Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown
Grizzlies
24W-14L
January 11, 2025
09:00PM EST
Odds: 230.5 o/u
Timberwolves
20W-17L
Get ready to rumble in the jungle—or should we say, the forest and the riverbanks—as the Memphis Grizzlies claw their way into the Target Center to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With the majority of the early playoff games resembling more of a blowout than a showdown, tonight’s matchup at 9 PM EST is the perfect chance for a real nail-biter. The Grizzlies are looking to bounce back from a recent stumble, while the Timberwolves are howling with confidence after their latest conquest. With the stakes sky-high and the score predictions teetering on a razor’s edge, tonight’s game is all set to see who truly leads the pack in this wild basketball wilderness!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 11, 2025 09:00PM EST
Location: Target Center, Minnesota
Vegas Odds
| MEM ML | MIN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +105 | -125 | 230.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
| Recent | -105 | -115 | 230.5 | 1.0/-1.0 |
| Difference | -210 | +10 | +0.5 | – |
Team Performance
51.2% Win Probability
48.8% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 27 | 38 | 29 | 00 | 127 | Under | |
| Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 31 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 00 | 103 | |||
| 02/28/24 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 26 | 27 | 32 | 16 | 00 | 101 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 01/18/24 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 30 | 25 | 31 | 17 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 20 | 31 | 37 | 00 | 118 | |||
| 11/26/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 00 | 119 | Under | |
| Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 26 | 17 | 23 | 31 | 00 | 97 | |||
| 02/10/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 26 | 28 | 21 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 31 | 38 | 34 | 25 | 00 | 128 | |||
| 01/27/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 31 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 00 | 100 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 38 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 111 | |||
| 11/30/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 26 | 22 | 24 | 29 | 00 | 101 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 17 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 109 | |||
| 11/11/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 33 | 21 | 19 | 00 | 103 | Under | |
| Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 33 | 39 | 24 | 18 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 02/24/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 31 | 25 | 27 | 31 | 00 | 114 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 21 | 32 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 01/13/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 29 | 24 | 24 | 00 | 108 | Under | |
| Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 25 | 28 | 37 | 26 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 11/20/21 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 23 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 00 | 95 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 32 | 41 | 25 | 00 | 138 | |||
| 11/08/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 20 | 38 | 21 | 50 | 118 | Over | |
| Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 34 | 24 | 23 | 32 | 120 | 125 |
Grizzlies Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Grizzlies Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | @ HOU | 115-119L | 43 | 20 | 19 | 84 |
| 01/06 | @ DAL | 119-104W | 55 | 24 | 13 | 88 |
| 01/04 | vs GSW | 113-121L | 43 | 29 | 22 | 88 |
| 01/03 | vs SAC | 133-138L | 51 | 31 | 17 | 89 |
| 12/31 | vs PHX | 117-112W | 51 | 27 | 17 | 94 |
| 12/29 | vs OKL | 106-130L | 51 | 30 | 21 | 97 |
| 12/27 | vs NOP | 132-124W | 42 | 30 | 16 | 89 |
| 12/26 | @ TOR | 155-126W | 63 | 36 | 17 | 109 |
| 12/21 | vs ATL | 128-112W | 40 | 35 | 18 | 97 |
| 12/19 | @ GSW | 144-93W | 60 | 38 | 16 | 98 |
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | vs ORL | 104-89W | 50 | 21 | 8 | 85 |
| 01/07 | vs NOP | 104-97W | 53 | 26 | 16 | 89 |
| 01/06 | @ LAC | 108-106W | 55 | 24 | 14 | 92 |
| 01/04 | vs DET | 105-119L | 33 | 20 | 17 | 80 |
| 01/02 | @ BOS | 115-118L | 41 | 24 | 15 | 74 |
| 12/31 | vs OKL | 105-113L | 43 | 21 | 23 | 79 |
| 12/29 | @ SAS | 112-110W | 56 | 23 | 10 | 100 |
| 12/27 | vs HOU | 113-112W | 39 | 25 | 14 | 83 |
| 12/25 | vs DAL | 105-99W | 46 | 23 | 10 | 86 |
| 12/21 | @ GSW | 103-113L | 45 | 27 | 15 | 86 |
Starting Lineups
| Memphis Grizzlies | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Desmond Bane
SG
|
34.0 | 42.1 | 34.2 | 100% | 33.5 |
| 20.0 | 17.2 | 22.1 | 67% | 19.9 | |
| 39.0 | 53.7 | 41.3 | 100% | 41.6 | |
|
Ja Morant
PG
|
37.0 | 34.5 | 40.3 | 100% | 40.6 |
|
Jaylen Wells
SF
|
18.0 | 26.4 | 20.6 | 100% | 20.3 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.0 | 24.0 | 22.7 | 17% | 22.6 | |
| 48.0 | 50.0 | 43.4 | 100% | 43.8 | |
| 32.0 | 27.1 | 29.9 | 100% | 30.3 | |
| 24.0 | 22.5 | 23.6 | 100% | 23.9 | |
| 39.0 | 33.6 | 35.2 | 100% | 35.6 |
Grizzlies Notable Injuries
- John Konchar (SF/PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.8ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.7
- Cam Spencer (SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.6
- Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.9ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.8
- Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 0.5
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.5
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 1.0
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 0.5
- Jaylen Clark (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 0.0
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | Pts | 9.5 | 11.5 | +2.0 | 20% | 40% | 47% | 47% | MEM | +3.3 | #27 |
| Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | Pts | 12.5 | 14.2 | +1.7 | 20% | 40% | 33% | 33% | MEM | +1.8 | #24 |
| Naz Reid | MIN | Reb | 4.5 | 5.3 | +0.8 | 60% | 40% | 53% | 53% | MEM | +1.2 | #28 |
| Santi Aldama | MEM | Ast | 1.5 | 2.3 | +0.8 | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% | MIN | -0.7 | #4 |
| Luke Kennard | MEM | Ast | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | MIN | -0.7 | #4 |
Grizzlies Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #27 | #8 | #7 | #18 | 2.8% |
| PF | #26 | #28 | #28 | #29 | 10.1% |
| PG | #5 | #26 | #4 | #11 | -1.5% |
| SF | #20 | #19 | #29 | #24 | 6.6% |
| SG | #24 | #3 | #12 | #18 | 1.5% |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #11 | #9 | #15 | #12 | -1.5% |
| PF | #2 | #7 | #21 | #3 | -8.5% |
| PG | #17 | #24 | #6 | #21 | 2.3% |
| SF | #4 | #7 | #4 | #4 | -11.1% |
| SG | #5 | #21 | #4 | #5 | -6.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Santi Aldama (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.1% to 15.8, 23.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Zach Edey (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.7% to 17.1, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Jay Huff (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.6% to 17.7, 12.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 115.0% to 26.4, 12.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games. The Grizzlies have a 2-game losing streak on the road.
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