Lakers vs Rockets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Toyota Center tonight as the Los Angeles Lakers, fresh off a dominant win, roll into Houston to challenge the Rockets, who are eager to rebound from a recent stumble. With both teams neck-and-neck in the Western Conference standings and the playoff atmosphere electrifying the air, this clash promises to be more than your average basketball game. The stakes are sky-high and so is the over/under, hinting at a battle that could light up the scoreboard. Tipoff is at 8 PM EST, so mark your calendars and set your lineups; this isn’t just any game—it’s a high-octane duel in Space City, where stars are set to collide and only one team can rocket to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 05, 2025 08:00PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	LAL ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-165	218.5	4.5/-4.5
Recent	+140	-165	218.0	4.5/-4.5
Difference	0	0	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-29L

41.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

37W-19L

58.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/29/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	29	24	35	00	119	Over
01/29/24	Houston Rockets HOU	42	36	30	27	00	135	Over
12/02/23	Houston Rockets HOU	30	14	28	25	00	97	Under
12/02/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	25	35	26	21	00	107	Under
11/19/23	Houston Rockets HOU	28	27	20	29	00	104	Under
11/19/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	20	29	32	24	00	105	Under
11/08/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	19	26	26	23	00	94	Over
11/08/23	Houston Rockets HOU	32	34	33	29	00	128	Over
04/02/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	35	35	31	33	00	134	Over
04/02/23	Houston Rockets HOU	21	39	23	26	00	109	Over
03/15/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	19	29	26	36	00	110	Over
03/15/23	Houston Rockets HOU	31	31	21	31	00	114	Over
01/16/23	Houston Rockets HOU	35	26	37	34	00	132	Over
01/16/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	37	36	29	38	00	140	Over
03/09/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	38	25	35	22	100	130	Over
03/09/22	Houston Rockets HOU	32	36	29	23	190	139	Over
12/28/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	34	33	30	35	00	132	Over
12/28/21	Houston Rockets HOU	35	24	33	31	00	123	Over
11/02/21	Houston Rockets HOU	35	35	19	28	00	117	Over
11/02/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	32	23	32	00	119	Over
10/31/21	Houston Rockets HOU	15	20	19	31	00	85	Under
10/31/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	27	27	21	20	00	95	Under

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/03	@ ATL	119-102W	56	28	18	88
01/02	@ POR	114-106W	43	30	12	94
12/31	@ CLE	110-122L	43	26	8	95
12/28	@ SAC	132-122W	33	33	11	77
12/25	vs GSW	115-113W	41	30	9	91
12/21	vs SAC	103-99W	48	23	13	83
12/19	vs SAC	113-100W	53	22	10	94
12/15	@ MEM	116-110W	44	23	21	82
12/13	vs MIN	87-97L	53	17	21	86
12/08	@ POR	107-98W	40	25	11	83

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/03	@ BOS	86-109L	37	9	11	88
01/01	@ DAL	110-99W	35	16	12	89
12/29	@ MIA	100-104L	52	24	12	97
12/27	@ MIN	112-113L	48	19	14	92
12/26	vs NOP	128-111W	54	19	15	97
12/22	vs TOR	114-110W	53	18	21	89
12/19	@ NOP	133-113W	42	34	11	87
12/14	vs OKL	96-111L	49	17	16	96
12/11	@ GSW	91-90W	36	23	16	83
12/08	vs LAC	117-106W	50	23	15	82

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Max Christie SG	19.0	25.1	15.0	37%	20.2
Anthony Davis C	55.0	45.8	51.6	100%	52.0
Rui Hachimura SF	22.0	23.6	23.3	100%	23.7
LeBron James PF	49.0	51.0	48.5	100%	48.8
Austin Reaves PG	39.0	51.1	35.4	100%	35.8

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks SF	25.0	32.4	23.9	100%	24.2
Jalen Green SG	36.0	32.4	31.5	100%	31.9
Jeff Green PF	11.0	6.9	11.2	7%	16.4
Alperen Sengun C	51.0	42.8	42.6	100%	42.9
Fred VanVleet PG	39.0	34.5	35.8	100%	36.1

Lakers Notable Injuries

Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.3reb, 1.2ast, 19.0 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 2.2
Christian Koloko (C): Avg: 2.0pts, 2.6reb, 0.4ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 1.3
Bronny James (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.1reb, 0.4ast, 2.5 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 0.2

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 12.9pts, 7.6reb, 1.4ast, 31.5 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 4.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Alperen Sengun	HOU	Pts	20.5	23.4	+2.9	40%	40%	47%	47%	LAL	+0.1	#16
Austin Reaves	LAL	Pts	17.5	19.2	+1.7	80%	70%	53%	53%	HOU	-0.6	#13
Max Christie	LAL	Reb	2.5	3.6	+1.1	60%	70%	60%	60%	HOU	-0.1	#13
Jalen Green	HOU	Reb	4.5	5.2	+0.7	20%	30%	27%	27%	LAL	+0.1	#21
Fred VanVleet	HOU	Ast	6.5	7.6	+1.1	40%	50%	47%	47%	LAL	+1.1	#28
LeBron James	LAL	Ast	7.5	8.0	+0.5	60%	60%	53%	53%	HOU	-1.1	#1

View All Player Prop Projections

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#22	#9	#14	-1.3%
PF	#20	#12	#15	#15	-1.1%
PG	#27	#6	#28	#25	5.2%
SF	#14	#29	#21	#14	-0.6%
SG	#11	#21	#25	#15	-1.6%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#18	#2	#4	-9.6%
PF	#6	#1	#9	#3	-10.9%
PG	#18	#28	#1	#17	1.8%
SF	#1	#28	#1	#2	-12.8%
SG	#13	#13	#6	#10	-4.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.7

111.7

Rebounds per Game

41.7

48.8

Assists per Game

26.1

21.9

Steals per Game

7.8

9.0

Blocks per Game

5.2

5.4

Shots per Game

86.5

93.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.1

11.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.0

52.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.7

32.7

Turnovers per Game

12.8

13.2

Fouls per Game

16.7

19.6

Recent Trends

Anthony Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.9% to 37.8, 26.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jaxson Hayes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.6% to 15.1, 23.9 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Holiday (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 48.8% to 14.9, 10.0 min average previous 3 games.
Shake Milton (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 51.8% to 13.3, 27.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jae’Sean Tate (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.8% to 16.3, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.
Amen Thompson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.1% to 33.8, 25.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
Cam Whitmore (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.5% to 23.1, 17.7 min average previous 3 games.