Grizzlies vs Rockets Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the Toyota Center tonight as the Memphis Grizzlies claw their way into Houston, looking to snag a win against the Rockets in what promises to be an explosive start to the 2024 NBA Playoffs. With both teams boasting impressive records and neck-and-neck in the Western Conference standings, this matchup is set to ignite some real fireworks. The court is set for a 9 PM EST showdown with stakes as high as the over/under of 236. Both teams are coming off thrilling narrow victories, setting the stage for a battle that’s anything but predictable. So, as the Grizzlies try to bear down and the Rockets aim to launch past their competition, expect a showdown that’s truly out of this world!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 13, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Toyota Center, Houston

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	HOU ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+125	-145	235.5	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+110	-130	236.0	2.0/-2.0
Difference	-15	+15	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

26W-30L

47.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

37W-19L

52.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/09/25	Houston Rockets HOU	45	23	33	18	119	Under
01/09/25	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	27	29	23	115	Under
10/25/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	27	18	25	108	Push
10/25/24	Houston Rockets HOU	38	21	39	30	128	Push
02/14/24	Houston Rockets HOU	21	28	32	32	113	Under
02/14/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	22	26	37	121	Under
12/15/23	Houston Rockets HOU	14	31	30	28	103	Under
12/15/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	29	26	19	22	96	Under
12/13/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	23	20	38	23	104	Under
12/13/23	Houston Rockets HOU	29	28	25	35	117	Under
11/22/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	18	22	23	91	Under
11/22/23	Houston Rockets HOU	21	24	29	37	111	Under
03/24/23	Houston Rockets HOU	30	22	32	30	114	Over
03/24/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	42	41	36	32	151	Over
03/22/23	Houston Rockets HOU	34	30	32	29	125	Over
03/22/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	37	38	26	29	130	Over
03/01/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	22	38	28	113	Under
03/01/23	Houston Rockets HOU	19	25	24	31	99	Under
10/21/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	36	33	34	129	Over
10/21/22	Houston Rockets HOU	32	38	30	22	122	Over
03/20/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	26	28	38	122	Under
03/20/22	Houston Rockets HOU	21	23	27	27	98	Under
03/06/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	28	30	20	112	Under
03/06/22	Houston Rockets HOU	27	25	40	31	123	Under
12/11/21	Houston Rockets HOU	29	18	30	29	106	Under
12/11/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	40	23	23	27	113	Under
11/15/21	Houston Rockets HOU	20	36	15	31	102	Over
11/15/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	41	31	31	136	Over

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Rockets Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/11	vs MIN	127-125W	46	25	13	108
01/09	@ HOU	115-119L	43	20	19	84
01/06	@ DAL	119-104W	55	24	13	88
01/04	vs GSW	113-121L	43	29	22	88
01/03	vs SAC	133-138L	51	31	17	89
12/31	vs PHX	117-112W	51	27	17	94
12/29	vs OKL	106-130L	51	30	21	97
12/27	vs NOP	132-124W	42	30	16	89
12/26	@ TOR	155-126W	63	36	17	109
12/21	vs ATL	128-112W	40	35	18	97

Rockets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/09	vs MEM	119-115W	44	21	12	96
01/07	vs WAS	135-112W	49	31	10	97
01/03	@ BOS	86-109L	37	9	11	88
01/01	@ DAL	110-99W	35	16	12	89
12/29	@ MIA	100-104L	52	24	12	97
12/27	@ MIN	112-113L	48	19	14	92
12/26	vs NOP	128-111W	54	19	15	97
12/22	vs TOR	114-110W	53	18	21	89
12/19	@ NOP	133-113W	42	34	11	87
12/14	vs OKL	96-111L	49	17	16	96

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	34.0	42.0	35.0	100%	34.3
Zach Edey C	21.0	15.3	22.2	68%	20.2
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	40.0	50.1	41.4	100%	41.8
Ja Morant PG	38.0	30.9	40.4	100%	40.7
Jaylen Wells SF	18.0	26.9	20.9	100%	21.2

Houston Rockets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dillon Brooks PF	25.0	22.9	23.9	100%	24.2
Jalen Green SF	38.0	37.0	32.0	100%	32.4
Alperen Sengun C	49.0	46.5	42.7	100%	43.1
Amen Thompson SG	36.0	35.2	26.5	20%	39.3
Fred VanVleet PG	35.0	35.2	34.3	100%	34.6

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

John Konchar (SF/PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.8ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.7
Cam Spencer (SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.6
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.9ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.8

Rockets Notable Injuries

Jabari Smith Jr. (PF/C): Avg: 12.9pts, 7.6reb, 1.4ast, 31.5 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 4.0
Reed Sheppard (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.2reb, 1.2ast, 11.6 minutes. Last game: 01/03/25. Impact: 1.1
Nate Williams (PG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 4.9 minutes. Last game: 01/07/25. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Zach Edey	MEM	Pts	6.5	8.9	+2.4	40%	70%	80%	80%	HOU	-5.7	#1
Luke Kennard	MEM	Pts	7.5	9.0	+1.5	100%	90%	73%	73%	HOU	+0.3	#19
Jalen Green	HOU	Reb	4.5	5.5	+1.0	40%	40%	33%	33%	MEM	-0.6	#5
Cam Whitmore	HOU	Reb	2.5	3.2	+0.7	60%	60%	53%	53%	MEM	+0.2	#16
Alperen Sengun	HOU	Ast	4.5	5.5	+1.0	60%	60%	73%	73%	MEM	-0.3	#14

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#8	#14	#18	3.2%
PF	#26	#24	#30	#29	10.0%
PG	#4	#24	#3	#11	-2.4%
SF	#14	#16	#25	#19	3.8%
SG	#24	#5	#19	#19	3.2%

Rockets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#17	#2	#2	-15.5%
PF	#6	#1	#11	#2	-10.1%
PG	#18	#26	#1	#13	-0.5%
SF	#3	#30	#1	#5	-9.2%
SG	#19	#8	#6	#13	-2.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

124.1

113.3

Rebounds per Game

49.0

47.7

Assists per Game

29.9

22.4

Steals per Game

9.5

9.4

Blocks per Game

6.2

4.8

Shots per Game

94.3

93.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.6

12.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.4

51.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.2

33.5

Turnovers per Game

16.6

12.8

Fouls per Game

21.7

20.0

Recent Trends

Santi Aldama (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.4% to 14.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
Aaron Holiday (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.7% to 17.2, 10.5 min average previous 3 games.
Cam Whitmore (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.6% to 22.2, 15.7 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.