Grizzlies vs Bucks Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 3rd 2024

Well, hoop fans, it’s time to buckle up for a showdown that promises to be as unpredictable as a bear wrestling a deer. Yes, you guessed it – we’re talking about the Memphis Grizzlies, who’ve been clawing their way through the season with a 25W-50L record, making a bold trek into the lair of the mighty Milwaukee Bucks, standing tall with their 47W-28L record. The Bucks’ forest, Fiserv Forum, is the battleground, and the clock is set for 08:00PM EST. While the Grizzlies are trailing by a whopping 20 games in the Wild West, the Bucks are standing their ground in the East with no space between them and the top spot. Trust me, the betting lines are as spicy as a Wisconsin bratwurst, with the over/under at 220.5, the Grizzlies at 13.5, and the Bucks at -13.5. Coming off a narrow defeat against WAS, the Bucks are hungry for a win, while the Grizzlies, fresh off a victory against DET, are looking to keep the momentum. So, get ready for a game that promises to be a real ‘buck-ing’ good time, where the Grizzlies will need to ‘bear’ down if they want to come out on top!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 03, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	MIL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+625	-1000	222.5	13.5/-13.5
Recent	+240	-340	220.5	13.0/-13.0
Difference	-385	+660	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

16W-21L

29.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

29W-8L

70.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/15/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	31	28	25	110	Over
02/15/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	29	28	37	19	113	Over
04/07/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	36	35	37	29	137	Over
04/07/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	41	15	27	114	Over
12/15/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	18	23	30	30	101	Over
12/15/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	37	47	25	142	Over
03/26/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	18	33	23	102	Over
03/26/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	27	39	29	127	Over
01/19/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	17	40	27	114	Over
01/19/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	25	35	30	126	Over

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/01	vs DET	110-108W	44	28	12	91
03/30	vs ORL	88-118L	45	25	19	86
03/27	@ LAL	124-136L	39	30	14	97
03/25	vs DEN	103-128L	40	25	14	94
03/22	vs SAS	99-99L	51	18	17	82
03/20	vs GSW	116-137L	45	29	10	96
03/18	vs SAC	111-121L	49	22	12	98
03/16	@ OKL	112-118L	36	34	14	82
03/13	@ CHA	98-110L	46	24	21	85
03/12	@ WAS	109-86W	53	27	17	89

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/02	vs WAS	113-117L	57	31	12	103
03/30	vs ATL	122-113W	40	27	10	78
03/28	vs NOP	100-107L	46	21	14	82
03/26	@ LAL	124-128L	61	37	14	119
03/24	@ OKL	118-93W	57	33	16	92
03/21	@ BRO	115-108W	40	27	10	91
03/20	vs BOS	119-122L	41	20	14	84
03/17	@ PHX	140-129W	35	35	10	94
03/14	@ PHI	114-105W	37	29	14	72
03/12	vs SAC	94-129L	44	23	13	84

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Santi Aldama PF	23.1	30.2	26.5	93%	26.5
Gregory Jackson SF	27.8	22.4	25.0	37%	30.9
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	41.9	39.2	40.4	93%	41.1
Luke Kennard SG	30.6	30.4	22.7	67%	25.4
Scotty Pippen Jr. PG	22.7	22.0	18.8	42%	24.2

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Malik Beasley SF	27.3	20.0	20.7	100%	20.8
Patrick Beverley SG	26.1	16.4	17.3	27%	26.9
Jae Crowder PF	20.3	11.2	14.0	70%	14.5
Brook Lopez C	28.3	20.9	25.1	100%	24.5

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Desmond Bane (SG): Avg: 23.4pts, 4.3reb, 5.5ast, 34.5 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 6.2
DeJon Jarreau (SG): Avg: 4.8pts, 4.9reb, 2.9ast, 16.6 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 2.4
John Konchar (PG/SG): Avg: 4.3pts, 4.5reb, 2.0ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 3.7
Trey Jemison (C): Avg: 6.2pts, 4.3reb, 0.9ast, 19.5 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 2.9

Bucks Notable Injuries

Damian Lillard (PG): Avg: 24.4pts, 4.3reb, 7.1ast, 35.3 minutes. Last game: 03/28/24. Impact: 7.5
Khris Middleton (SF): Avg: 15.1pts, 4.6reb, 5.2ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 04/02/24. Impact: 6.0
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Pts	33.5	35.8	+2.3	60%	50%	40%	40%	MEM	+1.3	#18
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Pts	23.5	23.7	+0.2	40%	40%	47%	47%	MIL	-0.5	#13

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#22	#28	#25	6.8%
PF	#17	#28	#19	#26	6.4%
PG	#21	#6	#17	#25	10.5%
SF	#18	#12	#28	#22	9.4%
SG	#21	#15	#18	#23	5.4%

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#4	#16	#5	-7.4%
PF	#8	#19	#12	#10	-4.5%
PG	#22	#8	#3	#23	7.7%
SF	#25	#13	#8	#21	7.6%
SG	#29	#29	#24	#29	10.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

105.4

114.9

Rebounds per Game

44.9

44.6

Assists per Game

25.1

27.0

Steals per Game

8.8

6.0

Blocks per Game

6.5

4.2

Shots per Game

87.6

89.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

14.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

48.0

56.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.5

36.1

Turnovers per Game

15.1

11.9

Fouls per Game

18.5

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 35.0 pts, 15.0 reb, 10.0 ast against WAS
Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 74.7% to 21.3, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.