Lakers vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the American Airlines Center tonight as the Los Angeles Lakers glide into Dallas to face off against the Mavericks in a nail-biting first-round NBA playoff game. With both teams boasting nearly identical records, the stakes are sky-high and the betting lines are buzzing. The Lakers, fresh off a commanding win, are looking to keep their momentum flying high, while the Mavericks are itching to bounce back from their recent stumble. As the clock ticks down to an 08:30 PM EST tipoff, fans are gearing up for a game that promises to blend high-octane basketball with playoff intensity. Will the Lakers continue to soar, or will the Mavericks corral their way to victory? Tonight, it’s all about who can truly lasso the win in this Western conference clash!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 07, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	LAL ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-245	+205	218.5	-6.5/6.5
Recent	-210	+175	218.5	-7.0/7.0
Difference	+35	-30	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-29L

67.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

32W-22L

32.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/17/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	27	27	30	00	110	Over
01/17/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	23	42	30	00	127	Over
12/12/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	35	34	30	00	125	Over
12/12/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	37	22	34	00	127	Over
11/22/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	33	29	13	00	104	Under
11/22/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	25	21	25	30	00	101	Under
03/17/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	33	27	22	00	111	Over
03/17/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	21	26	30	00	110	Over
02/26/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	16	31	31	33	00	111	Over
02/26/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	33	20	27	00	108	Over
01/12/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	36	23	23	19	711	119	Over
01/12/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	22	26	28	25	77	115	Over
12/25/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	28	26	21	40	00	115	Over
12/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	22	51	30	00	124	Over
03/29/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	25	31	28	26	00	110	Over
03/29/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	43	39	31	15	00	128	Over
03/01/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	41	14	24	00	109	Under
03/01/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	25	31	31	17	00	104	Under
12/15/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	14	26	20	140	107	Under
12/15/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	27	23	20	110	104	Under

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/03	@ ATL	119-102W	56	28	18	88
01/02	@ POR	114-106W	43	30	12	94
12/31	@ CLE	110-122L	43	26	8	95
12/28	@ SAC	132-122W	33	33	11	77
12/25	vs GSW	115-113W	41	30	9	91
12/21	vs SAC	103-99W	48	23	13	83
12/19	vs SAC	113-100W	53	22	10	94
12/15	@ MEM	116-110W	44	23	21	82
12/13	vs MIN	87-97L	53	17	21	86
12/08	@ POR	107-98W	40	25	11	83

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98
01/03	@ CLE	122-134L	53	29	12	100
01/01	vs HOU	99-110L	38	19	20	75
12/30	vs SAC	100-110L	36	17	17	76
12/28	vs POR	122-126L	40	20	13	89
12/27	vs PHX	98-89W	41	24	15	80
12/25	@ MIN	99-105L	43	15	12	87
12/21	@ LAC	113-97W	43	25	11	88
12/19	@ LAC	95-118L	40	21	13	86
12/15	vs GSW	143-133W	47	36	15	87

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Max Christie SG	20.0	25.1	15.0	37%	20.2
Anthony Davis C	55.0	45.8	51.6	100%	52.0
Rui Hachimura SF	22.0	23.6	23.3	100%	23.7
LeBron James PF	50.0	51.0	48.5	100%	48.8
Austin Reaves PG	42.0	51.1	35.4	100%	35.8

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Spencer Dinwiddie PG	29.0	23.1	18.5	20%	29.7
Quentin Grimes SG	26.0	30.9	20.4	33%	27.5
Dereck Lively II C	37.0	33.1	26.7	63%	27.3
Klay Thompson SF	32.0	26.1	25.2	100%	25.5
PJ Washington PF	37.0	27.4	28.4	100%	28.5

Lakers Notable Injuries

Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.3reb, 1.2ast, 19.0 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 2.2
Christian Koloko (C): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.6reb, 0.4ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 1.3
Bronny James (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.1reb, 0.4ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.2

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Luka Doncic (PG): Avg: 31.8pts, 9.1reb, 9.3ast, 37.8 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 9.4
Kyrie Irving (PG/SG): Avg: 24.7pts, 4.7reb, 5.2ast, 36.0 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 6.8
Daniel Gafford (C): Avg: 10.8pts, 6.9reb, 1.4ast, 23.0 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 3.3
Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.3reb, 0.5ast, 7.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.7
Kessler Edwards (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.1
Jazian Gortman (PG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.3reb, 0.4ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Dereck Lively II	DAL	Pts	9.5	13.5	+4.0	40%	30%	40%	40%	LAL	-0.2	#15
Klay Thompson	DAL	Pts	16.5	18.9	+2.4	0%	30%	27%	27%	LAL	-0.6	#12
Naji Marshall	DAL	Reb	4.5	6.0	+1.5	40%	40%	27%	27%	LAL	+0.9	#28
Spencer Dinwiddie	DAL	Reb	2.5	3.3	+0.8	60%	70%	60%	60%	LAL	-0.8	#3
Dorian Finney-Smith	LAL	Ast	0.5	1.2	+0.7	60%	80%	67%	67%	DAL	+0.7	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#21	#8	#10	-2.1%
PF	#19	#13	#21	#15	-0.6%
PG	#24	#3	#28	#25	4.3%
SF	#11	#28	#15	#12	-2.9%
SG	#12	#19	#25	#14	-1.4%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#15	#25	#20	3.1%
PF	#20	#19	#26	#23	4.6%
PG	#10	#5	#16	#13	0.5%
SF	#15	#8	#28	#18	1.4%
SG	#16	#23	#13	#17	-0.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.6

116.2

Rebounds per Game

41.9

45.2

Assists per Game

26.2

24.5

Steals per Game

7.7

8.2

Blocks per Game

5.4

6.5

Shots per Game

86.2

87.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.0

13.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.9

55.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.9

37.6

Turnovers per Game

12.8

14.8

Fouls per Game

16.6

18.4

Recent Trends

Anthony Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.9% to 37.8, 26.6 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.0% to 12.1, 28.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.4% to 22.3, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jaxson Hayes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.6% to 15.1, 23.9 min average previous 3 games.
Shake Milton (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 51.8% to 13.3, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.