Grizzlies vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying face-off at the Paycom Center tonight as the Memphis Grizzlies claw their way into Oklahoma City, aiming to thunder down on the high-flying Thunder in a pivotal first-round NBA Playoff clash. With both teams locked in a fierce battle for Western conference supremacy and not a single game separating them in the standings, this matchup promises to be anything but a blowout. Set to tip off at 08:00 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high, and the betting lines are buzzing, with an over/under that suggests a scoreboard set to sizzle. The Thunder rolled over Charlotte in their last game, while the Grizzlies roared past New Orleans, setting the stage for a showdown where only the strongest will survive. So, as the ball goes up, will the Grizzlies manage to steal the Thunder’s roar or will Oklahoma City’s storm prove too much to bear?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 29, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+250	-300	228.0	7.5/-7.5
Recent	+250	-300	230.0	7.0/-7.0
Difference	0	0	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-27L

28.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

41W-9L

71.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/16/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	27	35	27	118	Push
03/16/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	27	24	34	112	Push
03/10/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	24	19	25	25	93	Under
03/10/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	38	26	38	22	124	Under
12/18/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	27	13	31	97	Under
12/18/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	34	26	22	116	Under
04/09/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	24	25	24	27	100	Under
04/09/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	20	27	38	30	115	Under
12/17/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	21	22	33	33	109	Under
12/17/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	39	27	24	115	Under
12/07/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	25	27	35	15	102	Under
12/07/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	30	37	29	123	Under
11/18/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	31	24	27	110	Over
11/18/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	30	29	29	121	Over
03/13/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	23	34	30	125	Over
03/13/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	26	28	25	39	118	Over
12/20/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	16	31	27	28	102	Under
12/20/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	22	22	27	99	Under
12/02/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	16	20	26	17	79	Over
12/02/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	41	41	39	152	Over

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/27	vs NOP	132-124W	42	30	16	89
12/26	@ TOR	155-126W	63	36	17	109
12/21	vs ATL	128-112W	40	35	18	97
12/19	@ GSW	144-93W	60	38	16	98
12/15	vs LAL	110-116L	50	25	20	97
12/13	@ BRO	135-119W	49	33	13	99
12/08	vs WAS	140-112W	46	34	16	96
12/07	vs BOS	127-121W	52	25	13	94
12/05	@ SAC	115-110W	49	27	22	80
12/03	vs DAL	116-121L	39	27	19	97

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	vs CHA	106-94W	49	29	15	88
12/26	vs IND	120-114W	45	20	3	95
12/20	vs MIA	104-97W	48	24	14	86
12/19	vs ORL	105-99W	32	23	13	83
12/14	@ HOU	111-96W	43	19	12	80
12/10	@ DAL	118-104W	52	29	13	101
12/07	vs NOP	119-109W	45	27	18	85
12/05	vs TOR	129-92W	56	28	6	102
12/03	@ UTA	133-106W	34	32	8	102
12/01	vs HOU	116-119L	46	30	7	94

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	38.0	36.5	33.7	100%	33.0
Zach Edey C	31.0	31.6	24.3	65%	22.4
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	41.0	40.6	38.9	100%	39.3
Scotty Pippen Jr. PG	33.0	24.4	25.3	40%	33.9
Jaylen Wells SF	20.0	19.0	19.2	82%	20.3

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	23.0	25.1	23.9	100%	24.2
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	54.0	55.9	53.1	100%	53.5
Isaiah Hartenstein C	38.0	36.9	31.1	100%	30.0
Cason Wallace SG	20.0	17.6	16.9	53%	20.5
Jalen Williams PF	41.0	34.5	41.2	100%	41.7

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Ja Morant (PG): Avg: 22.2pts, 4.6reb, 7.8ast, 29.6 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 6.7
Santi Aldama (PF): Avg: 11.7pts, 6.3reb, 2.5ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 4.8
Marcus Smart (PG/SG): Avg: 11.6pts, 2.5reb, 4.1ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 3.2

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.2pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 3.3
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 2.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Desmond Bane	MEM	Pts	17.5	20.1	+2.6	60%	60%	47%	47%	OKL	-1.6	#4
Zach Edey	MEM	Pts	11.5	13.4	+1.9	60%	70%	53%	53%	OKL	-4.9	#1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	OKL	Reb	5.5	5.8	+0.3	60%	60%	47%	47%	MEM	+1.1	#28
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Ast	1.5	1.6	+0.1	20%	30%	53%	53%	MEM	-0.7	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#3	#2	#11	-2.0%
PF	#20	#27	#21	#23	6.3%
PG	#1	#28	#16	#12	-2.2%
SF	#24	#14	#29	#26	7.5%
SG	#22	#3	#5	#10	-5.0%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#27	#23	#6	-9.5%
PF	#17	#14	#5	#11	-3.7%
PG	#9	#18	#2	#2	-11.5%
SF	#12	#27	#18	#12	-2.1%
SG	#4	#23	#6	#8	-5.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

125.7

116.0

Rebounds per Game

48.8

43.0

Assists per Game

30.5

25.9

Steals per Game

9.6

11.7

Blocks per Game

6.7

5.5

Shots per Game

93.2

91.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.4

14.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.9

55.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.6

35.6

Turnovers per Game

16.6

10.8

Fouls per Game

21.7

21.1

Recent Trends

Jay Huff (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 50.2% to 10.3, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
Ja Morant (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.8% to 22.1, 32.4 min average previous 3 games.
Scotty Pippen Jr. (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.2% to 25.6, 13.4 min average previous 3 games.
Jaylen Wells (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.0% to 27.3, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
Jaylin Williams (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.3% to 16.8, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.