Lakers vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 27th 2024
Lakers
40W-32L
March 27, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 223.5 o/u
Grizzlies
24W-48L
Alright, hoop heads, brace yourselves for a wild night of NBA action as the Lakers, who’ve been heating up the hardwood with a 40W-32L record, are set to invade the Grizzlies’ den at FedEx Forum. The Grizzlies, with their 24W-48L record, may be on the backfoot in the Western Conference, but don’t underestimate the power of a cornered beast! The clock hits 08:00PM EST and it’s game on. The betting lines are buzzing with the Lakers at -5.0 and the Grizzlies clawing back at 5.0, with the over/under set to a tantalizing 223.5. The Grizzlies are still licking their wounds after a 103-128 mauling from DEN, while the Lakers are soaring high following a 128-124 victory over MIL. So, whether you’re a Laker loyalist or a Grizzly groupie, buckle up for a night where the Lakers aim to ‘bear’ down on the Grizzlies, and Memphis tries to ‘grill’ LA in their own backyard.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 27, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis
Vegas Odds
LAL ML | MEM ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -200 | +170 | 217.5 | -5.0/5.0 |
Recent | -180 | +155 | 223.5 | -4.5/4.5 |
Difference | +20 | -15 | +6.0 | – |
Team Performance
64.3% Win Probability
35.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/05/24 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 29 | 29 | 36 | 33 | 127 | Over | ||
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 38 | 21 | 35 | 19 | 113 | ||||
11/14/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 26 | 25 | 35 | 21 | 107 | Over | ||
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 37 | 37 | 33 | 27 | 134 | ||||
03/07/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 21 | 36 | 23 | 23 | 103 | Under | ||
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 33 | 26 | 30 | 112 | ||||
02/28/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 22 | 27 | 35 | 25 | 109 | Over | ||
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 26 | 20 | 47 | 28 | 121 | ||||
01/20/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 23 | 30 | 36 | 32 | 121 | Over | ||
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 26 | 23 | 32 | 41 | 122 | ||||
01/09/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 27 | 38 | 42 | 20 | 127 | Over | ||
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 27 | 25 | 31 | 36 | 119 | ||||
12/29/21 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 30 | 24 | 29 | 16 | 99 | Under | ||
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 23 | 25 | 30 | 26 | 104 | ||||
12/09/21 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 29 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 95 | Under | ||
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 25 | 34 | 26 | 23 | 108 | ||||
10/24/21 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 24 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 118 | Over | ||
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 29 | 33 | 25 | 34 | 121 |
Lakers Vs Over/Under
Grizzlies Vs Over/Under
Lakers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/26 | vs MIL | 128-124W | 69 | 30 | 17 | 108 |
03/24 | @ IND | 150-145W | 41 | 28 | 10 | 89 |
03/22 | @ PHI | 101-96W | 54 | 22 | 21 | 74 |
03/18 | @ ATL | 136-105W | 48 | 39 | 8 | 90 |
03/16 | @ GSW | 121-128L | 39 | 32 | 9 | 92 |
03/13 | vs SAC | 107-120L | 38 | 25 | 14 | 79 |
03/10 | @ MIN | 120-109W | 56 | 29 | 19 | 83 |
03/08 | @ MIL | 123-124L | 38 | 27 | 5 | 90 |
03/06 | @ SAC | 120-130L | 34 | 25 | 14 | 82 |
03/04 | @ OKL | 116-104W | 55 | 29 | 20 | 80 |
Grizzlies Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/25 | vs DEN | 103-128L | 40 | 25 | 14 | 94 |
03/22 | vs SAS | 99-99L | 51 | 18 | 17 | 82 |
03/20 | vs GSW | 116-137L | 45 | 29 | 10 | 96 |
03/18 | vs SAC | 111-121L | 49 | 22 | 12 | 98 |
03/16 | @ OKL | 112-118L | 36 | 34 | 14 | 82 |
03/13 | @ CHA | 98-110L | 46 | 24 | 21 | 85 |
03/12 | @ WAS | 109-86W | 53 | 27 | 17 | 89 |
03/10 | vs OKL | 93-124L | 39 | 21 | 16 | 79 |
03/08 | @ ATL | 92-99L | 38 | 21 | 13 | 74 |
03/06 | vs PHI | 115-109W | 54 | 21 | 15 | 92 |
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Lakers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
54.1 | 55.6 | 52.4 | 100% | 52.8 | |
23.4 | 24.9 | 22.8 | 80% | 23.7 | |
LeBron James
PF
|
45.0 | 50.9 | 49.5 | 100% | 49.9 |
32.4 | 38.2 | 34.4 | 100% | 34.7 | |
36.0 | 42.1 | 39.1 | 100% | 39.5 |
Memphis Grizzlies | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Santi Aldama
PF
|
30.1 | 38.3 | 27.2 | 87% | 27.4 |
Desmond Bane
SG
|
37.7 | 29.1 | 37.9 | 100% | 36.9 |
41.2 | 40.6 | 40.7 | 93% | 41.4 | |
29.2 | 28.7 | 19.1 | 31% | 28.1 |
Lakers Notable Injuries
- Skylar Mays (PG/SG): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.3reb, 2.6ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 0.6
- Harry Giles III (C): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.4reb, 0.3ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 0.5
- Maxwell Lewis (SF/PF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/18/24. Impact: 0.1
Grizzlies Notable Injuries
- Luke Kennard (SG): Avg: 11.1pts, 2.8reb, 3.3ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.9
- John Konchar (SG/SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 4.5reb, 2.0ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 3.7
- Wenyen Gabriel (C): Avg: 3.4pts, 5.0reb, 0.6ast, 16.2 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 1.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jaren Jackson Jr. | MEM | Pts | 20.5 | 23.5 | +3.0 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | LAL | -0.4 | #10 |
Anthony Davis | LAL | Pts | 22.5 | 25.2 | +2.7 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | MEM | +1.1 | #23 |
Lakers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #6 | #30 | #18 | 1.1% |
PF | #26 | #27 | #20 | #26 | 8.0% |
PG | #11 | #19 | #25 | #23 | 6.3% |
SF | #22 | #19 | #25 | #22 | 8.2% |
SG | #23 | #13 | #17 | #22 | 3.5% |
Grizzlies Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #19 | #27 | #26 | 7.1% |
PF | #14 | #20 | #14 | #20 | 3.4% |
PG | #3 | #16 | #27 | #15 | -1.7% |
SF | #12 | #7 | #27 | #15 | -1.9% |
SG | #26 | #24 | #23 | #26 | 7.8% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Anthony Davis (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Austin Reaves (PG/SG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 29.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 10.0 ast against MIL
- Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 12.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Anthony Davis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 56.1% to 43.9, 28.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Spencer Dinwiddie (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 68.5% to 33.8, 20.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Jaxson Hayes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.7% to 11.1, 17.2 min average previous 3 games.
- DeJon Jarreau (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.8% to 17.4, 12.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Lamar Stevens (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.4% to 27.3, 18.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak. The Grizzlies have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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