Lakers vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Target Center tonight as the NBA playoffs heat up with a sizzling face-off between the Los Angeles Lakers and the Minnesota Timberwolves! With the first round mostly showcasing one-sided affairs, tonight’s matchup promises a nail-biter as both teams come off razor-thin victories. The Lakers are barely trailing in the Western conference standings, while the Timberwolves are howling close behind, making this game a crucial pivot point for both squads. With the stakes sky-high and the scoreboard odds buzzing, fans are in for a basketball bonanza starting at 9 PM EST. So, let’s see if the Lakers can ‘light up’ the court or if the Timberwolves will ‘timber’ their hopes in what’s shaping up to be a hardwood classic!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 02, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	LAL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+215	-260	222.5	6.5/-6.5
Recent	+235	-285	221.0	7.5/-7.5
Difference	+20	-25	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

21W-25L

29.9% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

34W-13L

70.1% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
10/22/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	19	32	29	103	Under
10/22/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	22	33	27	28	110	Under
04/07/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	46	23	25	127	Over
04/07/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	37	27	28	25	117	Over
03/10/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	40	24	17	109	Over
03/10/24	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	37	22	29	120	Over
12/30/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	26	20	29	106	Under
12/30/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	32	21	26	108	Under
12/21/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	32	27	24	28	111	Over
12/21/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	36	27	24	31	118	Over
03/31/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	27	28	35	33	123	Over
03/31/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	36	18	28	111	Over
03/03/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	23	27	27	110	Under
03/03/23	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	34	21	21	26	102	Under
10/28/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	25	27	23	27	102	Under
10/28/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	24	26	33	111	Under
03/16/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	17	29	31	27	104	Over
03/16/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	36	19	38	124	Over
01/02/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	30	26	23	103	Under
01/02/22	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	31	26	21	30	108	Under
12/17/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	16	29	20	27	92	Under
12/17/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	31	31	25	110	Under
11/12/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	19	25	40	23	107	Under
11/12/21	Los Angeles Lakers LAL	26	23	12	22	83	Under

Lakers Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Lakers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/01	vs UTA	105-104W	42	23	5	88
11/29	@ OKL	93-101L	47	25	17	73
11/26	vs PHX	100-127L	42	25	12	85
11/23	@ DEN	102-127L	32	27	15	88
11/21	@ ORL	118-119L	36	21	10	87
11/19	@ UTA	124-118W	34	30	14	76
11/16	vs NOP	104-99W	43	24	11	89
11/15	vs SAS	120-115W	41	27	10	88
11/13	@ MEM	128-123W	42	31	18	85
11/10	@ TOR	123-103W	33	30	5	86

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/29	@ LAC	93-92W	49	25	21	75
11/26	@ HOU	111-117L	52	21	17	98
11/24	vs BOS	105-107L	49	19	8	88
11/21	vs TOR	105-110L	40	16	17	80
11/17	@ PHX	120-117W	32	27	14	80
11/15	vs SAC	130-126W	41	26	11	101
11/13	vs POR	98-106L	41	16	13	94
11/12	vs POR	108-122L	32	22	21	73
11/10	@ MIA	94-95L	47	22	19	88
11/08	@ POR	127-102W	49	32	17	97

Starting Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Anthony Davis C	57.0	52.4	53.7	100%	54.0
Rui Hachimura SF	23.0	24.3	25.2	100%	25.5
LeBron James PF	47.0	44.5	49.6	100%	49.9
Austin Reaves PG	26.0	24.4	30.6	100%	31.0
Cam Reddish SG	5.0	10.4	8.7	40%	11.2

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	29.0	25.1	26.3	100%	26.7
Anthony Edwards SG	46.0	43.9	47.0	100%	47.4
Rudy Gobert C	35.0	32.4	30.9	100%	31.2
Jaden McDaniels SF	22.0	26.2	23.3	100%	23.6
Julius Randle PF	39.0	38.1	40.2	100%	39.5

Lakers Notable Injuries

Jaxson Hayes (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 3.2reb, 0.5ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 11/26/24. Impact: 2.4
Gabe Vincent OUT (PG/SG): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.2reb, 1.1ast, 18.1 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 1.3
Jalen Hood-Schifino (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.6reb, 0.4ast, 5.4 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 0.4
Armel Traore (PF): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.3reb, 0.0ast, 6.6 minutes. Last game: 12/01/24. Impact: 0.5
Maxwell Lewis (PF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 11/23/24. Impact: 0.1

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.4 minutes. Last game: 11/17/24. Impact: 0.6
Josh Minott (SF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 3.2 minutes. Last game: 11/24/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Naz Reid	MIN	Pts	10.5	13.0	+2.5	40%	70%	67%	67%	LAL	+1.9	#28
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	10.5	12.7	+2.2	40%	40%	47%	47%	LAL	+0.2	#15
Julius Randle	MIN	Reb	6.5	7.7	+1.2	40%	30%	40%	40%	LAL	-0.1	#15
Anthony Davis	LAL	Reb	12.5	13.4	+0.9	20%	40%	40%	40%	MIN	-1.1	#2
Mike Conley	MIN	Ast	5.5	6.1	+0.6	40%	50%	40%	40%	LAL	+0.3	#19
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.1	+0.6	40%	40%	33%	33%	LAL	+0.3	#23
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	MIN	3Pt	1.5	1.6	+0.1	20%	40%	47%	47%	LAL	+0.2	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Lakers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#27	#30	#24	5.3%
PF	#28	#15	#20	#24	3.6%
PG	#6	#4	#19	#10	-3.1%
SF	#13	#28	#27	#23	4.5%
SG	#19	#7	#23	#22	1.5%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#24	#12	#25	#20	4.4%
PF	#1	#2	#3	#2	-15.1%
PG	#16	#29	#5	#18	1.2%
SF	#9	#1	#3	#7	-5.3%
SG	#6	#6	#7	#2	-8.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

117.5

111.9

Rebounds per Game

43.1

42.3

Assists per Game

27.4

26.1

Steals per Game

6.7

8.7

Blocks per Game

5.0

5.3

Shots per Game

86.5

86.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.6

14.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.7

54.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.0

37.7

Turnovers per Game

13.1

13.2

Fouls per Game

15.4

18.7

Recent Trends

Mike Conley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 49.9% to 33.3, 22.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.