Lakers vs Nuggets Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Apr 20th 2024

Lakers
1W-0L

April 20, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 226.5 o/u
Nuggets
0W-0L


Get ready to rumble as the NBA playoffs kick into high gear with a sizzling face-off at the Ball Arena tonight! The undefeated Los Angeles Lakers are gliding in with their eyes set on victory, ready to battle it out with the Denver Nuggets, who are hungry to notch their first win of the postseason. With both teams locked in at the top of the Western Conference and the stakes sky-high, the air is electric! The clock’s set for an 08:30 PM EST showdown, and with a tight betting line reflecting a razor-thin margin, fans are in for a thrill-a-minute contest. After the Lakers’ nail-biting win and the Nuggets’ heartbreaker against the Spurs, tonight’s matchup is poised to be a blockbuster. So, as the Lakers look to ‘mine’ another victory and the Nuggets aim to ‘shoot’ down their high-flying rivals, brace yourself for an explosive clash that’s sure to be pure ‘gold’!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 20, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
LAL ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +250 | -300 | 225.0 | 7.0/-7.0 |
Recent | +225 | -275 | 226.5 | 7.0/-7.0 |
Difference | -25 | +25 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance

30.8% Win Probability

69.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/02/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 27 | 31 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 33 | 23 | 25 | 00 | 114 | |||
02/08/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 30 | 24 | 31 | 00 | 114 | Under | ![]() |
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 26 | 30 | 27 | 00 | 106 | |||
10/24/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 20 | 34 | 26 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Under | ![]() |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 29 | 24 | 32 | 00 | 119 | |||
01/09/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 109 | Over | ![]() |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 33 | 32 | 28 | 00 | 122 | |||
12/16/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 33 | 23 | 20 | 00 | 108 | Over | ![]() |
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 33 | 31 | 29 | 33 | 00 | 126 | |||
10/30/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 31 | 20 | 34 | 25 | 00 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 26 | 29 | 38 | 28 | 00 | 121 | |||
10/26/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 22 | 32 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 99 | Under | ![]() |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 28 | 32 | 24 | 00 | 110 | |||
04/10/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 36 | 33 | 26 | 40 | 110 | 146 | Over | ![]() |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 33 | 36 | 39 | 27 | 60 | 141 | |||
04/03/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 24 | 38 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 129 | Over | ![]() |
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 28 | 33 | 33 | 24 | 00 | 118 | |||
01/15/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 29 | 31 | 19 | 17 | 00 | 96 | Over | ![]() |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 39 | 29 | 31 | 00 | 133 |
Lakers Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Lakers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | vs MEM | 123-120W | 39 | 24 | 19 | 81 |
04/09 | @ GSW | 120-134L | 40 | 31 | 7 | 96 |
04/07 | @ MIN | 117-127L | 41 | 27 | 15 | 84 |
04/06 | @ CLE | 116-97W | 40 | 30 | 17 | 80 |
04/03 | vs WAS | 125-120W | 49 | 21 | 16 | 91 |
04/02 | vs TOR | 128-111W | 47 | 38 | 14 | 101 |
03/31 | vs BRO | 116-104W | 50 | 24 | 19 | 77 |
03/29 | vs IND | 90-109L | 48 | 24 | 16 | 87 |
03/27 | vs MEM | 136-124W | 43 | 31 | 15 | 81 |
03/26 | vs MIL | 128-124W | 69 | 30 | 17 | 108 |
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | vs SAS | 120-121L | 33 | 31 | 7 | 97 |
04/10 | @ MIN | 116-107W | 44 | 31 | 13 | 83 |
04/09 | vs UTA | 111-95W | 43 | 30 | 9 | 94 |
04/06 | @ ATL | 142-110W | 47 | 38 | 15 | 88 |
04/04 | vs LAC | 100-102L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Lakers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
56.2 | 49.6 | 51.7 | 100% | 52.1 | |
26.2 | 31.0 | 26.7 | 100% | 27.0 | |
LeBron James
PF
|
55.4 | 52.2 | 51.4 | 100% | 51.9 |
29.2 | 26.7 | 33.4 | 100% | 33.7 | |
33.0 | 33.1 | 37.6 | 100% | 38.0 |
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24.5 | 21.6 | 20.7 | 100% | 21.0 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
34.1 | 32.7 | 30.5 | 100% | 30.9 |
69.3 | 62.7 | 59.2 | 100% | 59.5 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
46.2 | 41.7 | 40.4 | 100% | 40.8 |
36.2 | 26.3 | 32.4 | 100% | 32.8 |
Lakers Notable Injuries
- Cam Reddish (SG/SF): Avg: 5.4pts, 2.0reb, 0.9ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.8
- Skylar Mays (SG): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.2reb, 2.4ast, 12.0 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.4
- Max Christie (SG): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.1reb, 0.9ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 1.0
- Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 0.9reb, 2.0ast, 20.4 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.5
- Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.4
- Maxwell Lewis (SF/PF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 0.2
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.2reb, 0.9ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.6
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.6reb, 0.1ast, 2.6 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.5
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.1ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Nikola Jokic | DEN | Pts | 27.5 | 30.6 | +3.1 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | LAL | -3.9 | #2 |
LeBron James | LAL | Pts | 24.5 | 27.5 | +3.0 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% | DEN | +7.8 | #27 |
Anthony Davis | LAL | Reb | 12.5 | 13.4 | +0.9 | 60% | 80% | 73% | 73% | DEN | -0.3 | #15 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Reb | 2.5 | 2.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | LAL | 0.0 | #15 |
Lakers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #2 | #4 | #4 | #5 | -14.6% |
PF | #25 | #22 | #21 | #22 | 5.5% |
PG | #22 | #9 | #21 | #24 | 15.2% |
SF | #16 | #20 | #14 | #21 | 9.5% |
SG | #26 | #15 | #26 | #29 | 9.9% |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #25 | #15 | #18 | #22 | 6.6% |
PF | #4 | #13 | #1 | #3 | -9.1% |
PG | #6 | #23 | #14 | #8 | -18.5% |
SF | #27 | #30 | #29 | #30 | 33.9% |
SG | #7 | #7 | #24 | #4 | -6.9% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- LeBron James (SF/PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Jaxson Hayes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.8% to 22.0, 13.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
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