Lakers vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready for a seismic NBA playoff showdown as the Los Angeles Lakers roll into the Chase Center to clash with the Golden State Warriors in what promises to be a nail-biter! Both teams are neck and neck in the Western conference standings, barely a free throw’s distance apart, and with the postseason intensity heating up, tonight’s game is set to tip off at 9 PM EST. With the over/under tantalizingly set at 224, betting lines drawing a thin line in the sand, and both squads coming off recent victories, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The Lakers and Warriors are looking to shake off the first-round playoff jitters and bring the heat, so expect this battle to go down smoother than a Steph Curry three-pointer—just don’t blink, or you might miss a golden opportunity to see these Lakers set the Bay on fire!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 25, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	LAL ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+165	-195	225.0	4.5/-4.5
Recent	+110	-145	224.0	4.0/-4.0
Difference	-55	+50	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

23W-29L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

26W-24L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/09/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	38	33	35	28	00	134	Over
04/09/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	29	31	29	31	00	120	Over
03/16/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	37	35	26	00	128	Over
03/16/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	36	30	27	28	00	121	Over
02/22/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	28	28	26	28	00	110	Over
02/22/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	36	31	30	00	128	Over
01/27/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	35	23	27	1215	145	Over
01/27/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	33	36	19	1214	144	Over
03/05/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	18	36	18	33	00	105	Under
03/05/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	22	23	35	00	113	Under
02/23/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	33	24	31	00	111	Over
02/23/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	28	36	29	00	124	Over
02/11/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	21	30	34	24	00	109	Under
02/11/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	31	26	24	00	103	Under
10/18/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	22	30	19	38	00	109	Over
10/18/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	34	32	32	00	123	Over
04/07/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	22	28	00	112	Over
04/07/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	38	26	37	00	128	Over
03/05/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	42	27	22	00	116	Over
03/05/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	30	27	35	00	124	Over
02/12/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	36	32	21	00	115	Over
02/12/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	33	30	22	00	117	Over
10/19/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	32	21	30	38	00	121	Over
10/19/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	34	25	26	29	00	114	Over

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	vs SAC	103-99W	48	23	13	83
12/19	vs SAC	113-100W	53	22	10	94
12/15	@ MEM	116-110W	44	23	21	82
12/13	vs MIN	87-97L	53	17	21	86
12/08	@ POR	107-98W	40	25	11	83
12/06	vs ATL	132-134L	40	33	13	99
12/04	vs MIA	93-134L	36	29	13	88
12/02	vs MIN	80-109L	39	19	20	79
12/01	vs UTA	105-104W	42	23	5	88
11/29	@ OKL	93-101L	47	25	17	73

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	vs MIN	113-103W	45	30	10	87
12/19	vs MEM	93-144L	36	20	17	90
12/15	@ DAL	133-143L	37	39	10	103
12/11	vs HOU	90-91L	39	22	15	84
12/08	@ MIN	114-106W	45	28	11	90
12/06	@ MIN	90-107L	41	21	22	82
12/05	@ HOU	99-93W	54	19	10	86
12/03	vs DEN	115-119L	48	36	14	95
11/30	vs PHX	105-113L	43	28	9	92
11/25	@ BRO	120-128L	43	32	12	93

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Max Christie SG	17.0	16.6	12.2	20%	16.0
Anthony Davis C	56.0	55.3	53.2	100%	53.5
Rui Hachimura PF	27.0	27.2	24.0	100%	24.3
LeBron James SF	50.0	53.2	49.2	100%	49.5
Austin Reaves PG	33.0	33.0	31.1	100%	31.5

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	46.0	40.8	42.7	100%	43.1
Draymond Green PF	26.0	23.6	27.2	93%	27.0
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	24.0	18.8	20.7	80%	22.6
Dennis Schroder SG	29.0	25.9	32.5	100%	32.9
Andrew Wiggins SF	30.0	29.8	29.7	100%	30.1

Lakers Notable Injuries

Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.3reb, 1.2ast, 19.0 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 2.4

Warriors Notable Injuries

Gui Santos (SG): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.5
Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.9ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Rui Hachimura	LAL	Pts	11.5	14.9	+3.4	20%	40%	33%	33%	GSW	+1.6	#25
D’Angelo Russell	LAL	Pts	9.5	12.0	+2.5	60%	70%	53%	53%	GSW	+1.2	#23
Max Christie	LAL	Reb	2.5	3.4	+0.9	80%	60%	47%	47%	GSW	+1.3	#30
Austin Reaves	LAL	Reb	3.5	4.2	+0.7	80%	40%	33%	33%	GSW	+1.3	#30
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Ast	4.5	5.9	+1.4	60%	80%	73%	73%	LAL	+1.0	#28
Buddy Hield	GSW	Ast	0.5	1.7	+1.2	60%	60%	60%	60%	LAL	+1.0	#28
Brandin Podziemski	GSW	3Pt	0.5	1.1	+0.6	100%	90%	73%	73%	LAL	-0.3	#9
LeBron James	LAL	3Pt	1.5	2.0	+0.5	40%	30%	40%	40%	GSW	+0.4	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#24	#29	#20	#24	6.0%
PF	#26	#5	#13	#18	1.2%
PG	#10	#7	#21	#13	-0.4%
SF	#14	#27	#29	#20	2.6%
SG	#15	#16	#28	#17	0.7%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#19	#26	#19	1.7%
PF	#15	#8	#19	#9	-3.6%
PG	#3	#10	#3	#1	-14.8%
SF	#25	#30	#14	#27	7.8%
SG	#23	#30	#29	#28	10.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.6

Rebounds per Game

41.6

45.4

Assists per Game

25.5

28.6

Steals per Game

8.0

9.2

Blocks per Game

5.2

Shots per Game

86.2

91.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

11.7

15.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.7

51.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.3

37.0

Turnovers per Game

13.4

13.8

Fouls per Game

16.8

19.9

Recent Trends

Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.9% to 12.3, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
Cam Reddish (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.4% to 15.8, 23.3 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
Gabe Vincent (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.6% to 17.4, 28.0 min average previous 3 games.