Lakers vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 26th 2024

Alright, hoop heads, buckle up! Tonight, we’ve got a clash of conference titans as the Lakers, who’ve been clawing their way up the Western conference like a starlet on the Hollywood Walk of Fame, are jetting over to the Fiserv Forum to duke it out with the Bucks, who’ve been prancing through the Eastern conference like they own the joint. With the Lakers sitting pretty at 39 wins and 32 losses and the Bucks boasting a 46-win, 25-loss record, this ain’t your grandma’s bingo night. The action kicks off at 7:30 PM EST, so you’ve got plenty of time to get your bets in. Speaking of bets, the over/under’s at a spicy 231.0, with the Lakers at 8.5 and the Bucks at -8.5. Both teams are riding high off recent victories, with the Bucks having trampled OKL 118-93 and the Lakers outshining IND in a 150-145 shootout. So, folks, if you’re looking for a game that promises more thrills than a Hollywood blockbuster and more bucks than a lottery win, you’re in the right place!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 26, 2024 07:30PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	LAL ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+275	-350	233.5	8.5/-8.5
Recent	+225	-275	231.0	9.0/-9.0
Difference	-50	+75	-2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

11W-20L

30.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

29W-7L

69.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/08/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	33	27	32	122	Over
03/08/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	27	40	29	27	123	Over
02/09/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	24	38	27	115	Under
02/09/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	27	23	25	106	Under
12/02/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	33	33	35	32	133	Over
12/02/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	27	39	32	129	Over
02/08/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	38	40	31	22	131	Over
02/08/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	24	32	29	31	116	Over
11/17/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	21	30	19	102	Under
11/17/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	34	21	24	109	Under

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/24	@ IND	150-145W	41	28	10	89
03/22	@ PHI	101-96W	54	22	21	74
03/18	@ ATL	136-105W	48	39	8	90
03/16	@ GSW	121-128L	39	32	9	92
03/13	vs SAC	107-120L	38	25	14	79
03/10	@ MIN	120-109W	56	29	19	83
03/08	@ MIL	123-124L	38	27	5	90
03/06	@ SAC	120-130L	34	25	14	82
03/04	@ OKL	116-104W	55	29	20	80
03/02	@ DEN	114-126L	31	33	7	89

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/24	@ OKL	118-93W	57	33	16	92
03/21	@ BRO	115-108W	40	27	10	91
03/20	vs BOS	119-122L	41	20	14	84
03/17	@ PHX	140-129W	35	35	10	94
03/14	@ PHI	114-105W	37	29	14	72
03/12	vs SAC	94-129L	44	23	13	84
03/10	vs LAC	124-117W	41	28	7	88
03/08	vs LAL	122-123L	43	28	6	94
03/06	vs GSW	90-125L	36	19	15	89
03/04	@ LAC	113-106W	46	20	11	78

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Anthony Davis C	57.7	48.7	51.7	100%	52.1
Spencer Dinwiddie SG	17.1	16.5	16.6	50%	22.6
Rui Hachimura PF	23.0	23.1	22.2	77%	23.2
Austin Reaves SF	38.3	34.1	33.1	100%	33.4
D’Angelo Russell PG	42.0	34.9	39.1	100%	39.5

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	60.3	54.1	56.1	93%	56.6
Malik Beasley SG	20.6	19.6	19.9	100%	20.0
Damian Lillard PG	49.3	47.2	42.6	93%	43.2
Brook Lopez C	26.5	28.2	27.3	93%	27.2
Khris Middleton SF	33.4	32.4	33.1	100%	32.2

Lakers Notable Injuries

LeBron James (SF/PF): Avg: 25.1pts, 7.1reb, 8.1ast, 35.1 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 8.6

Bucks Notable Injuries

Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.7
AJ Green (PG/SG): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.2reb, 0.6ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 1.7
Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.8
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Damian Lillard	MIL	Pts	23.5	27.1	+3.6	60%	60%	47%	47%	LAL	+1.8	#24
D’Angelo Russell	LAL	Pts	19.5	21.3	+1.8	40%	50%	47%	47%	MIL	+3.0	#28
Anthony Davis	LAL	Reb	12.5	13.6	+1.1	60%	50%	60%	60%	MIL	-2.4	#2
Austin Reaves	LAL	Reb	4.5	4.9	+0.4	80%	70%	67%	67%	MIL	+1.0	#28
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Ast	5.5	6.5	+1.0	40%	50%	53%	53%	LAL	+1.6	#29
Malik Beasley	MIL	Ast	0.5	1.3	+0.8	40%	70%	67%	67%	LAL	+0.2	#14
Khris Middleton	MIL	3Pt	1.5	1.8	+0.3	40%	60%	60%	60%	LAL	+1.2	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#14	#30	#22	5.1%
PF	#28	#15	#11	#22	4.6%
PG	#12	#22	#26	#22	6.4%
SF	#23	#22	#29	#26	13.7%
SG	#24	#11	#14	#22	4.4%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#2	#19	#2	-19.8%
PF	#6	#11	#27	#13	-1.1%
PG	#11	#7	#5	#8	-9.6%
SF	#16	#14	#2	#13	-5.2%
SG	#28	#28	#26	#29	9.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

120.8

115.4

Rebounds per Game

42.5

43.6

Assists per Game

28.8

26.1

Steals per Game

5.5

6.3

Blocks per Game

5.1

4.2

Shots per Game

86.7

86.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.2

15.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.9

55.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

42.2

39.4

Turnovers per Game

12.5

11.2

Fouls per Game

13.7

17.0

Recent Trends

Khris Middleton (SF) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 11.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 10.0 ast against OKL
Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.2% to 19.0, 27.2 min average previous 3 games.
Spencer Dinwiddie (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.3% to 26.8, 18.6 min average previous 3 games.
AJ Green (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.6% to 12.5, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jaxson Hayes (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 11.0, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Cam Reddish (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 60.1% to 19.2, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.