
Alexandre Sarr C	31.0	23.6	27.0	100%	27.4

Pacers Notable Injuries

Myles Turner (C): Avg: 16.0pts, 6.7reb, 1.5ast, 28.6 minutes. Last game: 02/06/25. Impact: 4.4
Johnny Furphy (SG/SF): Avg: 1.9pts, 1.2reb, 0.3ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 02/11/25. Impact: 0.3
Enrique Freeman (PF/C): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 0.7
James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.5reb, 0.6ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 0.3
RayJ Dennis (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 0.3

Wizards Notable Injuries

Khris Middleton (SF/PF): Avg: 15.1pts, 4.7reb, 5.1ast, 26.8 minutes. Last game: 02/02/25. Impact: 4.3
Marcus Smart (PG/SG): Avg: 11.3pts, 2.4reb, 4.0ast, 25.9 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 2.8
AJ Johnson (PG/SG): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.0reb, 1.3ast, 6.7 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 1.4
Anthony Gill (PF/C): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.4reb, 0.4ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 02/07/25. Impact: 0.2
Colby Jones (SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.7
Jaylen Martin (SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.7reb, 0.0ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 0.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Andrew Nembhard	IND	Pts	11.5	11.6	+0.1	20%	30%	33%	33%	WAS	-0.2	#11
Bilal Coulibaly	WAS	Reb	5.5	6.2	+0.7	60%	30%	33%	33%	IND	+0.9	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#22	#7	#17	2.3%
PF	#3	#29	#7	#6	-5.3%
PG	#23	#4	#23	#15	-0.4%
SF	#16	#28	#26	#23	4.3%
SG	#18	#19	#18	#11	-1.3%

Wizards Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#24	#16	#24	#20	3.4%
PF	#28	#30	#12	#29	12.3%
PG	#11	#28	#24	#28	6.5%
SF	#15	#18	#29	#24	5.0%
SG	#30	#26	#24	#30	9.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.5

109.1

Rebounds per Game

42.8

44.9

Assists per Game

30.1

25.6

Steals per Game

8.5

7.2

Blocks per Game

5.0

4.3

Shots per Game

88.8

90.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.5

13.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.1

51.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.8

34.0

Turnovers per Game

11.1

15.0

Fouls per Game

19.1

19.5

Recent Trends

Thomas Bryant (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.7% to 27.7, 18.0 min average previous 3 games.
Carlton Carrington (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.3% to 34.1, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
Kyshawn George (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.0% to 33.8, 22.6 min average previous 3 games.
Richaun Holmes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.1% to 29.2, 21.0 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jaylen Nowell (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.5% to 26.7, 20.4 min average previous 3 games.
Obi Toppin (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.9% to 23.6, 14.4 min average previous 3 games.
Tristan Vukcevic (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.8% to 17.0, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jarace Walker (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.6% to 11.1, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jahlil Okafor (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.4, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.