Lakers vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 13th 2024

Lakers
36W-30L

March 13, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 238.0 o/u
Kings
37W-27L


Hey there, hoop-heads! It’s a royal rumble tonight as the 37-win Sacramento Kings are rolling out the red carpet at the Golden 1 Center, welcoming the 36-win Los Angeles Lakers. The clock strikes 10 PM EST and it’s game time, baby! In the wild west of the NBA, the Kings are just 4 games shy of the conference lead, while the Lakers are hot on their heels, trailing by a mere 6. The betting Gods have spoken, setting the over/under at a whopping 238, with the Lakers just edging out as slight favorites. Both teams are riding high on the wave of victory, with the Kings recently trouncing the Bucks and the Lakers taming the Timberwolves. So, whether you’re a King or a Laker, get ready to dunk into the night because when royalty clashes with Hollywood, you better believe it’s gonna be a slam-dunk showdown!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 13, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Vegas Odds
LAL ML | SAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -115 | -105 | 239.0 | -1.0/1.0 |
Recent | -125 | -105 | 238.0 | -2.0/2.0 |
Difference | -10 | 0 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance

55.6% Win Probability

44.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/06/24 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 28 | 44 | 32 | 26 | 130 | Over | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 37 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 120 | ||||
11/15/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 38 | 34 | 32 | 21 | 125 | Under | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 25 | 34 | 21 | 30 | 110 | ||||
10/29/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 28 | 27 | 28 | 32 | 12 | 127 | Over | ![]() |
Sacramento Kings SAC | 41 | 25 | 21 | 28 | 17 | 132 | |||
01/18/23 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 28 | 33 | 29 | 26 | 116 | Under | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 39 | 21 | 22 | 29 | 111 | ||||
01/07/23 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 37 | 36 | 36 | 27 | 136 | Over | ||
Sacramento Kings SAC | 38 | 35 | 36 | 25 | 134 | ||||
12/21/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 26 | 32 | 28 | 34 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 25 | 41 | 40 | 28 | 134 | ||||
11/11/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 23 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 120 | Under | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 23 | 37 | 28 | 26 | 114 | ||||
01/12/22 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 34 | 33 | 23 | 26 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 29 | 32 | 40 | 24 | 125 | ||||
01/04/22 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 31 | 28 | 24 | 31 | 114 | Under | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 26 | 31 | 28 | 37 | 122 | ||||
11/30/21 | Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 20 | 30 | 37 | 30 | 117 | Under | ![]() |
|
Sacramento Kings SAC | 28 | 31 | 15 | 18 | 92 | ||||
11/26/21 | Sacramento Kings SAC | 20 | 23 | 30 | 27 | 1212 | 141 | Over | ![]() |
Los Angeles Lakers LAL | 20 | 23 | 35 | 22 | 1212 | 137 |
Lakers Vs Over/Under
Kings Vs Over/Under
Lakers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10 | @ MIN | 120-109W | 56 | 29 | 19 | 83 |
03/08 | @ MIL | 123-124L | 38 | 27 | 5 | 90 |
03/06 | @ SAC | 120-130L | 34 | 25 | 14 | 82 |
03/04 | @ OKL | 116-104W | 55 | 29 | 20 | 80 |
03/02 | @ DEN | 114-126L | 31 | 33 | 7 | 89 |
02/29 | @ WAS | 134-131W | 45 | 30 | 11 | 102 |
02/28 | vs LAC | 116-112W | 39 | 28 | 15 | 87 |
02/25 | vs PHX | 113-123L | 34 | 28 | 10 | 90 |
02/23 | @ SAS | 123-118W | 46 | 28 | 12 | 95 |
02/22 | vs GSW | 110-128L | 41 | 28 | 11 | 88 |
Kings Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/12 | @ MIL | 129-94W | 51 | 34 | 8 | 93 |
03/10 | @ HOU | 104-112L | 44 | 24 | 12 | 89 |
03/07 | @ SAS | 131-129W | 46 | 31 | 13 | 103 |
03/06 | vs LAL | 130-122W | 46 | 32 | 13 | 97 |
03/04 | @ CHI | 109-113L | 51 | 29 | 17 | 94 |
03/01 | vs MIN | 124-120W | 45 | 29 | 7 | 100 |
02/28 | vs DEN | 96-119L | 43 | 28 | 14 | 96 |
02/26 | @ MIA | 110-121L | 41 | 30 | 15 | 85 |
02/25 | vs LAC | 123-107W | 41 | 29 | 10 | 91 |
02/22 | @ SAS | 127-122W | 42 | 29 | 10 | 94 |
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Lakers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
56.0 | 52.2 | 51.9 | 100% | 52.3 | |
24.1 | 24.9 | 21.2 | 67% | 22.6 | |
LeBron James
PF
|
52.9 | 51.5 | 48.0 | 100% | 48.4 |
35.8 | 35.5 | 31.4 | 100% | 31.8 | |
37.2 | 37.8 | 37.2 | 87% | 39.9 |
Sacramento Kings | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.0 | 17.1 | 19.6 | 93% | 19.8 | |
De’Aaron Fox
PG
|
48.7 | 47.4 | 41.7 | 93% | 42.1 |
20.6 | 17.2 | 22.3 | 87% | 21.7 | |
25.3 | 23.1 | 26.4 | 93% | 27.9 | |
60.3 | 58.5 | 53.7 | 93% | 53.5 |
Lakers Notable Injuries
- Cam Reddish (SG/SF): Avg: 6.3pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 22.0 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 1.5
- Skylar Mays (PG): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.4reb, 2.7ast, 13.7 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.8
- Harry Giles III (C): Avg: 3.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.3ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.7
- Jalen Hood-Schifino (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.4ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.3
- Maxwell Lewis (SF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.1reb, 0.1ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.1
Kings Notable Injuries
- JaVale McGee (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.8reb, 0.4ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.2
- Chris Duarte (SG/SF): Avg: 4.0pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.9
- Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 2.0reb, 2.0ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 1.6
- Colby Jones (SG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.5reb, 0.6ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.9
- Kessler Edwards (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Jalen Slawson (PF): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Domantas Sabonis | SAC | Pts | 19.5 | 22.9 | +3.4 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% | LAL | +2.5 | #24 |
D’Angelo Russell | LAL | Pts | 16.5 | 19.0 | +2.5 | 60% | 80% | 73% | 73% | SAC | -1.4 | #9 |
Harrison Barnes | SAC | Reb | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% | LAL | +1.0 | #23 |
Lakers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #24 | #17 | #27 | #24 | 7.3% |
PF | #23 | #23 | #19 | #23 | 4.8% |
PG | #19 | #22 | #20 | #26 | 8.4% |
SF | #17 | #23 | #29 | #25 | 8.4% |
SG | #24 | #8 | #15 | #17 | 1.5% |
Kings Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #8 | #5 | #19 | #10 | -6.4% |
PF | #29 | #19 | #25 | #27 | 10.8% |
PG | #20 | #2 | #29 | #11 | -1.7% |
SF | #24 | #8 | #9 | #13 | -0.1% |
SG | #9 | #1 | #22 | #5 | -8.7% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Keon Ellis (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.9% to 20.7, 13.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Trey Lyles (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 15.3, 23.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Jarred Vanderbilt (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.1% to 16.4, 31.0 min average previous 3 games.
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