Grizzlies vs Magic Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 30th 2024

Alright, hoop-heads, get ready to rumble because we’ve got a real barn burner on our hands tonight! The Grizzlies, who’ve been taking more hits than a punching bag with a 24W-49L record, are packing up their grit and grind and heading over to the Magic Kingdom, otherwise known as Amway Center. They’re about to face off against the 42W-31L Orlando Magic, who’ve been conjuring up some serious spells this season. With a tipoff time set for 07:00PM EST, you can bet your last penny that the Grizzlies, sitting a whopping 21.0 games back in the Wild West, are going to be clawing for a win against the Magic, who’ve been floating at 0.0 games back in the East. The betting lines are drawn and the over/under is set at a tantalizing 206.0. Both teams are coming off fresh losses, with the Magic’s last trick falling flat against LAC and the Grizzlies losing their growl against LAL. So, buckle up, folks, because tonight it’s all about whether the Grizzlies can bear the Magic, or if they’ll simply disappear in a puff of smoke.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 30, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Amway Center, Orlando

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	ORL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+550	-850	207.5	12.5/-12.5
Recent	+230	-320	206.0	13.0/-13.0
Difference	-320	+530	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

2W-8L

AWAY

15W-20L

30.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

24W-12L

69.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/26/24	Orlando Magic ORL	31	28	25	22	106	Over
01/26/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	37	22	17	107	Over
03/28/23	Orlando Magic ORL	15	29	29	35	108	Over
03/28/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	27	28	26	113	Over
01/05/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	22	43	27	31	123	Over
01/05/23	Orlando Magic ORL	20	23	35	37	115	Over
03/05/22	Orlando Magic ORL	29	16	29	22	96	Over
03/05/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	37	29	27	124	Over
02/05/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	37	39	32	27	135	Over
02/05/22	Orlando Magic ORL	24	32	25	34	115	Over

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/27	@ LAL	124-136L	39	30	14	97
03/25	vs DEN	103-128L	40	25	14	94
03/22	vs SAS	99-99L	51	18	17	82
03/20	vs GSW	116-137L	45	29	10	96
03/18	vs SAC	111-121L	49	22	12	98
03/16	@ OKL	112-118L	36	34	14	82
03/13	@ CHA	98-110L	46	24	21	85
03/12	@ WAS	109-86W	53	27	17	89
03/10	vs OKL	93-124L	39	21	16	79
03/08	@ ATL	92-99L	38	21	13	74

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/29	@ LAC	97-100L	38	20	14	89
03/27	@ GSW	93-101L	39	25	10	85
03/23	@ SAC	107-109L	49	27	13	90
03/21	@ NOP	121-106W	40	33	14	92
03/19	@ CHA	112-92W	41	32	16	81
03/17	@ TOR	111-96W	39	22	13	85
03/15	vs TOR	113-103W	39	25	14	80
03/13	@ BRO	114-106W	34	29	12	77
03/10	@ IND	97-111L	46	18	12	88
03/08	vs NYK	74-98L	37	12	13	80

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Gregory Jackson SF	29.8	30.6	24.6	30%	32.8
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	38.9	40.3	40.9	93%	41.6
Trey Jemison C	12.2	20.2	14.4	39%	22.6
Luke Kennard SG	23.8	24.4	21.5	60%	24.8
Scotty Pippen Jr. PG	25.7	26.9	19.2	35%	27.1

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Paolo Banchero PF	43.4	36.1	40.4	100%	39.2
Wendell Carter Jr. C	25.8	20.1	24.8	100%	23.8
Gary Harris SG	14.9	9.2	12.5	57%	14.9
Jalen Suggs PG	26.0	26.9	23.4	100%	23.8
Franz Wagner SF	34.8	24.9	32.1	100%	31.3

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Desmond Bane (SG): Avg: 23.4pts, 4.3reb, 5.5ast, 34.5 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 6.2
Santi Aldama (PF): Avg: 11.0pts, 5.9reb, 2.3ast, 26.6 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 5.2
DeJon Jarreau (PG): Avg: 4.8pts, 4.9reb, 2.9ast, 16.6 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 2.4
John Konchar (PG/SG): Avg: 4.3pts, 4.5reb, 2.0ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 03/22/24. Impact: 3.7

Magic Notable Injuries

Chuma Okeke (SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.8reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.3
Jett Howard (SF): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 0.4
Admiral Schofield (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	Pts	9.5	11.5	+2.0	0%	30%	47%	47%	MEM	+1.8	#25
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Pts	20.5	22.1	+1.6	60%	60%	60%	60%	ORL	-7.2	#1
Franz Wagner	ORL	Reb	4.5	5.2	+0.7	20%	40%	47%	47%	MEM	-0.8	#13
Jalen Suggs	ORL	Reb	2.5	3.2	+0.7	40%	50%	47%	47%	MEM	+0.6	#26

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#14	#28	#26	8.3%
PF	#16	#24	#16	#21	4.9%
PG	#4	#4	#23	#20	4.1%
SF	#13	#13	#28	#18	2.7%
SG	#25	#26	#22	#27	7.1%

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#1	#1	#11	#1	-26.6%
PF	#15	#3	#1	#6	-6.7%
PG	#21	#2	#9	#14	-4.1%
SF	#5	#3	#6	#3	-40.5%
SG	#6	#15	#5	#5	-8.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

105.0

106.2

Rebounds per Game

43.9

41.3

Assists per Game

23.9

24.1

Steals per Game

8.7

7.9

Blocks per Game

6.6

5.0

Shots per Game

86.6

82.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

10.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

47.6

57.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.1

34.4

Turnovers per Game

16.0

14.1

Fouls per Game

18.3

16.2

Recent Trends

Gary Harris (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 17.6, 27.2 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Harris (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 10.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.
Jonathan Isaac (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 21.2, 14.7 min average previous 3 games.