Lakers vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Chase Center tonight as the Los Angeles Lakers roll into town, ready to clash with the Golden State Warriors in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With both teams coming off commanding wins, the Lakers looking to solidify their top spot in the West and the Warriors aiming to climb the ladder, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The betting lines are buzzing and the fans are pumped, with a razor-thin Lakers favoritism setting the stage for what could be the game of the season. As tipoff approaches at 9:30 PM EST, who will reign supreme? Will the Warriors unleash their might, or will the Lakers light up the scoreboard? One thing’s for sure, in this battle of the bays and baskets, expect the court to transform into a canvas of high-flying dunks and sharpshooters, where only the most golden of state warriors or the loftiest of Lakers will etch their supremacy!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 25, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	LAL ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-115	-105	218.5	-1.0/1.0
Recent	-120	+100	219.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-5	+205	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

24W-31L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

31W-28L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/25/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	23	32	29	31	00	115	Over
12/25/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	29	24	37	00	113	Over
04/09/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	38	33	35	28	00	134	Over
04/09/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	29	31	29	31	00	120	Over
03/16/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	37	35	26	00	128	Over
03/16/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	36	30	27	28	00	121	Over
02/22/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	28	28	26	28	00	110	Over
02/22/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	36	31	30	00	128	Over
01/27/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	35	23	27	1215	145	Over
01/27/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	33	36	19	1214	144	Over
03/05/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	18	36	18	33	00	105	Under
03/05/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	22	23	35	00	113	Under
02/23/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	33	24	31	00	111	Over
02/23/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	28	36	29	00	124	Over
02/11/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	21	30	34	24	00	109	Under
02/11/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	31	26	24	00	103	Under
10/18/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	22	30	19	38	00	109	Over
10/18/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	34	32	32	00	123	Over
04/07/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	22	28	00	112	Over
04/07/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	38	26	37	00	128	Over
03/05/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	42	27	22	00	116	Over
03/05/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	27	35	00	124	Over
02/12/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	36	32	21	00	115	Over
02/12/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	33	30	22	00	117	Over
10/19/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	21	30	38	00	121	Over
10/19/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	34	25	26	29	00	114	Over

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	@ BOS	117-96W	53	27	6	89
01/21	@ WAS	111-88W	50	30	10	90
01/19	vs LAC	102-116L	33	26	15	76
01/17	@ BRO	102-101W	34	24	10	82
01/15	@ MIA	117-108W	34	33	6	90
01/13	@ SAS	102-126L	40	24	19	87
01/07	vs DAL	97-118L	33	20	10	75
01/03	@ ATL	119-102W	56	28	18	88
01/02	@ POR	114-106W	43	30	12	94
12/31	@ CLE	110-122L	43	26	8	95

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	@ CHI	131-106W	52	37	10	102
01/22	vs SAC	117-123L	44	31	19	92
01/20	@ BOS	85-125L	38	28	12	92
01/18	@ WAS	122-114W	55	24	9	96
01/15	vs MIN	116-115W	45	26	12	82
01/13	vs TOR	101-104L	46	23	14	88
01/10	vs IND	96-108L	42	25	13	91
01/09	vs DET	107-104W	49	32	15	89
01/07	@ MIA	98-114L	52	28	10	98
01/04	@ MEM	121-113W	29	32	18	84

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Max Christie SG	21.0	18.1	16.6	60%	19.3
Anthony Davis C	57.0	51.8	50.7	100%	51.1
Rui Hachimura SF	22.0	26.8	23.7	100%	24.2
LeBron James PF	53.0	51.8	49.3	100%	49.6
Austin Reaves PG	35.0	38.1	35.4	100%	35.7

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	46.0	40.1	42.4	100%	42.8
Buddy Hield SG	20.0	19.4	18.5	37%	24.7
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	28.0	22.3	23.7	77%	26.4
Gary Payton II SF	15.0	13.2	12.1	20%	15.5
Andrew Wiggins PF	34.0	34.7	29.9	100%	30.3

Lakers Notable Injuries

Trey Jemison (C): Avg: 5.0pts, 4.3reb, 0.8ast, 17.8 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 1.3
Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 4.3pts, 1.3reb, 1.4ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 2.3
Christian Koloko (C): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.4reb, 0.3ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.1
Bronny James (PG): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.2

Warriors Notable Injuries

Draymond Green (PF/C): Avg: 8.4pts, 6.6reb, 5.9ast, 27.2 minutes. Last game: 01/18/25. Impact: 4.2
Kyle Anderson (PF): Avg: 5.8pts, 3.3reb, 3.6ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 2.9
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.9reb, 1.1ast, 5.3 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Trayce Jackson-Davis	GSW	Pts	7.5	11.0	+3.5	20%	50%	60%	60%	LAL	-1.7	#4
Anthony Davis	LAL	Pts	23.5	26.9	+3.4	60%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	+0.5	#21
Moses Moody	GSW	Reb	2.5	3.6	+1.1	60%	40%	27%	27%	LAL	-0.2	#13
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Reb	1.5	2.3	+0.8	40%	60%	67%	67%	LAL	-0.3	#11
Dorian Finney-Smith	LAL	Ast	0.5	1.1	+0.6	20%	40%	60%	60%	GSW	+0.2	#20
LeBron James	LAL	Ast	8.5	8.7	+0.2	60%	30%	33%	33%	GSW	+0.2	#20
Dalton Knecht	LAL	3Pt	0.5	0.9	+0.4	60%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	-0.1	#14

View All Player Prop Projections

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#25	#6	#12	-1.6%
PF	#4	#8	#20	#5	-6.6%
PG	#15	#13	#24	#25	4.0%
SF	#10	#20	#10	#12	-1.3%
SG	#16	#11	#26	#15	-1.3%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#7	#12	#9	-6.9%
PF	#21	#15	#21	#14	0.3%
PG	#3	#10	#12	#5	-5.4%
SF	#16	#8	#20	#16	-0.2%
SG	#27	#13	#25	#27	7.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.3

108.1

Rebounds per Game

42.5

44.9

Assists per Game

25.9

27.8

Steals per Game

7.6

8.3

Blocks per Game

5.5

5.1

Shots per Game

85.8

91.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.2

15.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.0

50.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.0

36.1

Turnovers per Game

12.6

13.0

Fouls per Game

15.9

18.3

Recent Trends

Trayce Jackson-Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.6% to 17.3, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.9% to 14.5, 21.0 min average previous 3 games.
Cam Reddish (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.9% to 10.5, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.
Gui Santos (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 84.8% to 25.6, 13.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
Lindy Waters III (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.7% to 12.8, 22.7 min average previous 3 games.