Clippers vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying showdown at the American Airlines Center tonight as the Los Angeles Clippers sail into Dallas to clash with the Mavericks in a pivotal first-round NBA playoff game. With both teams hungry to bounce back from recent defeats and tighten their grip on the Western conference standings, the stakes are sky-high. The Clippers, just a whisper away from evening out their record, are set to challenge the Mavericks, who are eager to defend their slight lead at home. With the tipoff set for 9:30 PM EST and an over/under that promises a battle royale, tonight’s matchup is not just another game—it’s a strategic fight for survival. As the clock ticks down, it’s time to see if the Clippers can clip the Mavs’ wings or if Dallas will ride off into the sunset with a victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 03, 2024 09:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	LAC ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+250	-300	207.5	7.5/-7.5
Recent	+255	-310	208.5	8.0/-8.0
Difference	+5	-10	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

25W-15L

28.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

8W-2L

HOME

24W-16L

71.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
05/01/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	31	33	34	00	123	Over
05/01/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	24	22	23	24	00	93	Over
04/28/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	39	27	16	34	00	116	Over
04/28/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	16	33	29	33	00	111	Over
04/26/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	23	18	26	23	00	90	Under
04/26/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	18	36	24	23	00	101	Under
04/23/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	22	20	31	00	96	Under
04/23/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	19	22	25	27	00	93	Under
04/21/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	8	34	33	00	97	Under
04/21/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	34	22	31	22	00	109	Under
12/20/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	35	32	18	35	00	120	Over
12/20/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	34	27	28	00	111	Over
11/25/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	18	27	17	26	00	88	Under
11/25/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	29	27	23	28	00	107	Under
11/10/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	33	18	38	37	00	126	Over
11/10/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	47	38	29	00	144	Over
02/08/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	41	19	21	29	00	110	Over
02/08/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	25	27	26	26	00	104	Over
01/22/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	22	27	30	33	00	112	Over
01/22/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	20	34	25	19	00	98	Over
01/10/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	22	31	23	00	101	Over
01/10/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	31	38	19	25	00	113	Over
11/15/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	15	17	33	36	00	101	Under
11/15/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	24	15	34	00	103	Under
02/12/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	23	26	21	29	00	99	Under
02/12/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	22	19	30	00	97	Under
02/10/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	28	22	31	24	00	105	Over
02/10/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	23	30	23	00	112	Over
11/23/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	21	38	23	90	112	Over
11/23/21	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	26	22	28	27	10	104	Over
11/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	25	15	29	00	91	Under
11/21/21	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	19	27	25	26	00	97	Under

Clippers Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Clippers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ UTA	109-110L	44	23	13	96
04/10	@ PHX	108-124L	44	23	12	95
04/09	vs PHX	105-92W	63	28	18	87
04/07	@ CLE	120-118W	48	26	15	84
04/05	@ UTA	131-102W	51	32	14	92
04/04	@ DEN	102-100W	48	22	6	90
04/02	vs SAC	95-109L	38	18	15	76
03/31	vs CHA	130-118W	41	28	8	75
03/29	vs ORL	100-97W	41	19	16	86
03/27	vs PHI	108-107W	43	28	6	90

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ DET	89-107L	49	20	20	83
04/10	vs MIA	111-92W	39	27	7	87
04/09	vs CHA	130-104W	55	35	14	93
04/07	@ HOU	147-136W	47	21	17	85
04/05	@ GSW	108-106W	41	30	17	84
04/04	@ ATL	109-95W	53	20	14	94
04/02	vs GSW	100-104L	42	27	15	89
03/31	vs HOU	125-107W	47	24	13	93
03/29	vs SAC	107-103W	42	24	10	76
03/26	vs SAC	132-96W	49	34	9	92

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Clippers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Amir Coffey SG	14.5	6.6	13.4	23%	18.4
Paul George SF	46.8	38.1	38.5	100%	38.9
James Harden PG	44.1	41.8	37.9	100%	38.2
Terance Mann PF	23.7	17.3	17.1	100%	17.5
Ivica Zubac C	31.4	31.2	27.3	100%	27.7

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luka Doncic SG	68.3	57.5	63.0	100%	63.4
Daniel Gafford C	21.1	12.3	23.7	80%	25.8
Kyrie Irving PG	47.3	44.0	42.6	100%	43.0
Derrick Jones Jr. SF	21.2	18.9	14.3	80%	15.7
PJ Washington PF	28.1	23.8	26.2	100%	26.6

Clippers Notable Injuries

Kawhi Leonard (SF/PF): Avg: 23.3pts, 6.2reb, 3.5ast, 34.1 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 6.2
Daniel Theis (C): Avg: 5.9pts, 3.8reb, 0.9ast, 16.4 minutes. Last game: 05/01/24. Impact: 2.1
Bones Hyland (PG): Avg: 6.8pts, 1.5reb, 2.5ast, 13.9 minutes. Last game: 05/01/24. Impact: 3.3
Brandon Boston Jr. (SG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 05/01/24. Impact: 1.9
Kobe Brown (PF): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.2reb, 0.4ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 05/01/24. Impact: 0.8

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 14.3pts, 3.2reb, 1.6ast, 26.4 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 2.3
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 3.1pts, 3.3reb, 1.3ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 05/01/24. Impact: 0.9
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 04/21/24. Impact: 0.9
AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 05/01/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
PJ Washington	DAL	Pts	10.5	13.2	+2.7	40%	50%	60%	60%	LAC	-16.4	#1
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	24.5	27.1	+2.6	40%	60%	60%	60%	LAC	+3.2	#25
Mason Plumlee	LAC	Reb	3.5	5.1	+1.6	80%	80%	67%	67%	DAL	-0.6	#9
Maxi Kleber	DAL	Reb	2.5	3.2	+0.7	60%	70%	67%	67%	LAC	-0.4	#12
Amir Coffey	LAC	Ast	0.5	1.2	+0.7	40%	60%	67%	67%	DAL	-0.8	#13
Luka Doncic	DAL	Ast	9.5	10.2	+0.7	40%	50%	47%	47%	LAC	-0.4	#13

View All Player Prop Projections

Clippers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#12	#18	#4	-14.2%
PF	#3	#13	#2	#5	-9.9%
PG	#27	#1	#2	#18	-3.9%
SF	#1	#30	#1	#1	-101.2%
SG	#25	#18	#13	#22	6.1%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#9	#1	#1	-22.5%
PF	#12	#12	#17	#13	-3.2%
PG	#24	#5	#18	#26	27.4%
SF	#21	#20	#13	#22	10.2%
SG	#9	#19	#3	#6	-10.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.5

115.7

Rebounds per Game

49.7

47.3

Assists per Game

25.7

25.5

Steals per Game

7.8

6.5

Blocks per Game

3.5

7.0

Shots per Game

90.7

87.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.3

14.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.7

59.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.3

34.7

Turnovers per Game

13.0

14.8

Fouls per Game

20.5

17.2

Recent Trends

Brandon Boston Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.7% to 10.8, 16.1 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 78.2% to 21.1, 11.8 min average previous 3 games.
Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.7% to 12.6, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
Bones Hyland (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.3% to 13.5, 22.6 min average previous 3 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.2% to 29.9, 21.3 min average previous 3 games.
Terance Mann (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.2% to 29.8, 21.5 min average previous 3 games.