Clippers vs Mavericks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

Get ready to buckle up your seatbelts, sports fans, because the NBA playoffs are about to heat up with a sizzling showdown in the Lone Star State! Today, the Los Angeles Clippers, hungry to claw back into contention, are set to invade the American Airlines Center, where the Dallas Mavericks aim to lasso in another win to maintain their lead. With the Clippers just a half-game shy of evening out their playoff stance and the Mavericks riding high at the top, this 3:30 PM tipoff promises all the drama and intensity we’ve been craving after a series of first-round blowouts. Both teams are itching to rebound from recent stumbles, setting the stage for a clash that’s more than just a game—it’s a battle for Western conference supremacy. As the over/under teeters at 208.5, will the Clippers clip the Mavs’ wings, or will Dallas gallop away with the victory? One thing’s for sure, this isn’t just any old rodeo—it’s a high-flying, hoop-slinging showdown where only the sharpest shooters will survive!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 03:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	LAC ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+190	-230	208.5	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+175	-210	208.5	5.5/-5.5
Difference	-15	+20	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

25W-15L

36.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

24W-16L

63.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/26/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	23	18	26	23	00	90	Under
04/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	18	36	24	23	00	101	Under
04/23/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	22	20	31	00	96	Under
04/23/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	19	22	25	27	00	93	Under
04/21/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	8	34	33	00	97	Under
04/21/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	34	22	31	22	00	109	Under
12/20/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	35	32	18	35	00	120	Over
12/20/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	34	27	28	00	111	Over
11/25/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	18	27	17	26	00	88	Under
11/25/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	29	27	23	28	00	107	Under
11/10/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	33	18	38	37	00	126	Over
11/10/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	47	38	29	00	144	Over
02/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	41	19	21	29	00	110	Over
02/08/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	25	27	26	26	00	104	Over
01/22/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	22	27	30	33	00	112	Over
01/22/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	34	25	19	00	98	Over
01/10/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	22	31	23	00	101	Over
01/10/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	31	38	19	25	00	113	Over
11/15/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	15	17	33	36	00	101	Under
11/15/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	24	15	34	00	103	Under
02/12/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	23	26	21	29	00	99	Under
02/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	22	19	30	00	97	Under
02/10/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	28	22	31	24	00	105	Over
02/10/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	23	30	23	00	112	Over
11/23/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	21	38	23	90	112	Over
11/23/21	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	26	22	28	27	10	104	Over
11/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	25	15	29	00	91	Under
11/21/21	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	19	27	25	26	00	97	Under

Clippers Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Clippers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ UTA	109-110L	44	23	13	96
04/10	@ PHX	108-124L	44	23	12	95
04/09	vs PHX	105-92W	63	28	18	87
04/07	@ CLE	120-118W	48	26	15	84
04/05	@ UTA	131-102W	51	32	14	92
04/04	@ DEN	102-100W	48	22	6	90
04/02	vs SAC	95-109L	38	18	15	76
03/31	vs CHA	130-118W	41	28	8	75
03/29	vs ORL	100-97W	41	19	16	86
03/27	vs PHI	108-107W	43	28	6	90

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Clippers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paul George SF	38.4	30.2	38.0	100%	38.4
James Harden PG	39.1	36.0	37.7	100%	37.9
Kawhi Leonard PF	34.9	38.5	40.0	100%	38.9
Terance Mann SG	16.0	11.9	18.1	100%	18.4
Ivica Zubac C	30.8	31.9	27.6	100%	28.0

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	68.6	59.3	63.5	100%	63.9
Kyrie Irving PG	46.0	44.8	43.3	100%	43.7
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	16.2	14.6	13.0	73%	14.8
Dereck Lively II C	18.8	18.6	20.8	50%	22.3
PJ Washington PF	28.1	26.1	26.4	100%	26.8

Clippers Notable Injuries

Bones Hyland (PG): Avg: 6.7pts, 1.5reb, 2.5ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 3.3
Brandon Boston Jr. (SG): Avg: 4.6pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 2.0
Kobe Brown (PF): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.3reb, 0.4ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.9

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 14.3pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 26.4 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 2.3
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 3.1pts, 3.3reb, 1.3ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.9
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 04/21/24. Impact: 0.9
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	23.5	26.3	+2.8	40%	70%	73%	73%	LAC	+0.7	#22
Terance Mann	LAC	Pts	5.5	8.0	+2.5	20%	60%	67%	67%	DAL	-1.9	#6
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Reb	4.5	5.5	+1.0	40%	70%	60%	60%	LAC	+1.1	#24
Daniel Gafford	DAL	Reb	5.5	5.8	+0.3	0%	30%	40%	40%	LAC	+1.1	#24
Derrick Jones Jr.	DAL	Ast	0.5	0.9	+0.4	20%	40%	53%	53%	LAC	+4.6	#29

View All Player Prop Projections

Clippers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#24	#27	#11	-5.4%
PF	#7	#12	#5	#12	-4.3%
PG	#20	#23	#2	#18	0.8%
SF	#5	#4	#29	#6	-28.3%
SG	#22	#14	#5	#18	0.2%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#11	#5	#1	-19.3%
PF	#12	#17	#7	#13	-3.4%
PG	#24	#4	#11	#24	21.0%
SF	#19	#14	#14	#19	2.8%
SG	#6	#20	#8	#9	-5.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.1

114.0

Rebounds per Game

46.4

46.1

Assists per Game

24.3

25.3

Steals per Game

7.6

6.4

Blocks per Game

3.4

7.0

Shots per Game

86.8

87.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.2

15.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.9

56.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.6

37.9

Turnovers per Game

13.0

14.1

Fouls per Game

19.7

16.3

Recent Trends

Amir Coffey (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 18.1, 34.1 min average previous 3 games.
Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.5% to 11.3, 16.5 min average previous 3 games.
Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.7% to 12.6, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
James Harden (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 82.1% to 41.7, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
Bones Hyland (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 135.7% to 25.4, 10.8 min average previous 3 games.
Maxi Kleber (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.9% to 23.4, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.
Terance Mann (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.8% to 27.4, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.
Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.3% to 11.3, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.
P.J. Tucker (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 71.5% to 19.5, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
PJ Washington (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.7% to 35.4, 25.9 min average previous 3 games.
Ivica Zubac (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.5% to 32.9, 21.9 min average previous 3 games.