Grizzlies vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Chase Center tonight as the Memphis Grizzlies, boasting a solid 23-12 record, roll into town to clash with the Golden State Warriors, who are balancing on a seesaw at 17-16 this season. The clock’s ticking down to a 09:30 PM EST showdown that promises more fireworks than the 4th of July, especially after a first round of NBA Playoff games that were about as competitive as a dad at a preschool sports day. With the betting lines drawn and the over/under ballooning to a hefty 234.0, fans are buzzing to see if the Warriors can ride the wave of their recent blowout victory or if the Grizzlies can claw their way back from a recent stumble. Tonight, it’s all about whether the Warriors can defend their castle or if the Grizzlies turn the Chase Center into their own personal hunting ground.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 04, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+125	-145	233.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+120	-140	234.0	3.0/-3.0
Difference	-5	+5	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

25W-29L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

28W-26L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/19/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	15	23	21	34	00	93	Over
12/19/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	37	32	40	35	00	144	Over
11/15/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	20	30	40	00	118	Over
11/15/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	26	38	30	00	123	Over
03/20/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	26	32	26	00	116	Over
03/20/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	35	40	29	00	137	Over
02/02/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	33	28	36	00	121	Under
02/02/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	23	24	26	28	00	101	Under
01/15/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	27	30	21	00	107	Under
01/15/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	23	31	31	31	00	116	Under
03/18/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	23	36	41	19	00	119	Over
03/18/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	38	33	29	00	133	Over
03/09/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	28	31	34	17	00	110	Over
03/09/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	48	29	22	32	00	131	Over
01/25/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	22	32	42	24	00	120	Over
01/25/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	29	37	32	00	122	Over
12/25/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	29	25	30	25	00	109	Under
12/25/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	33	26	40	24	00	123	Under
03/28/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	16	21	30	28	00	95	Under
03/28/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	20	43	32	28	00	123	Under
01/11/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	24	27	39	18	00	108	Under
01/11/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	31	28	29	00	116	Under
12/23/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	22	30	21	00	104	Under
12/23/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	25	32	29	00	113	Under
10/28/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	20	25	28	25	60	104	Under
10/28/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	37	18	24	19	30	101	Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/03	vs SAC	133-138L	51	31	17	89
12/31	vs PHX	117-112W	51	27	17	94
12/29	vs OKL	106-130L	51	30	21	97
12/27	vs NOP	132-124W	42	30	16	89
12/26	@ TOR	155-126W	63	36	17	109
12/21	vs ATL	128-112W	40	35	18	97
12/19	@ GSW	144-93W	60	38	16	98
12/15	vs LAL	110-116L	50	25	20	97
12/13	@ BRO	135-119W	49	33	13	99
12/08	vs WAS	140-112W	46	34	16	96

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/02	@ PHI	139-105W	43	41	11	87
12/30	@ CLE	95-113L	55	20	14	99
12/28	@ PHX	109-105W	49	26	11	98
12/27	vs LAC	92-102L	47	24	14	95
12/25	@ LAL	113-115L	44	26	12	89
12/21	vs MIN	113-103W	45	30	10	87
12/19	vs MEM	93-144L	36	20	17	90
12/15	@ DAL	133-143L	37	39	10	103
12/11	vs HOU	90-91L	39	22	15	84
12/08	@ MIN	114-106W	45	28	11	90

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	37.0	42.0	34.4	100%	33.7
Brandon Clarke PF	21.0	20.8	18.0	60%	20.4
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	43.0	48.6	39.6	100%	40.0
Scotty Pippen Jr. PG	32.0	24.6	23.7	43%	29.8
Jaylen Wells SF	21.0	23.2	20.1	87%	20.9

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Draymond Green PF	34.0	27.5	27.7	93%	27.4
Trayce Jackson-Davis C	31.0	32.5	21.9	80%	24.1
Dennis Schroder PG	36.0	22.4	30.8	100%	31.1
Lindy Waters III SG	18.0	9.8	11.9	23%	15.9
Andrew Wiggins SF	34.0	27.1	29.2	100%	29.6

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Ja Morant (PG): Avg: 22.2pts, 4.6reb, 7.8ast, 29.6 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 6.7
Santi Aldama (PF): Avg: 11.7pts, 6.3reb, 2.5ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 4.8
Marcus Smart (PG/SG): Avg: 11.6pts, 2.5reb, 4.1ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 3.2
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.4reb, 0.8ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 0.9
Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 0.5

Warriors Notable Injuries

Stephen Curry (PG): Avg: 25.6pts, 4.6reb, 5.5ast, 32.4 minutes. Last game: 01/02/25. Impact: 6.9
Brandin Podziemski (PG/SG): Avg: 8.8pts, 5.3reb, 3.5ast, 25.9 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 3.3
Gary Payton II (SF): Avg: 5.2pts, 2.7reb, 1.2ast, 14.7 minutes. Last game: 12/25/24. Impact: 2.3
Quinten Post (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 12/30/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Scotty Pippen Jr.	MEM	Pts	11.5	13.5	+2.0	60%	50%	33%	33%	GSW	-2.4	#2
Dennis Schroder	GSW	Pts	15.5	17.2	+1.7	0%	10%	27%	27%	MEM	+0.7	#22
Jonathan Kuminga	GSW	Reb	5.5	6.8	+1.3	80%	60%	47%	47%	MEM	+0.2	#19
Brandon Clarke	MEM	Reb	5.5	6.0	+0.5	60%	60%	67%	67%	GSW	-0.5	#10
Buddy Hield	GSW	Ast	1.5	2.4	+0.9	0%	20%	20%	20%	MEM	-0.4	#9
Zach Edey	MEM	Ast	0.5	1.0	+0.5	60%	70%	60%	60%	GSW	+0.1	#15
Jaylen Wells	MEM	3Pt	1.5	2.1	+0.6	60%	50%	53%	53%	GSW	+0.1	#17
Desmond Bane	MEM	3Pt	2.5	2.6	+0.1	60%	50%	33%	33%	GSW	+0.6	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#24	#5	#3	#11	-3.2%
PF	#26	#27	#27	#29	10.1%
PG	#6	#29	#13	#19	2.1%
SF	#20	#19	#29	#25	7.2%
SG	#22	#4	#9	#14	-2.5%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#15	#15	#16	0.9%
PF	#3	#10	#21	#6	-5.1%
PG	#2	#9	#5	#1	-11.9%
SF	#21	#28	#13	#24	6.3%
SG	#27	#26	#26	#28	10.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

125.8

110.4

Rebounds per Game

49.2

46.4

Assists per Game

30.7

28.4

Steals per Game

9.4

8.6

Blocks per Game

6.7

5.2

Shots per Game

94.2

92.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

14.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.9

50.9

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.7

36.1

Turnovers per Game

16.6

13.5

Fouls per Game

21.5

19.2

Recent Trends

Luke Kennard (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.8% to 29.1, 20.8 min average previous 3 games.
John Konchar (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 147.3% to 28.2, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.6% to 12.3, 22.6 min average previous 3 games.
Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 73.7% to 20.1, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.
Ja Morant (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.8% to 22.1, 32.4 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Payton II (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.0% to 10.6, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.