Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the jungle—or should we say, the forest and the riverbanks—as the Memphis Grizzlies claw their way into the Target Center to face off against the Minnesota Timberwolves in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the Fourth of July! With the majority of the early playoff games resembling more of a blowout than a showdown, tonight’s matchup at 9 PM EST is the perfect chance for a real nail-biter. The Grizzlies are looking to bounce back from a recent stumble, while the Timberwolves are howling with confidence after their latest conquest. With the stakes sky-high and the score predictions teetering on a razor’s edge, tonight’s game is all set to see who truly leads the pack in this wild basketball wilderness!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 11, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	230.0	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-105	-115	230.5	1.0/-1.0
Difference	-210	+10	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

25W-30L

51.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

38W-16L

48.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/08/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	27	38	29	00	127	Under
12/08/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	24	24	24	00	103	Under
02/28/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	27	32	16	00	101	Under
02/28/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	26	38	22	00	110	Under
01/18/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	25	31	17	00	103	Under
01/18/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	20	31	37	00	118	Under
11/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	29	30	29	00	119	Under
11/26/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	17	23	31	00	97	Under
02/10/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	26	28	21	00	107	Over
02/10/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	38	34	25	00	128	Over
01/27/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	22	24	23	00	100	Under
01/27/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	38	24	25	24	00	111	Under
11/30/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	22	24	29	00	101	Under
11/30/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	17	31	34	00	109	Under
11/11/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	33	21	19	00	103	Under
11/11/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	39	24	18	00	114	Under
02/24/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	25	27	31	00	114	Over
02/24/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	32	31	35	00	119	Over
01/13/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	29	24	24	00	108	Under
01/13/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	28	37	26	00	116	Under
11/20/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	23	20	28	24	00	95	Over
11/20/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	32	41	25	00	138	Over
11/08/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	20	38	21	50	118	Over
11/08/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	24	23	32	120	125	Over

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/09	@ HOU	115-119L	43	20	19	84
01/06	@ DAL	119-104W	55	24	13	88
01/04	vs GSW	113-121L	43	29	22	88
01/03	vs SAC	133-138L	51	31	17	89
12/31	vs PHX	117-112W	51	27	17	94
12/29	vs OKL	106-130L	51	30	21	97
12/27	vs NOP	132-124W	42	30	16	89
12/26	@ TOR	155-126W	63	36	17	109
12/21	vs ATL	128-112W	40	35	18	97
12/19	@ GSW	144-93W	60	38	16	98

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/09	vs ORL	104-89W	50	21	8	85
01/07	vs NOP	104-97W	53	26	16	89
01/06	@ LAC	108-106W	55	24	14	92
01/04	vs DET	105-119L	33	20	17	80
01/02	@ BOS	115-118L	41	24	15	74
12/31	vs OKL	105-113L	43	21	23	79
12/29	@ SAS	112-110W	56	23	10	100
12/27	vs HOU	113-112W	39	25	14	83
12/25	vs DAL	105-99W	46	23	10	86
12/21	@ GSW	103-113L	45	27	15	86

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	34.0	42.1	34.2	100%	33.5
Zach Edey C	20.0	17.2	22.1	67%	19.9
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	39.0	53.7	41.3	100%	41.6
Ja Morant PG	37.0	34.5	40.3	100%	40.6
Jaylen Wells SF	18.0	26.4	20.6	100%	20.3

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Donte DiVincenzo PG	28.0	24.0	22.7	17%	22.6
Anthony Edwards SG	48.0	50.0	43.4	100%	43.8
Rudy Gobert C	32.0	27.1	29.9	100%	30.3
Jaden McDaniels SF	24.0	22.5	23.6	100%	23.9
Julius Randle PF	39.0	33.6	35.2	100%	35.6

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

John Konchar (SF/PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.8ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.7
Cam Spencer (SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.6
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.9ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.8
Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 0.5

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Joe Ingles (PF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.9reb, 2.7ast, 15.2 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.5
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 1.0
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 0.5
Jaylen Clark (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 01/09/25. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	9.5	11.5	+2.0	20%	40%	47%	47%	MEM	+3.3	#27
Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	Pts	12.5	14.2	+1.7	20%	40%	33%	33%	MEM	+1.8	#24
Naz Reid	MIN	Reb	4.5	5.3	+0.8	60%	40%	53%	53%	MEM	+1.2	#28
Santi Aldama	MEM	Ast	1.5	2.3	+0.8	40%	40%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.7	#4
Luke Kennard	MEM	Ast	2.5	3.0	+0.5	80%	70%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.7	#4

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#8	#7	#18	2.8%
PF	#26	#28	#28	#29	10.1%
PG	#5	#26	#4	#11	-1.5%
SF	#20	#19	#29	#24	6.6%
SG	#24	#3	#12	#18	1.5%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#9	#15	#12	-1.5%
PF	#2	#7	#21	#3	-8.5%
PG	#17	#24	#6	#21	2.3%
SF	#4	#7	#4	#4	-11.1%
SG	#5	#21	#4	#5	-6.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

124.0

107.4

Rebounds per Game

48.8

44.5

Assists per Game

30.0

23.8

Steals per Game

9.4

8.3

Blocks per Game

6.4

4.6

Shots per Game

93.6

86.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.4

14.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.7

51.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.1

37.3

Turnovers per Game

16.6

14.5

Fouls per Game

21.9

18.0

Recent Trends

Santi Aldama (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.1% to 15.8, 23.3 min average previous 3 games.
Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Zach Edey (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.7% to 17.1, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jay Huff (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.6% to 17.7, 12.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 115.0% to 26.4, 12.3 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.