Clippers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a high-stakes showdown as the Los Angeles Clippers sail into the Mile High City to battle it out with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena tonight at 10:00 PM EST! Both teams are neck-and-neck in the Western conference, making this first-round playoff game a crucial pivot point in their seasons. With the Clippers sharpening their blades and the Nuggets looking to mine a much-needed win after their recent stumbles, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The betting lines are buzzing, and with an over/under of 227, expect a score-fest that keeps everyone on the edge of their seats. As these two teams clash, it’s clear—only one can clip the competition or strike gold!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 08, 2025 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	LAC ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-145	+125	228.0	-2.5/2.5
Recent	-125	-105	227.0	-2.5/2.5
Difference	+20	-230	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

31W-25L

55.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

40W-15L

44.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/13/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	22	25	22	29	00	98	Under
12/13/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	19	35	37	00	120	Under
12/01/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	23	36	31	32	00	122	Over
12/01/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	32	27	33	34	00	126	Over
10/26/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	27	21	22	39	00	109	Under
10/26/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	19	23	29	33	00	104	Under
12/06/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	36	21	25	20	00	102	Under
12/06/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	21	40	18	32	00	111	Under
04/04/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	18	21	30	00	100	Under
04/04/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	20	33	22	27	00	102	Under
11/27/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	33	19	36	00	113	Under
11/27/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	28	28	32	16	00	104	Under
11/14/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	26	26	32	24	00	108	Under
11/14/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	32	24	27	00	111	Under
02/26/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	22	36	30	32	40	124	Over
02/26/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	31	31	23	140	134	Over
01/13/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	25	29	29	00	115	Under
01/13/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	34	24	23	22	00	103	Under
01/05/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	15	17	27	32	00	91	Under
01/05/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	34	36	20	00	122	Under
11/25/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	31	33	23	27	00	114	Under
11/25/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	26	26	25	27	00	104	Under
03/22/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	27	34	27	27	00	115	Over
03/22/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	37	35	27	28	00	127	Over
01/19/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	25	34	22	33	140	128	Over
01/19/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	29	18	34	33	160	130	Over
01/11/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	18	23	25	19	00	85	Under
01/11/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	16	12	27	32	00	87	Under
12/26/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	32	15	24	00	103	Under
12/26/21	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	30	25	28	17	00	100	Under

Clippers Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Clippers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/06	vs MIN	106-108L	49	23	13	89
01/04	@ ATL	131-105W	48	36	17	96
01/02	vs OKL	98-116L	45	25	19	81
12/31	vs SAS	86-122L	41	17	13	87
12/30	vs NOP	116-113W	40	24	16	86
12/27	@ GSW	102-92W	39	19	21	75
12/21	vs DAL	97-113L	40	18	17	81
12/19	vs DAL	118-95W	47	30	13	85
12/13	vs DEN	98-120L	31	24	19	83
12/08	@ HOU	106-117L	33	21	7	92

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/07	@ BOS	106-118L	39	22	16	87
01/04	vs SAS	122-111W	58	32	7	108
01/03	@ SAS	110-113L	46	33	8	97
01/01	@ ATL	139-120W	43	44	12	94
12/30	vs UTA	132-121W	51	38	7	105
12/28	@ DET	134-121W	40	29	13	82
12/27	@ CLE	135-149L	38	39	13	94
12/25	vs PHX	100-110L	46	20	16	78
12/22	vs NOP	132-129W	54	34	22	97
12/19	vs POR	124-126L	40	35	11	87

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Clippers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Kris Dunn SG	16.0	14.7	18.3	73%	19.1
James Harden PG	49.0	36.9	43.0	100%	43.3
Kawhi Leonard PF	26.0	25.2	37.6	100%	36.5
Norman Powell SF	39.0	30.1	31.7	83%	34.3
Ivica Zubac C	41.0	38.3	36.6	100%	37.0

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Christian Braun SF	24.0	26.1	26.2	100%	26.6
Nikola Jokic C	64.0	76.0	66.5	100%	67.0
Jamal Murray SG	38.0	36.9	36.7	100%	37.1
Michael Porter Jr. PF	32.0	35.5	33.7	100%	34.0
Russell Westbrook PG	32.0	40.9	31.3	33%	38.8

Clippers Notable Injuries

Mo Bamba (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 4.0reb, 0.7ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 1.8
Kobe Brown (PF/C): Avg: 1.9pts, 1.4reb, 0.4ast, 7.6 minutes. Last game: 01/04/25. Impact: 1.2

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Aaron Gordon (PF): Avg: 13.9pts, 6.6reb, 3.7ast, 32.1 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 4.3
Dario Saric (C): Avg: 7.1pts, 4.2reb, 2.1ast, 16.6 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 1.7
Trey Alexander (PG/SG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 0.3
Spencer Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Norman Powell	LAC	Pts	21.5	25.3	+3.8	40%	50%	53%	53%	DEN	+2.8	#30
Ivica Zubac	LAC	Pts	13.5	16.8	+3.3	60%	60%	53%	53%	DEN	+0.5	#18
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Reb	11.5	13.0	+1.5	60%	60%	67%	67%	LAC	-1.5	#3
Michael Porter Jr.	DEN	Reb	5.5	6.9	+1.4	60%	40%	47%	47%	LAC	+0.4	#22
James Harden	LAC	Ast	7.5	9.7	+2.2	40%	20%	47%	47%	DEN	+0.8	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Clippers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#3	#30	#16	-0.5%
PF	#7	#9	#18	#5	-6.6%
PG	#25	#23	#16	#24	4.3%
SF	#20	#22	#17	#23	6.2%
SG	#8	#11	#2	#5	-6.3%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#25	#24	#23	5.7%
PF	#14	#6	#10	#17	-0.2%
PG	#21	#12	#30	#28	7.3%
SF	#16	#6	#27	#19	2.0%
SG	#30	#24	#27	#27	7.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.0

119.8

Rebounds per Game

43.2

44.2

Assists per Game

23.8

31.6

Steals per Game

9.5

8.7

Blocks per Game

4.5

4.6

Shots per Game

85.7

90.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.4

11.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.2

56.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.5

37.5

Turnovers per Game

15.2

13.6

Fouls per Game

17.7

Recent Trends

Nikola Jokic (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Kris Dunn (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.9% to 20.5, 29.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kawhi Leonard (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.1% to 21.5, 36.6 min average previous 3 games.
Terance Mann (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.4% to 13.1, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.
Michael Porter Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.6% to 41.3, 30.9 min average previous 3 games.