Grizzlies vs. Thunder: A David vs. Goliath NBA Showdown!

Grizzlies
22W-42L

March 10, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 218.5 o/u
Thunder
44W-19L


Alright, hoop heads, get your popcorn ready because it’s about to go down at the Paycom Center tonight! The Memphis Grizzlies, sitting pretty (or not so pretty) at 22W-42L, are gearing up to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder, who are thundering through the season with a solid 44W-19L record. The Grizzlies, bless their hearts, are trailing by a whopping 16.5 games in the Western conference. On the flip side, the Thunder are sitting pretty atop the Western conference with zero games back. The betting lines are set, and it’s not looking too rosy for the Grizzlies. The over/under is 218.5, and the Grizzlies are at a 15.0 line. The Thunder, on the other hand, are at a -15.0 line. Talk about David versus Goliath! The Thunder are strutting in after a 107-100 victory over Miami, while the Grizzlies are licking their wounds from a 92-99 loss to Atlanta. Tipoff is at 07:00PM EST, so get your fantasy lineups set, grab a cold one, and let’s enjoy some basketball!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 10, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Vegas Odds
MEM ML | OKL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +750 | -1400 | 220.0 | 15.0/-15.0 |
Recent | +285 | -420 | 218.5 | 15.5/-15.5 |
Difference | -465 | +980 | -1.5 | – |
Team Performance

26.0% Win Probability

74.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/18/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 26 | 27 | 13 | 31 | 97 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 34 | 34 | 26 | 22 | 116 | ||||
04/09/23 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 24 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 100 | Under | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 20 | 27 | 38 | 30 | 115 | ||||
12/17/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 21 | 22 | 33 | 33 | 109 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 39 | 27 | 24 | 115 | ||||
12/07/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 25 | 27 | 35 | 15 | 102 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 27 | 30 | 37 | 29 | 123 | ||||
11/18/22 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 28 | 31 | 24 | 27 | 110 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 33 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 121 | ||||
03/13/22 | Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 38 | 23 | 34 | 30 | 125 | Over | ![]() |
|
Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 26 | 28 | 25 | 39 | 118 | ||||
12/20/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 16 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 102 | Under | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 28 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 99 | ||||
12/02/21 | Oklahoma City Thunder OKL | 16 | 20 | 26 | 17 | 79 | Over | ![]() |
|
Memphis Grizzlies MEM | 31 | 41 | 41 | 39 | 152 |
Grizzlies Vs Over/Under
Thunder Vs Over/Under
Starting Lineups
Memphis Grizzlies | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Santi Aldama
PF
|
27.8 | 29.9 | 23.0 | 63% | 25.1 |
48.2 | 47.5 | 39.7 | 93% | 40.3 | |
Luke Kennard
PG
|
24.1 | 21.6 | 21.2 | 47% | 24.7 |
Jake LaRavia
SF
|
22.6 | 28.4 | 9.7 | 0% | 0 |
36.4 | 33.6 | 30.8 | 83% | 33.1 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21.7 | 20.6 | 19.6 | 100% | 20.0 | |
Josh Giddey
SG
|
27.2 | 25.2 | 26.8 | 100% | 27.1 |
53.2 | 54.2 | 52.3 | 100% | 52.6 | |
41.7 | 32.6 | 36.7 | 100% | 37.1 | |
35.5 | 34.4 | 36.3 | 100% | 36.6 |
Grizzlies Notable Injuries
- Ziaire Williams (SG): Avg: 8.1pts, 3.6reb, 1.5ast, 20.3 minutes. Last game: 03/02/24. Impact: 3.3
- Derrick Rose (PG): Avg: 8.0pts, 1.9reb, 3.3ast, 16.7 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 2.2
- John Konchar (SG/SF): Avg: 4.1pts, 4.2reb, 1.8ast, 20.0 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 3.4
- Jordan Goodwin (PG/SG): Avg: 5.4pts, 3.2reb, 2.4ast, 16.2 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.9
- Yuta Watanabe (SF/PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 13.7 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.8
Thunder Notable Injuries
- Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.7pts, 5.6reb, 1.5ast, 21.9 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.5
- Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.3reb, 1.3ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 2.3
- Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 2.8reb, 0.8ast, 13.7 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.4
- Olivier Sarr (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.5reb, 0.1ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.1
- Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 2.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.6ast, 6.9 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 0.9
- Keyontae Johnson (SG/SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 0.6
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Chet Holmgren | OKL | Pts | 15.5 | 18.7 | +3.2 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% | MEM | -0.9 | #13 |
Jaren Jackson Jr. | MEM | Pts | 25.5 | 27.6 | +2.1 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | OKL | +1.8 | #22 |
Luguentz Dort | OKL | Reb | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | MEM | +0.2 | #17 |
Grizzlies Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #12 | #10 | #14 | -2.9% |
PF | #3 | #7 | #6 | #5 | -14.0% |
PG | #5 | #29 | #8 | #14 | 0.2% |
SF | #28 | #17 | #25 | #25 | 8.0% |
SG | #19 | #22 | #22 | #23 | 4.5% |
Thunder Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #29 | #23 | #27 | 10.6% |
PF | #26 | #29 | #29 | #28 | 13.8% |
PG | #3 | #23 | #5 | #2 | -20.8% |
SF | #6 | #1 | #20 | #3 | -14.6% |
SG | #28 | #14 | #8 | #18 | 1.4% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 12.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Giddey (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.1% to 28.1, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
- John Konchar (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.5% to 29.0, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Jake LaRavia (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.5% to 28.9, 19.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Mike Muscala (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 41.0% to 10.3, 17.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Lamar Stevens (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.8% to 22.8, 15.7 min average previous 3 games. The Grizzlies have a 2-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 1-game losing streak. The Thunder have a 1-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 2-game winning streak.
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