Lakers vs Nets Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024

Alright, hoop-heads, saddle up and get ready for a clash of titans (and we use that term loosely) as the Lakers, sporting a 41W-33L record, are jetting off to the home of the Brooklyn Nets, who are sitting not-so-pretty at 29W-45L. They’re going toe-to-toe at the Barclays Center, with the action kicking off at 06:00PM EST. The Lakers are trailing by 5.5 games in the Western conference, while the Nets are a whopping 29.0 games behind in the East. Betting lines are drawn with the over/under set at 225.5, Lakers at -5.5 and the Nets, generously, at 5.5. The Nets are riding high from a 125-110 victory against CHI, while the Lakers are licking their wounds after a 90-109 loss to IND. So, whether you’re a Laker-lover or a Net-nut, tonight’s game has all the ingredients for a classic. And remember, in this game of hoops, it’s not about the size of the net, it’s about how you sink the Lakers!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 31, 2024 06:00PM EST

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Vegas Odds

	LAL ML	BRO ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-230	+190	224.5	-5.5/5.5
Recent	-195	+165	225.5	-6.0/6.0
Difference	+35	-25	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

13W-21L

66.1% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

16W-19L

33.9% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/19/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	28	34	38	30	130	Over
01/19/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	37	31	22	22	112	Over
01/30/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	16	30	36	22	104	Under
01/30/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	29	29	27	36	121	Under
11/13/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	22	24	31	26	103	Under
11/13/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	29	25	36	116	Under
01/25/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	29	30	14	106	Under
01/25/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	25	28	25	18	96	Under
12/25/21	Brooklyn Nets BRO	38	28	36	20	122	Over
12/25/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	23	39	20	33	115	Over

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Nets Vs Over/Under

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/29	vs IND	90-109L	48	24	16	87
03/27	vs MEM	136-124W	43	31	15	81
03/26	vs MIL	128-124W	69	30	17	108
03/24	@ IND	150-145W	41	28	10	89
03/22	@ PHI	101-96W	54	22	21	74
03/18	@ ATL	136-105W	48	39	8	90
03/16	@ GSW	121-128L	39	32	9	92
03/13	vs SAC	107-120L	38	25	14	79
03/10	@ MIN	120-109W	56	29	19	83
03/08	@ MIL	123-124L	38	27	5	90

Nets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/29	@ CHI	125-110W	43	26	6	91
03/27	vs WAS	122-119W	45	24	8	98
03/25	vs TOR	96-88W	50	20	18	81
03/23	vs NYK	93-105L	41	26	15	76
03/21	vs MIL	108-115L	49	29	14	92
03/19	@ NOP	91-104L	42	19	13	84
03/17	vs SAS	115-122L	48	29	12	102
03/16	vs IND	100-121L	45	18	20	78
03/13	vs ORL	106-114L	32	21	13	81
03/10	vs CLE	120-101W	40	33	12	80

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Anthony Davis C	54.4	60.8	52.0	100%	52.3
Rui Hachimura SF	23.7	29.3	24.4	83%	24.8
LeBron James PF	48.3	46.7	49.3	100%	49.7
Austin Reaves SG	37.0	43.0	35.2	100%	35.5
D’Angelo Russell PG	35.7	39.0	38.6	100%	39.0

Brooklyn Nets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mikal Bridges SF	34.8	35.8	32.4	100%	32.8
Nic Claxton C	39.4	35.3	31.1	100%	31.4
Cameron Johnson PF	26.4	24.6	24.1	73%	26.1
Dennis Schroder PG	34.3	35.2	28.6	70%	31.8
Cam Thomas SG	41.4	40.2	35.5	77%	37.2

Lakers Notable Injuries

Skylar Mays (PG/SG): Avg: 4.7pts, 1.3reb, 2.5ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 0.5
Harry Giles III (C): Avg: 2.7pts, 1.3reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 0.5
Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 2.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.4
Maxwell Lewis (SF/PF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 0.1

Nets Notable Injuries

Jacob Gilyard (PG): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.1reb, 3.4ast, 17.0 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 2.4
Keita Bates-Diop (PF): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 12.5 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Nic Claxton	BRO	Pts	11.5	14.4	+2.9	40%	30%	53%	53%	LAL	-1.0	#9
Cam Thomas	BRO	Pts	24.5	27.2	+2.7	60%	60%	47%	47%	LAL	+1.1	#24
Austin Reaves	LAL	Reb	4.5	4.9	+0.4	80%	80%	73%	73%	BRO	-0.4	#8

View All Player Prop Projections

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#7	#30	#20	1.7%
PF	#25	#28	#17	#25	6.2%
PG	#25	#28	#21	#28	18.1%
SF	#22	#7	#26	#22	6.2%
SG	#24	#15	#21	#24	5.0%

Nets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#18	#7	#16	0.2%
PF	#11	#23	#21	#16	1.4%
PG	#4	#12	#20	#10	-9.4%
SF	#21	#14	#17	#11	-2.4%
SG	#10	#8	#5	#6	-8.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

120.2

107.7

Rebounds per Game

45.7

41.7

Assists per Game

28.8

24.7

Steals per Game

4.9

7.3

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.6

Shots per Game

86.5

86.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

13.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.7

51.7

3-Pt Percentage per Game

40.9

36.6

Turnovers per Game

13.5

13.0

Fouls per Game

14.2

17.2

Recent Trends

Anthony Davis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 56.2% to 43.1, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
Rui Hachimura (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.8% to 35.2, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jaxson Hayes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 75.1% to 19.3, 11.0 min average previous 3 games.
Keon Johnson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.9% to 10.0, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
Cam Reddish (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 10.1, 19.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.