Grizzlies vs Nuggets Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 25th 2024

Grizzlies
24W-47L

March 25, 2024
09:00PM EST
Odds: 213.0 o/u
Nuggets
50W-21L


Well, hoop heads, it’s time to hunker down for a late-night tango in the Mile High City! Our beloved Memphis Grizzlies, who have been scrapping and clawing their way through the season, are rolling into Denver’s Ball Arena to square off against the mighty Nuggets, who’ve been blazing a golden trail through the Western Conference. Now, we’re not saying the Grizzlies are the underdogs here, but let’s just say the betting lines are leaning more towards the Rocky Mountains than the Smoky Mountains. The Grizzlies are hoping to ride the wave of their recent victory, while the Nuggets are looking to keep their winning streak as shiny as their namesake. So, buckle up and get ready to bear witness to an epic showdown where Grizzlies seek gold and Nuggets aim to keep their claim!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 25, 2024 09:00PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
MEM ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +750 | -1400 | 214.5 | 14.5/-14.5 |
Recent | +850 | -1800 | 213.0 | 15.0/-15.0 |
Difference | +100 | -400 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance

10.5% Win Probability

89.5% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/28/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 27 | 21 | 35 | 22 | 105 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 33 | 32 | 41 | 36 | 142 | ||||
10/27/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 36 | 28 | 19 | 108 | Under | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 18 | 38 | 23 | 25 | 104 | ||||
03/03/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 27 | 31 | 22 | 17 | 97 | Under | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 22 | 30 | 33 | 113 | ||||
02/25/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 20 | 22 | 20 | 32 | 94 | Under | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 28 | 38 | 28 | 18 | 112 | ||||
12/20/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 14 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 91 | Under | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 20 | 29 | 21 | 105 | ||||
04/07/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 30 | 23 | 25 | 31 | 109 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 34 | 36 | 35 | 17 | 122 | ||||
01/21/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 37 | 31 | 30 | 24 | 122 | Over | ![]() |
|
Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 35 | 29 | 26 | 118 | ||||
11/03/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 19 | 36 | 28 | 23 | 106 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 37 | 19 | 22 | 30 | 108 | ||||
11/01/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 32 | 15 | 24 | 97 | Under | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 31 | 29 | 22 | 24 | 106 |
Grizzlies Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Grizzlies Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/22 | vs SAS | 99-99L | 51 | 18 | 17 | 82 |
03/20 | vs GSW | 116-137L | 45 | 29 | 10 | 96 |
03/18 | vs SAC | 111-121L | 49 | 22 | 12 | 98 |
03/16 | @ OKL | 112-118L | 36 | 34 | 14 | 82 |
03/13 | @ CHA | 98-110L | 46 | 24 | 21 | 85 |
03/12 | @ WAS | 109-86W | 53 | 27 | 17 | 89 |
03/10 | vs OKL | 93-124L | 39 | 21 | 16 | 79 |
03/08 | @ ATL | 92-99L | 38 | 21 | 13 | 74 |
03/06 | vs PHI | 115-109W | 54 | 21 | 15 | 92 |
03/04 | vs BRO | 106-102W | 50 | 26 | 18 | 82 |
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/23 | vs POR | 114-111W | 49 | 25 | 13 | 92 |
03/21 | @ NYK | 113-100W | 42 | 31 | 9 | 85 |
03/19 | vs MIN | 115-112W | 49 | 26 | 17 | 81 |
03/17 | vs DAL | 105-107L | 37 | 26 | 7 | 84 |
03/15 | vs SAS | 117-106W | 40 | 37 | 12 | 90 |
03/13 | vs MIA | 100-88W | 41 | 24 | 9 | 82 |
03/11 | @ TOR | 125-119W | 42 | 36 | 9 | 95 |
03/09 | @ UTA | 142-123W | 32 | 40 | 13 | 83 |
03/07 | @ BOS | 115-109W | 45 | 27 | 7 | 92 |
03/05 | @ PHX | 107-117L | 51 | 25 | 14 | 98 |
Starting Lineups
Memphis Grizzlies | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Santi Aldama
PF
|
28.9 | 36.4 | 26.8 | 83% | 27.3 |
Desmond Bane
SG
|
34.9 | 34.0 | 39.2 | 100% | 38.1 |
21.6 | 23.8 | 14.3 | 23% | 25.9 | |
30.0 | 36.0 | 24.8 | 23% | 36.6 | |
36.9 | 38.1 | 40.4 | 93% | 41.0 |
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.0 | 21.1 | 20.1 | 100% | 20.5 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
33.1 | 31.5 | 28.9 | 100% | 29.3 |
60.0 | 51.0 | 59.2 | 100% | 59.4 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
44.9 | 39.8 | 39.5 | 100% | 40.0 |
35.0 | 34.2 | 31.9 | 100% | 32.3 |
Grizzlies Notable Injuries
- Luke Kennard (SG): Avg: 11.1pts, 2.8reb, 3.3ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.9
- John Konchar (SG/SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 4.5reb, 2.0ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 3.7
- Maozinha Pereira (SF/PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.5reb, 0.0ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 0.7
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.3reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.7
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.3pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.3
- Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.6pts, 0.8reb, 0.8ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/23/24. Impact: 1.6
- Jay Huff (C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jamal Murray | DEN | Pts | 21.5 | 23.4 | +1.9 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MEM | +2.3 | #26 |
Grizzlies Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #18 | #18 | #20 | #21 | 4.0% |
PF | #13 | #16 | #15 | #17 | 1.3% |
PG | #3 | #16 | #29 | #14 | -3.1% |
SF | #6 | #7 | #25 | #11 | -5.8% |
SG | #26 | #24 | #22 | #27 | 8.2% |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #5 | #10 | #16 | -0.5% |
PF | #3 | #19 | #14 | #8 | -7.1% |
PG | #2 | #17 | #9 | #1 | -26.5% |
SF | #21 | #15 | #24 | #18 | 5.5% |
SG | #15 | #15 | #12 | #11 | -4.2% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Nikola Jokic (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 30.0 pts, 14.0 reb, 11.0 ast against NYK
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.2% to 36.4, 27.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 12.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
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