Grizzlies vs Warriors Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Mar 20th 2024

Grizzlies
23W-46L

March 20, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 218.5 o/u
Warriors
35W-32L


Get ready to bear witness to an epic showdown tonight, as the Memphis Grizzlies, clawing their way from 19.5 games back in the Western conference, are set to invade the Chase Center, the den of the Golden State Warriors, who are 7.0 games back. The Warriors, licking their wounds from a 112-119 loss to the Knicks, are ready to defend their turf at 10:00 PM EST, against the Grizzlies, who are also smarting from a 111-121 defeat against the Kings. With the Grizzlies’ line set at 10.0 and the Warriors’ at -10.0, and an over/under of 218.5, the stakes are as high as a Steph Curry three-pointer. So, buckle up for a night of high-flying dunks and buzzer-beaters because when the Grizzlies and Warriors clash, it’s not just a game, it’s a wildlife encounter. Don’t be surprised if fur flies and the court turns into a jungle. After all, it’s not every day you see a grizzly bear battling a warrior.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 20, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Chase Center, Golden State
Vegas Odds
MEM ML | GSW ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +360 | -500 | 218.0 | 10.0/-10.0 |
Recent | +425 | -600 | 218.5 | 11.0/-11.0 |
Difference | +65 | -100 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance

19.0% Win Probability

81.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/02/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 33 | 28 | 36 | 121 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 23 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 101 | ||||
01/15/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 29 | 27 | 30 | 21 | 107 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 23 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 116 | ||||
03/18/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 23 | 36 | 41 | 19 | 119 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 33 | 38 | 33 | 29 | 133 | ||||
03/09/23 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 48 | 29 | 22 | 32 | 131 | ||||
01/25/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 22 | 32 | 42 | 24 | 120 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 29 | 37 | 32 | 122 | ||||
12/25/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 29 | 25 | 30 | 25 | 109 | Over | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 33 | 26 | 40 | 24 | 123 | ||||
03/28/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 16 | 21 | 30 | 28 | 95 | Under | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 20 | 43 | 32 | 28 | 123 | ||||
01/11/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 27 | 39 | 18 | 108 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 28 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 116 | ||||
12/23/21 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 31 | 22 | 30 | 21 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
|
Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 25 | 32 | 29 | 113 | ||||
10/28/21 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 20 | 25 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
Golden State Warriors GSW | 37 | 18 | 24 | 19 | 3 | 101 |
Grizzlies Vs Over/Under
Warriors Vs Over/Under
Grizzlies Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/18 | vs SAC | 111-121L | 49 | 22 | 12 | 98 |
03/16 | @ OKL | 112-118L | 36 | 34 | 14 | 82 |
03/13 | @ CHA | 98-110L | 46 | 24 | 21 | 85 |
03/12 | @ WAS | 109-86W | 53 | 27 | 17 | 89 |
03/10 | vs OKL | 93-124L | 39 | 21 | 16 | 79 |
03/08 | @ ATL | 92-99L | 38 | 21 | 13 | 74 |
03/06 | vs PHI | 115-109W | 54 | 21 | 15 | 92 |
03/04 | vs BRO | 106-102W | 50 | 26 | 18 | 82 |
03/02 | @ POR | 100-107L | 45 | 21 | 22 | 83 |
03/01 | @ POR | 92-122L | 30 | 15 | 21 | 80 |
Warriors Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/18 | @ NYK | 112-119L | 39 | 29 | 13 | 88 |
03/16 | vs LAL | 128-127W | 45 | 38 | 7 | 97 |
03/13 | vs DAL | 99-109L | 42 | 19 | 15 | 92 |
03/11 | vs SAS | 112-102W | 45 | 28 | 13 | 93 |
03/09 | @ SAS | 113-126L | 39 | 26 | 12 | 90 |
03/07 | @ CHI | 122-125L | 48 | 31 | 11 | 97 |
03/06 | @ MIL | 125-90W | 50 | 37 | 14 | 93 |
03/03 | vs BOS | 88-140L | 46 | 24 | 17 | 92 |
03/01 | vs TOR | 120-105W | 56 | 26 | 14 | 98 |
02/29 | vs NYK | 110-99W | 53 | 26 | 11 | 98 |
Starting Lineups
Memphis Grizzlies | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Santi Aldama
PF
|
27.7 | 28.2 | 24.6 | 77% | 25.7 |
Desmond Bane
PG
|
42.0 | 39.0 | 39.8 | 100% | 38.7 |
33.1 | 34.5 | 23.7 | 17% | 35.9 | |
41.7 | 41.9 | 39.8 | 93% | 40.4 | |
John Konchar
SG
|
23.2 | 25.8 | 18.7 | 60% | 23.1 |
Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
45.0 | 34.1 | 42.7 | 100% | 43.1 | |
32.4 | 30.2 | 30.1 | 90% | 30.7 | |
33.4 | 30.9 | 33.2 | 83% | 32.5 | |
27.1 | 24.2 | 25.6 | 53% | 24.5 | |
23.8 | 24.1 | 23.5 | 83% | 25.5 |
Grizzlies Notable Injuries
- Vince Williams Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 10.3pts, 5.6reb, 3.5ast, 27.9 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 5.5
- Scotty Pippen Jr. (PG): Avg: 10.3pts, 3.4reb, 5.1ast, 23.1 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 3.9
- Luke Kennard (SG): Avg: 11.1pts, 2.8reb, 3.3ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.9
- Lamar Stevens (PF/C): Avg: 6.1pts, 2.9reb, 0.5ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 3.3
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Dario Saric (PF/C): Avg: 8.1pts, 4.5reb, 2.3ast, 17.5 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.0
- Kevon Looney (C): Avg: 4.5pts, 5.8reb, 1.9ast, 16.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.4
- Lester Quinones (PG/SG): Avg: 4.6pts, 2.2reb, 1.0ast, 11.9 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 1.3
- Gui Santos (SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.7reb, 0.7ast, 9.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 1.5
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.8 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 0.6
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.5ast, 1.7 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Draymond Green | GSW | Pts | 6.5 | 9.3 | +2.8 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | MEM | -0.2 | #13 |
Jaren Jackson Jr. | MEM | Pts | 22.5 | 23.8 | +1.3 | 40% | 40% | 53% | 53% | GSW | +1.2 | #20 |
Jonathan Kuminga | GSW | Reb | 5.5 | 5.6 | +0.1 | 0% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MEM | -0.3 | #13 |
Grizzlies Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #9 | #8 | #13 | -3.3% |
PF | #14 | #8 | #15 | #17 | -0.6% |
PG | #3 | #18 | #25 | #11 | -5.0% |
SF | #10 | #13 | #22 | #17 | 0.6% |
SG | #22 | #26 | #21 | #24 | 5.8% |
Warriors Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #20 | #28 | #26 | #26 | 10.2% |
PF | #30 | #25 | #20 | #27 | 9.2% |
PG | #17 | #8 | #14 | #18 | 0.8% |
SF | #8 | #23 | #13 | #18 | 1.5% |
SG | #2 | #6 | #28 | #10 | -6.1% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 12.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Gregory Jackson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.3% to 38.7, 28.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Trey Jemison (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.6% to 25.4, 18.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.6% to 12.9, 23.3 min average previous 3 games.
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